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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 19:15 Aker Stadion, Molde
Molde
#3 · 43 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Fredrikstad
#11 · 29 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Molde
Kristian Lonebu (ast. Sander Hestetun Kilen) 11'
Kristian Lonebu (ast. Mathias Lovik) 17'
Emil Breivik (ast. Martin Linnes) 35'
Kristian Lonebu (ast. Sondre Granaas) 60'
Kristian Lonebu (ast. Emil Breivik) 63'
8' (ast. Sondre Sørløkk) Bryan Fiabema
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 75% win probability (draw 13%, Fredrikstad 11%). The final result was Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
14
10
Shots on target
6
3.14
Actual xG
2.03
5
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
9
22
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Caleb Sery
2'
8'
ast. Sondre Sørløkk · Bryan Fiabema⚽
⚽Kristian Lonebu · ast. Sander Hestetun Kilen
11'
⚽Kristian Lonebu · ast. Mathias Lovik
17'
⚽Emil Breivik · ast. Martin Linnes
35'
53'
Samuel Holm
59'
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas / Samuel Holm ↕
59'
Henrik Langaas Skogvold / Bryan Fiabema ↕
⚽Kristian Lonebu · ast. Sondre Granaas
60'
⚽Kristian Lonebu · ast. Emil Breivik
63'
↕ Sander Hestetun Kilen / Jalal Abdullai
64'
↕ Kristian Lonebu / Oskar Spiten Nysaeter
64'
67'
Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen / Solomon Owusu ↕
67'
Leonard Owusu / Gabriel Wesseh ↕
Martin Linnes
70'
↕ Sondre Granaas / Niklas Ödegard
75'
↕ Daniel Daga / Mats Møller Dæhli
75'
↕ Fredrik Kristensen Dahl / Birk Risa
78'
82'
Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez / Liam West ↕
Pre-match prediction
75.18%
Molde ←
13.23%
X
11.59%
Fredrikstad
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 75.18% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Molde
3.22
3.14
-0.08
Fredrikstad
1.04
2.03
+0.99
Molde dominated by xG (3.14 vs 2.03). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Viking Viking 24 59
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 24 56
3 Molde Molde 24 43
4 Rosenborg Rosenborg 24 40
5 Tromso Tromso 24 40
6 Lillestrom Lillestrom 24 39
7 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 24 31
8 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 24 30
9 Brann Brann 24 29
10 Valerenga Valerenga 24 29
11 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 24 29
12 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 24 26
13 Sandefjord Sandefjord 24 24
14 Aalesund Aalesund 24 24
15 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 24 20
16 Start Start 24 19
Lineups
Molde Molde 4-2-3-1
22 A. Posiadała A. Posiadała G 7.85
8 M. Løvik M. Løvik 1 👟 D 6.64
27 F. Dahl F. Dahl 78' D 6.67
19 E. Haugan E. Haugan D 6.80
25 M. Linnes M. Linnes 1 👟 D 6.81
30 D. Daga D. Daga 75' M 7.08
10 E. Breivik E. Breivik 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
16 S. Kilen S. Kilen 1 👟 64' M 6.66
23 S. Granaas S. Granaas 1 👟 75' M 7.04
11 C. Zady Sery C. Zady Sery M 6.37
20 K. Lonebu K. Lonebu 4 ⚽ 64' F 9.92
Bench
33 B. Risa B. Risa 12' D 6.30
9 J. Abdulai J. Abdulai 26' F 6.40
17 M. Møller Dæhli M. Møller Dæhli 15' M 6.88
6 N. Ødegård N. Ødegård 15' M 5.99
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter O. Spiten-Nysæter 26' F 6.51
12 P. Lervik P. Lervik G 0.00
26 S. Kabini S. Kabini D 0.00
24 Trent Toure Kone Doherty Trent Toure Kone Doherty F 0.00
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-4-3
77 M. Børsheim M. Børsheim G 6.59
28 S. Owusu S. Owusu 67' D 5.87
4 F. Holmé F. Holmé D 6.05
38 I. Amundsen I. Amundsen D 6.33
13 S. Sørløkk S. Sørløkk 1 👟 M 7.00
14 M. Nilsson M. Nilsson M 6.47
6 S. Leach Holm S. Leach Holm 59' M 6.33
19 F. Ghebreyohannes F. Ghebreyohannes M 6.60
11 L. West L. West 82' F 6.38
18 B. Fiabema B. Fiabema 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.89
29 G. Wesseh G. Wesseh 67' F 6.48
Bench
7 B. Thoresen B. Thoresen 31' F 6.73
23 H. Skogvold H. Skogvold 31' F 6.10
10 J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez 8' F 6.87
21 J. Jezierski J. Jezierski M 0.00
30 J. Torkildsen J. Torkildsen G 0.00
24 L. Owusu L. Owusu 23' M 5.77
9 S. Laghzaoui S. Laghzaoui M 0.00
5 S. Rafn S. Rafn D 0.00
12 U. Fredriksen U. Fredriksen 23' D 5.76
Best on the pitch
K. Lonebu
K. Lonebu
F · Molde
9.92
4 ⚽
6 shots · 9 pass
E. Breivik
E. Breivik
M · Molde
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 79 pass
B. Fiabema
B. Fiabema
F · Fredrikstad
7.89
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
A. Posiadała
A. Posiadała
G · Molde
7.85
· 27 pass
D. Daga
D. Daga
M · Molde
7.08
· 63 pass
S. Granaas
S. Granaas
M · Molde
7.04
1 👟
3 shots · 77 pass
Molde Molde — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Posiadała G 90 7.85 — — 0 27 27% 0 — —
M. Løvik D 90 6.64 — 1 0 61 51% 3 — —
F. Dahl D 78 6.67 — — 0 87 85% 0 — —
E. Haugan D 90 6.80 — — 0 109 104% 2 — —
M. Linnes D 90 6.81 — 1 1 59 48% 2 1 —
D. Daga M 75 7.08 — — 0 63 59% 9 — —
E. Breivik M 90 9.00 1 1 2 79 72% 4 — —
S. Kilen M 64 6.66 — 1 1 25 21% 0 — —
S. Granaas M 75 7.04 — 1 3 77 62% 0 — —
C. Zady Sery M 90 6.37 — — 1 52 48% 0 1 —
K. Lonebu F 64 9.92 4 — 6 9 9% 0 — —
B. Risa D 12 6.30 — — 0 16 16% 1 — —
J. Abdulai F 26 6.40 — — 2 4 4% 1 — —
M. Møller Dæhli M 15 6.88 — — 0 26 24% 0 — —
N. Ødegård M 15 5.99 — — 1 14 11% 0 — —
O. Spiten-Nysæter F 26 6.51 — — 2 18 14% 0 — —
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Børsheim G 90 6.59 — — 0 35 22% 0 — —
S. Owusu D 67 5.87 — — 0 30 29% 1 — —
F. Holmé D 90 6.05 — — 0 50 46% 2 — —
I. Amundsen D 90 6.33 — — 1 57 54% 4 — —
S. Sørløkk M 90 7.00 — 1 1 24 22% 1 — —
M. Nilsson M 90 6.47 — — 1 64 61% 1 — —
S. Leach Holm M 59 6.33 — — 0 39 37% 0 1 —
F. Ghebreyohannes M 90 6.60 — — 1 40 35% 5 — —
L. West F 82 6.38 — — 2 25 24% 1 — —
B. Fiabema F 59 7.89 1 — 3 14 9% 0 — —
G. Wesseh F 67 6.48 — — 2 21 15% 0 — —
B. Thoresen F 31 6.73 — — 0 6 4% 2 — —
H. Skogvold F 31 6.10 — — 2 7 5% 0 — —
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez F 8 6.87 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
L. Owusu M 23 5.77 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
U. Fredriksen D 23 5.76 — — 1 11 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Molde vs Fredrikstad?
The final score was Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad.
What did the model predict before Molde vs Fredrikstad?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Molde win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Fredrikstad win.