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Moldova - Faroe Islands

#4 · 0 pts
vs
#3 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.75%
Win
Moldova
14.74%
Draw
65.52%
Win
Faroe Islands
1.6
Expected xG
3.25
Most likely outcome
Faroe Islands
65.52%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–3 (7.3%)
1X2 Result
1 20%
X 15%
2 66%
Double Chance
1X 35%
X2 80%
12 85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 85%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Faroe Islands a 65% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 19% for Moldova. Expected goals are 1.6 for Moldova and 3.2 for Faroe Islands (total 4.8), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–3 at 7.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Moldova have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Faroe Islands.

Season Stats

Moldova
3W 0D 1L
Faroe Islands
1W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.8
0.2
Conceded
1.0
3.3
Shots OT
2.8
3.0
Corners
3.3
54%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
17%
0%
BTTS
50%
75%
Clean Sht
17%
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Moldova
2W 0D 0L · at home
Faroe Islands
1W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.3
0.0
Conceded
0.7
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Moldova Faroe Islands →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 3.6% 2.4%
1 1.3% 4.1% 6.6% 7.2% 5.8% 3.8%
2 1.0% 3.3% 5.3% 5.7% 4.7% 3.0%
3 0.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 2.5% 1.6%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Recent form

W Andorra 0–1
L Malta 1–0
W Andorra 2–0
W Malta 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
L FYR Macedonia 1–0
W Armenia 0–1
D Latvia 1–1
D Armenia 2–2
L Latvia 1–0

Playing profile

Moldova Moldova
Attack
29
Defence
41
Form
6
Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
Attack
45
Defence
71
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 0 0
2 Slovakia Slovakia 0 0
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands 0 0
4 Moldova Moldova 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Moldova Faroe Islands
Current #4 #3
Moldova #1 #4
Draw #2 #1
Faroe Islands #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
The model gives Moldova a 19% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 65% for an Faroe Islands win.
How many goals are expected in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Expected goals: Moldova 1.6, Faroe Islands 3.2 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
1–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.3%.