Molde 3–2 Tromso — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — August 16, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 18 August 16, 2026 17:00 Aker Stadion, Molde

Molde

#4 · 33 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Tromso

#3 · 35 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Molde

E. Hestad 41' (pen.)

O. Spiten-Nysaeter (ast. J. Abdullai) 55'

T. Kone-Doherty 90'+2

53' (ast. T. Nyhammer) H. Larsen

90'+8 (ast. S. Innvaer) Ieltsin Camoes

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 59% win probability (draw 18%, Tromso 22%). The final result was Molde 3–2 Tromso. In 1 previous meetings, Molde have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tromso.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.54

Actual xG

0.60

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

31'

O. Lauvli / J. Haugaard ↕

M. Lovik

35'

⚽E. Hestad (pen.)

41'

46'

Ieltsin Camoes / L. O. Larsen ↕

S. Granaas

50'

53'

ast. T. Nyhammer · H. Larsen⚽

⚽O. Spiten-Nysaeter · ast. J. Abdullai

55'

J. Abdullai

60'

70'

S. Innvaer / I. Dahlqvist ↕

↕ D. Daga / V. Bender

74'

↕ J. Abdullai / T. Kone-Doherty

75'

↕ M. Lovik / S. Kabini

75'

84'

H. Larsen

85'

D. Braut / T. Nyhammer ↕

85'

C. Oyvann / L. Hien ↕

M. Linnes

87'

⚽T. Kone-Doherty

90'+2

↕ M. Linnes / E. Haugan

90'+4

↕ O. Spiten-Nysaeter / C. Zady

90'+5

90'+8

ast. S. Innvaer · Ieltsin Camoes⚽

Pre-match prediction

59.61%

Molde ←

18.25%

22.14%

Tromso

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 59.61% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Molde

2.63

2.54

-0.09

Tromso

1.40

0.60

-0.8

Molde dominated by xG (2.54 vs 0.60). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	47
2	Viking	19	44
3	Tromso	19	35
4	Molde	19	33
5	Lillestrom	20	32
6	Rosenborg	19	27
7	Brann	19	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	23
11	Valerenga	20	22
12	Sandefjord	19	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	19
15	Aalesund	19	18
16	Start	19	13

Lineups

Molde 4-2-3-1

A. Posiadała G 6.20

M. Løvik 75' D 7.00

B. Risa D 7.30

Sivert Sira Hansen D 6.90

M. Linnes 89' D 7.30

D. Daga 74' M 6.90

E. Breivik M 6.30

O. Spiten-Nysæter 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.20

S. Granaas M 6.30

E. Hestad 1 ⚽ M 7.70

J. Abdulai 1 👟 75' F 6.50

Bench

C. Zady Sery 1' F

E. Haugan 1' D

Igor Fabian Gosik F

M. Møller Dæhli M

Noah Ljøen Bye D

P. Lervik G

S. Kabini 15' D 6.70

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.30

V. Bender 16' M 6.50

Tromso 5-3-2

J. Haugaard 31' G 7.20

A. Warneryd D 5.20

Mathias Tonnessen D 6.70

L. Hien 85' D 6.20

I. Vådebu D 6.90

I. Dahlqvist 70' D 7.20

L. Olden Larsen 45' M 6.20

R. Jenssen M 6.30

D. Edvardsson M 6.90

H. Larsen 1 ⚽ F 7.20

T. Nyhammer 1 👟 85' F 7.20

Bench

Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu M

Casper Öyvann 16' D 6.30

Daniel Braut 16' F 6.50

Ieltsin Camões 45' F 6.60

Jesper Andreas Grundt M

M. Mikkelsen M

O. Lauvli 59' G 5.50

S. Innvær 1 👟 20' M 7.20

Viktor Ekblom F

Best on the pitch

E. Hestad

M · Molde

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 44 pass

B. Risa

D · Molde

7.30

· 98 pass

Trent Toure Kone Doherty

F · Molde

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

M. Linnes

D · Molde

7.30

1 shots · 37 pass

S. Innvær

M · Tromso

7.20

1 👟

· 6 pass

T. Nyhammer

F · Tromso

7.20

1 👟

· 23 pass

Molde — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Posiadała	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	30	25%	—	—	—
M. Løvik	D	75	7.00	—	—	—	63	58%	—	1	—
B. Risa	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	98	80%	—	—	—
Sivert Sira Hansen	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	81	74%	—	—	—
M. Linnes	D	89	7.30	—	—	1	37	32%	2	1	—
D. Daga	M	74	6.90	—	—	—	47	39%	2	—	—
E. Breivik	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	54	41%	2	—	—
O. Spiten-Nysæter	M	89	7.20	1	—	4	48	39%	1	—	—
S. Granaas	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	62	53%	5	1	—
E. Hestad	M	90	7.70	1	—	2	44	41%	3	—	—
J. Abdulai	F	75	6.50	—	1	1	8	5%	2	1	—
C. Zady Sery	F	1	—	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
E. Haugan	D	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
S. Kabini	D	15	6.70	—	—	—	16	15%	1	—	—
Trent Toure Kone Doherty	F	15	7.30	1	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
V. Bender	M	16	6.50	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—

Tromso — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Haugaard	G	31	7.20	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
A. Warneryd	D	90	5.20	—	—	1	27	20%	—	—	—
Mathias Tonnessen	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	60	53%	3	—	—
L. Hien	D	85	6.20	—	—	1	62	56%	—	—	—
I. Vådebu	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	52	42%	4	—	—
I. Dahlqvist	D	70	7.20	—	—	—	19	12%	6	—	—
L. Olden Larsen	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
R. Jenssen	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	58	54%	—	—	—
D. Edvardsson	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	48	43%	4	—	—
H. Larsen	F	90	7.20	1	—	2	32	24%	1	1	—
T. Nyhammer	F	85	7.20	—	1	—	23	19%	1	—	—
Casper Öyvann	D	16	6.30	—	—	—	16	16%	—	—	—
Daniel Braut	F	16	6.50	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
Ieltsin Camões	F	45	6.60	—	—	1	11	7%	1	—	—
O. Lauvli	G	59	5.50	—	—	—	44	22%	—	—	—
S. Innvær	M	20	7.20	—	1	—	6	6%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Molde vs Tromso?

The final score was Molde 3–2 Tromso.

What did the model predict before Molde vs Tromso?

The model assigned 59% probability to a Molde win, 18% to a draw, and 22% to an Tromso win.