← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00
Monaco
#7 · 54 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Lille
#3 · 61 pts
(og) 72' D. Zakaria

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Monaco 36%). The final result was Monaco 0–1 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Monaco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.27
Actual xG
0.30
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
A. Bouaddi
46'
N. Bentaleb / A. Bouaddi ↕
54'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
↕ S. Adingra / W. Faes
58'
↕ A. Golovin / A. Fati
59'
↕ A. Bamba / M. Coulibaly
59'
62'
E. Mbappe / N. Mukau ↕
71'
G. Perrin / F. Correia ↕
72'
(og) D. Zakaria⚽
76'
G. Perrin
M. Coulibaly
79'
↕ T. Kehrer / I. Toure
80'
↕ J. Teze / M. Biereth
80'
90'
C. Verdonk / H. Haraldsson ↕
90'
Alexsandro / R. Perraud ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.44%
Monaco
23.59%
X
39.96%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 39.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
1.99
0.27
-1.72
Lille
2.20
0.30
-1.9
xG dominance was balanced (0.27 – 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.50
13 Christian Mawissa Christian Mawissa D 6.90
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria 1 ⚽ D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 80' D 6.90
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 58' M 6.20
23 Aladji Bamba Aladji Bamba 58' M 6.30
15 Lamine Camara Lamine Camara M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze 80' M 6.60
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 59' F 6.90
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche F 6.60
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun F 6.20
Bench
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 33' F 6.90
3 Eric Dier Eric Dier D
49 Ilane Touré Ilane Touré 12' M 6.50
27 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta M
14 M. Biereth M. Biereth 12' F 6.30
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 34' M 6.70
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba M
16 Philipp Köhn Philipp Köhn G
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes 34' D 6.90
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 Berke Özer Berke Özer G 7.20
15 Romain Perraud Romain Perraud D 7.20
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.20
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 6.90
12 Thomas Meunier Thomas Meunier D 7.50
21 B. André B. André M 6.60
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi Ayyoub Bouaddi 45' M 6.60
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 71' M 6.30
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 89' M 7.00
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 62' M 6.30
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo F 5.50
Bench
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro Alexsandro Ribeiro 2' D
16 Arnaud Bodart Arnaud Bodart G
24 Calvin Verdonk Calvin Verdonk 3' D
18 Chancel Mbemba Chancel Mbemba D
8 Ethan Mbappé Ethan Mbappé 30' M 6.60
28 Gaëtan Perrin Gaëtan Perrin 21' F 6.50
6 Nabil Bentaleb Nabil Bentaleb 47' M 7.00
9 Olivier Giroud Olivier Giroud F
11 Osame Sahraoui Osame Sahraoui F
Best on the pitch
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier
D · Lille
7.50
1 shots · 39 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.20
· 49 pass
Romain Perraud
Romain Perraud
D · Lille
7.20
1 shots · 42 pass
Berke Özer
Berke Özer
G · Lille
7.20
· 34 pass
Nabil Bentaleb
Nabil Bentaleb
M · Lille
7.00
· 23 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.00
· 22 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Hrádecký G 92 6.50 — — — 29 15% — — —
Christian Mawissa D 92 6.90 — — — 65 56% 1 — —
D. Zakaria D 92 6.20 1 — — 55 52% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 80 6.90 — — — 45 33% 5 — —
Simon Adingra M 58 6.20 — — 2 17 13% 2 — —
Aladji Bamba M 58 6.30 — — — 25 17% — — —
Lamine Camara M 92 6.90 — — — 54 51% 2 — —
J. Teze M 80 6.60 — — 1 27 19% — — —
A. Golovin F 59 6.90 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
M. Akliouche F 92 6.60 — — 2 33 31% 2 — —
F. Balogun F 92 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Ansu Fati F 33 6.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
Ilane Touré M 12 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
M. Biereth F 12 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Coulibaly M 34 6.70 — — 1 14 12% — 1 —
Wout Faes D 34 6.90 — — — 31 31% 2 — —
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Berke Özer G 92 7.20 — — — 34 23% — — —
Romain Perraud D 90 7.20 — — 1 42 30% 2 — —
A. Mandi D 92 7.20 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
N. Ngoy D 92 6.90 — — — 46 36% — — —
Thomas Meunier D 92 7.50 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
B. André M 92 6.60 — — 1 38 32% 3 — —
Ayyoub Bouaddi M 45 6.60 — — 1 12 8% 1 1 —
Félix Correia M 71 6.30 — — 1 29 20% 1 — —
H. Haraldsson M 89 7.00 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
N. Mukau M 62 6.30 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 92 5.50 — — 1 10 6% 1 1 —
Alexsandro Ribeiro D 2 — — — — — — — — —
Calvin Verdonk D 3 — — — — — — — — —
Ethan Mbappé M 30 6.60 — — — 6 5% 3 — —
Gaëtan Perrin F 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — 1 —
Nabil Bentaleb M 47 7.00 — — — 23 21% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lille?
The final score was Monaco 0–1 Lille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Lille?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Monaco win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Lille win.