49'
(ast. Felix Va)
T. Olsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Molde 32%). The final result was Molde 0–1 Lillestrom.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
5
1.07
Actual xG
1.42
3
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
4
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
H. Stenevik
42'
45'+3
Y. Ibrahimaj
J. Christensen
/ V. Bender
46'
49'
ast. Felix Va ·
T. Olsen⚽
M. Linnes
/ F. Gulbrandsen
66'
C. Zady
/ T. Kone-Doherty
67'
76'
Y. Paintsil
/
U. Jenssen
E. Hestad
/ B. Isufi
80'
84'
C. Jebara
/
S. Drammeh
V. Bender
/ E. Haugan
89'
90'+1
P. Dahlberg
90'+2
G. Nyheim
/
Felix Va
90'+2
L. Svenningsen
/
M. Karlsbakk
Pre-match prediction
32.78%
Molde
32.53%
X
34.69%
Lillestrom ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
34.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.07
-0.19
2.05
1.42
-0.63
Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg
G
25
Martin Linnes
66'
D
Martin Linnes
66'
D
33
Birk Risa
D
Birk Risa
D
4
D
18
Halldor Stenevik
D
Halldor Stenevik
D
11
Caleb Zady Sery
67'
M
Caleb Zady Sery
67'
M
14
Jacob Christensen
45'
M
Jacob Christensen
45'
M
15
Vebjørn Hoff
M
Vebjørn Hoff
M
5
E. Hestad
80'
M
E. Hestad
80'
M
10
E. Breivik
F
E. Breivik
F
9
J. Abdullai
F
Bench
22
Albert Posiadała
G
Albert Posiadała
G
8
F. Gulbrandsen
24'
F
F. Gulbrandsen
24'
F
23
Sondre Milian Granaas
M
Sondre Milian Granaas
M
24
Trent Kone Doherty
23'
F
Trent Kone Doherty
23'
F
28
Viktor Bender
44'
M
Viktor Bender
44'
M
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
Pontus Dahlberg
G
3
Sturla Ottesen
D
Sturla Ottesen
D
23
Ulrik Jenssen
76'
D
Ulrik Jenssen
76'
D
5
D
2
Lars Ranger
D
Lars Ranger
D
17
E. Kitolano
M
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
89'
M
M. Karlsbakk
89'
M
20
Vá
1 👟
89'
F
Vá
1 👟
89'
F
10
T. Lehne Olsen
1 ⚽
F
T. Lehne Olsen
1 ⚽
F
15
Salieu Drammeh
84'
F
Bench
19
Camil Jebara
14'
F
Camil Jebara
14'
F
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
1'
F
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
1'
F
9
Kparobo Arierhi
F
Kparobo Arierhi
F
26
Yaw Paintsil
14'
M
Yaw Paintsil
14'
M
Best on the pitch
Vá
F · Lillestrom
8.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
D · Molde
7.90
· 98 pass
Martin Linnes
D · Molde
7.60
· 32 pass
T. Lehne Olsen
F · Lillestrom
7.50
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 18 pass
Ulrik Jenssen
D · Lillestrom
7.50
· 50 pass
E. Hestad
M · Molde
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
Molde — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Juhl Kikkenborg | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Martin Linnes | D | 66 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Birk Risa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 103 | 92% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 88% | 1 | — | — | |
| Halldor Stenevik | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Caleb Zady Sery | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Jacob Christensen | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Vebjørn Hoff | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Hestad | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Breivik | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Abdullai | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Gulbrandsen | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Trent Kone Doherty | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Bender | M | 44 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Sturla Ottesen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ulrik Jenssen | D | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Lars Ranger | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Kitolano | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Karlsbakk | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Vá | F | 89 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Lehne Olsen | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 6 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Salieu Drammeh | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yaw Paintsil | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Molde vs Lillestrom?
The final score was Molde 0–1 Lillestrom.
What did the model predict before Molde vs Lillestrom?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Molde win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Lillestrom win.