← Eliteserien

Molde - Kristiansund BK

Eliteserien May 16, 2026 16:00
#5 · 13 pts
vs
#10 · 8 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 15.0°C 💨 13 km/h · Molde
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.75%
Win
Molde
27.21%
Draw
25.03%
Win
Kristiansund BK
1.8
Expected xG
0.8

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Molde a 47% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Kristiansund BK. Expected goals are 1.8 for Molde and 0.8 for Kristiansund BK (total 2.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.4% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Molde Kristiansund BK →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 10.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
2 12.0% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 7.2% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Recent form
L Tromso 2–0
W Bodo/Glimt 0–1
W Valerenga 5–1
D Start 1–1
W Ham-Kam 4–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
L Sandefjord 2–0
D Ham-Kam 1–1
D Aalesund 1–1
W Fredrikstad 2–0
L Tromso 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 18%
Playing profile
Molde Molde
Attack
39
Defence
58
Form
58
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
Attack
33
Defence
55
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Tromso Tromso 10 23
2 Viking Viking 8 21
3 Lillestrom Lillestrom 8 16
4 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7 13
5 Molde Molde 8 13
6 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 7 13
7 Sandefjord Sandefjord 8 13
8 Brann Brann 8 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 8 8
10 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7 8
11 Valerenga Valerenga 8 8
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 8 8
13 Rosenborg Rosenborg 8 8
14 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 8 7
15 Start Start 8 4
16 Aalesund Aalesund 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Molde vs Kristiansund BK?
The model gives Molde a 47% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 25% for an Kristiansund BK win.
How many goals are expected in Molde vs Kristiansund BK?
Expected goals: Molde 1.8, Kristiansund BK 0.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Molde vs Kristiansund BK?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.