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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Monaco
#4 · 15 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Lille
#3 · 15 pts
(og) 72' D. Zakaria
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Monaco 36%). The final result was Monaco 0–1 Lille. In 2 previous meetings, Monaco have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lille.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.27
Actual xG
0.30
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
A. Bouaddi
46'
N. Bentaleb / A. Bouaddi ↕
54'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
↕ S. Adingra / W. Faes
58'
↕ A. Golovin / A. Fati
59'
↕ A. Bamba / M. Coulibaly
59'
62'
E. Mbappe / N. Mukau ↕
71'
G. Perrin / F. Correia ↕
72'
(og) D. Zakaria⚽
76'
G. Perrin
M. Coulibaly
79'
↕ T. Kehrer / I. Toure
80'
↕ J. Teze / M. Biereth
80'
90'
C. Verdonk / H. Haraldsson ↕
90'
Alexsandro / R. Perraud ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.44%
Monaco
23.59%
X
39.96%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 39.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
1.99
0.27
-1.72
Lille
2.20
0.30
-1.9
xG dominance was balanced (0.27 – 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.50
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi D 6.90
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria 1 ⚽ D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 80' D 6.90
24 S. Adingra S. Adingra 58' M 6.20
23 A. Bamba A. Bamba 58' M 6.30
15 L. Camara L. Camara M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze 80' M 6.60
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 59' F 6.90
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche F 6.60
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun F 6.20
Bench
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 33' F 6.90
3 E. Dier E. Dier D
49 Ilane Touré Ilane Touré 12' M 6.50
27 K. Diatta K. Diatta M
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 34' M 6.70
14 Mika Biereth Mika Biereth 12' F 6.30
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba M
16 P. Köhn P. Köhn G
25 W. Faes W. Faes 34' D 6.90
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 B. Özer B. Özer G 7.20
15 R. Perraud R. Perraud D 7.20
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.20
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 6.90
12 T. Meunier T. Meunier D 7.50
21 B. André B. André M 6.60
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi 45' M 6.60
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 71' M 6.30
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 89' M 7.00
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 62' M 6.30
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo F 5.50
Bench
16 A. Bodart A. Bodart G
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro Alexsandro Ribeiro 2' D
18 C. Mbemba C. Mbemba D
24 C. Verdonk C. Verdonk 3' D
8 E. Mbappé E. Mbappé 30' M 6.60
28 G. Perrin G. Perrin 21' F 6.50
6 N. Bentaleb N. Bentaleb 47' M 7.00
9 O. Giroud O. Giroud F
11 O. Sahraoui O. Sahraoui F
Best on the pitch
T. Meunier
T. Meunier
D · Lille
7.50
1 shots · 39 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.20
· 49 pass
R. Perraud
R. Perraud
D · Lille
7.20
1 shots · 42 pass
B. Özer
B. Özer
G · Lille
7.20
· 34 pass
N. Bentaleb
N. Bentaleb
M · Lille
7.00
· 23 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.00
· 22 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 92 6.50 — — — 29 15% — — —
C. Mawissa Elebi D 92 6.90 — — — 65 56% 1 — —
D. Zakaria D 92 6.20 1 — — 55 52% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 80 6.90 — — — 45 33% 5 — —
S. Adingra M 58 6.20 — — 2 17 13% 2 — —
A. Bamba M 58 6.30 — — — 25 17% — — —
L. Camara M 92 6.90 — — — 54 51% 2 — —
J. Teze M 80 6.60 — — 1 27 19% — — —
A. Golovin F 59 6.90 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
M. Akliouche F 92 6.60 — — 2 33 31% 2 — —
F. Balogun F 92 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Ansu Fati F 33 6.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
Ilane Touré M 12 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
M. Coulibaly M 34 6.70 — — 1 14 12% — 1 —
Mika Biereth F 12 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
W. Faes D 34 6.90 — — — 31 31% 2 — —
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Özer G 92 7.20 — — — 34 23% — — —
R. Perraud D 90 7.20 — — 1 42 30% 2 — —
A. Mandi D 92 7.20 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
N. Ngoy D 92 6.90 — — — 46 36% — — —
T. Meunier D 92 7.50 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
B. André M 92 6.60 — — 1 38 32% 3 — —
A. Bouaddi M 45 6.60 — — 1 12 8% 1 1 —
Félix Correia M 71 6.30 — — 1 29 20% 1 — —
H. Haraldsson M 89 7.00 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
N. Mukau M 62 6.30 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 92 5.50 — — 1 10 6% 1 1 —
Alexsandro Ribeiro D 2 — — — — — — — — —
C. Verdonk D 3 — — — — — — — — —
E. Mbappé M 30 6.60 — — — 6 5% 3 — —
G. Perrin F 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — 1 —
N. Bentaleb M 47 7.00 — — — 23 21% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lille?
The final score was Monaco 0–1 Lille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Lille?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Monaco win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Lille win.