Mombasa Elite - Ulinzi Stars
Premier League
November 21, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.04%
Win
Mombasa Elite
32.4%
Draw
33.55%
Win
Ulinzi Stars
1.23
1.16
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.73%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
32%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
66%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mombasa Elite a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Ulinzi Stars. Expected goals are 1.2 for Mombasa Elite and 1.2 for Ulinzi Stars (total 2.4), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.73% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
5L
7W
4D
4L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.1
1.8
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
33%
50%
BTTS
40%
17%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
47%
BTTS
0W
1D
2L
· at home
4W
3D
3L
· away
0.7
gls/g
1.2
1.3
Conceded
1.1
0%
Win %
40%
33%
Win or Draw
70%
33%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
20%
33%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
67%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Mombasa Elite
Ulinzi Stars →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mombasa Elite
Attack
10
Defence
60
Form
25
Ulinzi Stars
Attack
19
Defence
64
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
KCB
|
6 | 13 |
| 3 |
AFC Leopards
|
6 | 10 |
| 4 |
Kenya Police
|
6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
6 | 9 |
| 6 |
Mara Sugar
|
6 | 9 |
| 7 |
3K
|
6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
6 | 8 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
6 | 7 |
| 9 |
Police
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Tusker
|
4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Migori Youth
|
5 | 6 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
6 | 6 |
| 14 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Nairobi United
|
6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Mathare United
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Homeboyz
|
5 | 5 |
| 18 |
Mombasa Elite
|
6 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Ulinzi Stars?
The model gives Mombasa Elite a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Ulinzi Stars win.
How many goals are expected in Mombasa Elite vs Ulinzi Stars?
Expected goals: Mombasa Elite 1.2, Ulinzi Stars 1.2 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Mombasa Elite vs Ulinzi Stars?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.73%.