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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Monaco
#1 · 10 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Lille
#5 · 7 pts
(og) 72' D. Zakaria
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Monaco 36%). The final result was Monaco 0–1 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Monaco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.27
Actual xG
0.30
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
A. Bouaddi
46'
N. Bentaleb / A. Bouaddi ↕
54'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
↕ S. Adingra / W. Faes
58'
↕ A. Golovin / A. Fati
59'
↕ A. Bamba / M. Coulibaly
59'
62'
E. Mbappe / N. Mukau ↕
71'
G. Perrin / F. Correia ↕
72'
(og) D. Zakaria⚽
76'
G. Perrin
M. Coulibaly
79'
↕ T. Kehrer / I. Toure
80'
↕ J. Teze / M. Biereth
80'
90'
C. Verdonk / H. Haraldsson ↕
90'
Alexsandro / R. Perraud ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.44%
Monaco
23.59%
X
39.96%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 39.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
1.99
0.27
-1.72
Lille
2.20
0.30
-1.9
xG dominance was balanced (0.27 – 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.50
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi D 6.90
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria 1 ⚽ D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 80' D 6.90
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 58' M 6.20
23 A. Bamba A. Bamba 58' M 6.30
15 L. Camara L. Camara M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze 80' M 6.60
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 59' F 6.90
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche F 6.60
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun F 6.20
Bench
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 33' F 6.90
3 E. Dier E. Dier D
49 Ilane Touré Ilane Touré 12' M 6.50
27 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta M
14 M. Biereth M. Biereth 12' F 6.30
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 34' M 6.70
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba M
16 P. Köhn P. Köhn G
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes 34' D 6.90
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 B. Özer B. Özer G 7.20
15 R. Perraud R. Perraud D 7.20
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.20
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 6.90
12 T. Meunier T. Meunier D 7.50
21 B. André B. André M 6.60
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi 45' M 6.60
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 71' M 6.30
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 89' M 7.00
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 62' M 6.30
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo F 5.50
Bench
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro Alexsandro Ribeiro 2' D
16 Arnaud Bodart Arnaud Bodart G
18 C. Mbemba C. Mbemba D
24 C. Verdonk C. Verdonk 3' D
8 E. Mbappé E. Mbappé 30' M 6.60
28 G. Perrin G. Perrin 21' F 6.50
6 N. Bentaleb N. Bentaleb 47' M 7.00
9 O. Giroud O. Giroud F
11 O. Sahraoui O. Sahraoui F
Best on the pitch
T. Meunier
T. Meunier
D · Lille
7.50
1 shots · 39 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.20
· 49 pass
R. Perraud
R. Perraud
D · Lille
7.20
1 shots · 42 pass
B. Özer
B. Özer
G · Lille
7.20
· 34 pass
N. Bentaleb
N. Bentaleb
M · Lille
7.00
· 23 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.00
· 22 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 92 6.50 — — — 29 15% — — —
C. Mawissa Elebi D 92 6.90 — — — 65 56% 1 — —
D. Zakaria D 92 6.20 1 — — 55 52% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 80 6.90 — — — 45 33% 5 — —
Simon Adingra M 58 6.20 — — 2 17 13% 2 — —
A. Bamba M 58 6.30 — — — 25 17% — — —
L. Camara M 92 6.90 — — — 54 51% 2 — —
J. Teze M 80 6.60 — — 1 27 19% — — —
A. Golovin F 59 6.90 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
M. Akliouche F 92 6.60 — — 2 33 31% 2 — —
F. Balogun F 92 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Ansu Fati F 33 6.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
Ilane Touré M 12 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
M. Biereth F 12 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Coulibaly M 34 6.70 — — 1 14 12% — 1 —
Wout Faes D 34 6.90 — — — 31 31% 2 — —
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Özer G 92 7.20 — — — 34 23% — — —
R. Perraud D 90 7.20 — — 1 42 30% 2 — —
A. Mandi D 92 7.20 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
N. Ngoy D 92 6.90 — — — 46 36% — — —
T. Meunier D 92 7.50 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
B. André M 92 6.60 — — 1 38 32% 3 — —
A. Bouaddi M 45 6.60 — — 1 12 8% 1 1 —
Félix Correia M 71 6.30 — — 1 29 20% 1 — —
H. Haraldsson M 89 7.00 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
N. Mukau M 62 6.30 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 92 5.50 — — 1 10 6% 1 1 —
Alexsandro Ribeiro D 2 — — — — — — — — —
C. Verdonk D 3 — — — — — — — — —
E. Mbappé M 30 6.60 — — — 6 5% 3 — —
G. Perrin F 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — 1 —
N. Bentaleb M 47 7.00 — — — 23 21% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lille?
The final score was Monaco 0–1 Lille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Lille?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Monaco win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Lille win.