Molde 6–1 Start — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — October 18, 2026

← Eliteserien

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24 October 18, 2026 17:00 Aker Stadion, Molde

Molde

#3 · 43 pts

6 – 1

Final score

Start

#16 · 19 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Molde

Sander Hestetun Kilen (ast. Caleb Sery) 29'

Kristian Lonebu 39' (pen.)

Caleb Sery (ast. Sander Hestetun Kilen) 56'

Sander Hestetun Kilen (ast. Emil Breivik) 65'

Sander Hestetun Kilen 76'

Emil Breivik (ast. Niklas Ödegard) 79'

54' (ast. Mikael Ugland) John Olav Norheim

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 83% win probability (draw 8%, Start 8%). The final result was Molde 6–1 Start. In 1 previous meetings, Molde have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Start.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.71

Actual xG

1.76

Saves

68%

Possession

32%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

19'

Santino Samuyiwa

⚽Sander Hestetun Kilen · ast. Caleb Sery

29'

38'

Erlend Segberg

⚽Kristian Lonebu (pen.)

39'

45'

Nikolaos Koutsakos / Santino Samuyiwa ↕

52'

Fredrik Kristensen Dahl

53'

54'

(missed pen.) Nikolaos Koutsakos⚽

54'

ast. Mikael Ugland · John Olav Norheim⚽

⚽Caleb Sery · ast. Sander Hestetun Kilen

56'

⚽Sander Hestetun Kilen · ast. Emil Breivik

65'

↕ Mathias Lovik / Niklas Ödegard

67'

↕ Mats Møller Dæhli / Daniel Daga

67'

↕ Caleb Sery / Birk Risa

67'

71'

nikola jojic / Mikael Ugland ↕

Eirik Haugan

72'

⚽Sander Hestetun Kilen

76'

↕ Sander Hestetun Kilen / Oskar Spiten Nysaeter

77'

⚽Emil Breivik · ast. Niklas Ödegard

79'

↕ Kristian Lonebu / Trent Kone-Doherty

81'

86'

Altin Ujkani / Erlend Dahl Reitan ↕

Pre-match prediction

83.29%

Molde ←

8.62%

8.08%

Start

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 83.29% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Molde

4.03

3.71

-0.32

Start

1.04

1.76

+0.72

Molde dominated by xG (3.71 vs 1.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Molde 4-4-2

A. Posiadała G 6.93

M. Løvik 67' D 7.21

F. Dahl D 6.36

E. Haugan D 6.62

M. Linnes D 7.05

S. Kilen 3 ⚽ 1 👟 77' M 9.28

S. Granaas M 7.20

M. Møller Dæhli 67' M 6.51

C. Zady Sery 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' M 8.43

E. Breivik 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.84

K. Lonebu 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.11

Bench

B. Risa 23' D 6.81

D. Daga 23' M 6.54

J. Abdulai F 0.00

N. Ødegård 1 👟 23' M 6.66

O. Spiten-Nysæter 13' F 6.81

P. Lervik G 0.00

S. Kabini D 0.00

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 9' F 6.63

V. Bender M 0.00

Start 5-3-2

M. Sjøeng G 6.51

D. Dashaev D 6.01

J. Norheim 1 ⚽ D 6.45

S. Granheim D 5.60

E. Reitan 86' D 5.69

O. Toure D 5.77

M. Ugland 1 👟 71' M 7.38

E. Segberg M 5.96

S. Mvoué M 6.09

S. Samuyiwa 45' F 5.92

H. Lorentzen F 6.28

Bench

A. Ujkani 4' D 5.54

F. Pålerud D 0.00

J. Cornelius F 0.00

J. Meyer D 0.00

N. Jojić 19' F 6.27

N. Koutsakos 45' F 6.25

S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen G 0.00

Best on the pitch

S. Kilen

M · Molde

9.28

3 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 34 pass

E. Breivik

F · Molde

8.84

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 55 pass

C. Zady Sery

M · Molde

8.43

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 40 pass

M. Ugland

M · Start

7.38

1 👟

· 28 pass

M. Løvik

D · Molde

7.21

2 shots · 44 pass

S. Granaas

M · Molde

7.20

2 shots · 81 pass

Molde — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Posiadała	G	90	6.93	—	—	0	34	31%	0	—	—
M. Løvik	D	67	7.21	—	—	2	44	39%	1	—	—
F. Dahl	D	90	6.36	—	—	0	83	78%	0	1	—
E. Haugan	D	90	6.62	—	—	1	96	93%	1	1	—
M. Linnes	D	90	7.05	—	—	1	65	56%	3	—	—
S. Kilen	M	77	9.28	3	1	5	34	30%	2	—	—
S. Granaas	M	90	7.20	—	—	2	81	70%	2	—	—
M. Møller Dæhli	M	67	6.51	—	—	0	36	33%	1	—	—
C. Zady Sery	M	67	8.43	1	1	3	40	34%	0	—	—
E. Breivik	F	90	8.84	1	1	1	55	46%	0	—	—
K. Lonebu	F	81	7.11	1	—	2	11	7%	1	—	—
B. Risa	D	23	6.81	—	—	0	38	35%	1	—	—
D. Daga	M	23	6.54	—	—	0	22	20%	0	—	—
N. Ødegård	M	23	6.66	—	1	1	11	11%	2	—	—
O. Spiten-Nysæter	F	13	6.81	—	—	3	6	3%	0	—	—
Trent Toure Kone Doherty	F	9	6.63	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—

Start — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Sjøeng	G	90	6.51	—	—	0	31	15%	0	—	—
D. Dashaev	D	90	6.01	—	—	0	14	10%	3	—	—
J. Norheim	D	90	6.45	1	—	2	29	21%	2	—	—
S. Granheim	D	90	5.60	—	—	0	26	21%	1	—	—
E. Reitan	D	86	5.69	—	—	0	29	24%	1	—	—
O. Toure	D	90	5.77	—	—	1	26	22%	2	—	—
M. Ugland	M	71	7.38	—	1	0	28	21%	2	—	—
E. Segberg	M	90	5.96	—	—	1	35	30%	2	1	—
S. Mvoué	M	90	6.09	—	—	1	25	21%	5	—	—
S. Samuyiwa	F	45	5.92	—	—	0	7	5%	0	1	—
H. Lorentzen	F	90	6.28	—	—	2	31	22%	0	—	—
A. Ujkani	D	4	5.54	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
N. Jojić	F	19	6.27	—	—	0	4	2%	0	—	—
N. Koutsakos	F	45	6.25	—	—	3	8	6%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Molde vs Start?

The final score was Molde 6–1 Start.

What did the model predict before Molde vs Start?

The model assigned 83% probability to a Molde win, 8% to a draw, and 8% to an Start win.