49'
(ast. Felix Va)
T. Olsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Molde 32%). The final result was Molde 0–1 Lillestrom.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
5
1.07
Actual xG
1.42
3
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
4
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
H. Stenevik
42'
45'+3
Y. Ibrahimaj
J. Christensen
/ V. Bender
46'
49'
ast. Felix Va ·
T. Olsen⚽
M. Linnes
/ F. Gulbrandsen
66'
C. Zady
/ T. Kone-Doherty
67'
76'
Y. Paintsil
/
U. Jenssen
E. Hestad
/ B. Isufi
80'
84'
C. Jebara
/
S. Drammeh
V. Bender
/ E. Haugan
89'
90'+1
P. Dahlberg
90'+2
G. Nyheim
/
Felix Va
90'+2
L. Svenningsen
/
M. Karlsbakk
Pre-match prediction
32.78%
Molde
32.53%
X
34.69%
Lillestrom ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
34.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.07
-0.19
2.05
1.42
-0.63
Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg
G
25
M. Linnes
66'
D
M. Linnes
66'
D
33
B. Risa
D
B. Risa
D
4
D
18
Halldor Stenevik
D
Halldor Stenevik
D
11
C. Zady Sery
67'
M
C. Zady Sery
67'
M
14
J. Christensen
45'
M
J. Christensen
45'
M
15
Vebjørn Hoff
M
Vebjørn Hoff
M
5
E. Hestad
80'
M
E. Hestad
80'
M
10
E. Breivik
F
E. Breivik
F
9
J. Abdulai
F
J. Abdulai
F
Bench
22
A. Posiadała
G
A. Posiadała
G
8
F. Gulbrandsen
24'
F
F. Gulbrandsen
24'
F
23
S. Granaas
M
S. Granaas
M
24
Trent Toure Kone Doherty
23'
F
Trent Toure Kone Doherty
23'
F
28
V. Bender
44'
M
V. Bender
44'
M
12
P. Dahlberg
G
P. Dahlberg
G
3
S. Ottesen
D
S. Ottesen
D
23
U. Yttergård Jenssen
76'
D
U. Yttergård Jenssen
76'
D
5
D
2
L. Ranger
D
L. Ranger
D
17
E. Kitolano
M
E. Kitolano
M
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
8
Markus Karlsbakk
89'
M
Markus Karlsbakk
89'
M
20
Vá
1 👟
89'
F
Vá
1 👟
89'
F
10
T. Lehne Olsen
1 ⚽
F
T. Lehne Olsen
1 ⚽
F
15
S. Drammeh
84'
F
S. Drammeh
84'
F
Bench
19
Camil Jebara
14'
F
Camil Jebara
14'
F
14
G. Nyheim
1'
F
G. Nyheim
1'
F
9
Kparobo Arierhi
F
Kparobo Arierhi
F
26
Y. Paintsil
14'
M
Y. Paintsil
14'
M
Best on the pitch
Vá
F · Lillestrom
8.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
D · Molde
7.90
· 98 pass
M. Linnes
D · Molde
7.60
· 32 pass
T. Lehne Olsen
F · Lillestrom
7.50
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 18 pass
U. Yttergård Jenssen
D · Lillestrom
7.50
· 50 pass
E. Hestad
M · Molde
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
Molde — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Juhl Kikkenborg | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Linnes | D | 66 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Risa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 103 | 92% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 88% | 1 | — | — | |
| Halldor Stenevik | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Zady Sery | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Christensen | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Vebjørn Hoff | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Hestad | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Breivik | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Abdulai | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Gulbrandsen | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Trent Toure Kone Doherty | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| V. Bender | M | 44 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dahlberg | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Ottesen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| U. Yttergård Jenssen | D | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| L. Ranger | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Kitolano | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Markus Karlsbakk | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Vá | F | 89 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Lehne Olsen | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 6 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Drammeh | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Nyheim | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Y. Paintsil | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Molde vs Lillestrom?
The final score was Molde 0–1 Lillestrom.
What did the model predict before Molde vs Lillestrom?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Molde win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Lillestrom win.