Edan Diop
(ast. Jordan Teze)
74'
24'
(ast. Soriba Diaoune)
Ethan Mbappe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Lille 34%). The final result was Monaco 1–1 Lille. In 2 previous meetings, Monaco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Lille.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.24
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
1
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Ansu Fati
/ Mathys Detourbet
15'
24'
ast. Soriba Diaoune ·
Ethan Mbappe⚽
Mamadou Coulibaly
32'
34'
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
Mamadou Coulibaly
/ Matthis Abline
45'
Denis Zakaria
/ Edan Diop
45'
Mathys Detourbet
56'
63'
Isaac Cossier
/
Soriba Diaoune
66'
Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi
66'
Romain Perraud
69'
Maxima Goffi
/
Ethan Mbappe
⚽Edan Diop
· ast. Jordan Teze
74'
80'
Maurits Kjaergaard
/
Nabil Bentaleb
80'
Matah Yondjio
/
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
Mathys Detourbet
/ Folarin Balogun
90'+1
Vanderson
90'+1
90'+2
Maxima Goffi
90'+4
Berke Özer
Pre-match prediction
37.51%
Monaco
28.05%
X ←
34.44%
Lille
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
2.24
+0.44
2.05
0.71
-1.34
Monaco dominated by xG (2.24 vs 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Hrádecký
G
L. Hrádecký
G
20
Flávio Nazinho
D
Flávio Nazinho
D
4
J. Teze
1 👟
D
J. Teze
1 👟
D
72
Sadibou Sané
D
Sadibou Sané
D
2
Vanderson
D
Vanderson
D
6
D. Zakaria
45'
M
D. Zakaria
45'
M
8
L. Camara
M
L. Camara
M
31
Ansu Fati
15'
M
Ansu Fati
15'
M
10
A. Golovin
M
A. Golovin
M
28
M. Coulibaly
45'
M
M. Coulibaly
45'
M
29
Paris Josua Brunner
F
Paris Josua Brunner
F
Bench
13
C. Mawissa Elebi
D
C. Mawissa Elebi
D
37
E. Diop
1 ⚽
45'
M
E. Diop
1 ⚽
45'
M
9
F. Balogun
1'
F
F. Balogun
1'
F
49
I. Touré
M
I. Touré
M
11
M. Abline
45'
F
M. Abline
45'
F
7
M. Detourbet
74'
F
M. Detourbet
74'
F
22
M. Salisu
D
M. Salisu
D
16
P. Köhn
G
P. Köhn
G
18
T. Minamino
M
T. Minamino
M
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
D
R. Perraud
D
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
23
T. Nianzou
66'
D
T. Nianzou
66'
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
6
N. Bentaleb
80'
M
N. Bentaleb
80'
M
17
N. Mukau
M
N. Mukau
M
35
S. Diaoune
1 👟
63'
F
S. Diaoune
1 👟
63'
F
10
H. Haraldsson
80'
F
H. Haraldsson
80'
F
8
E. Mbappé
1 ⚽
69'
F
E. Mbappé
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
24
C. Verdonk
D
C. Verdonk
D
7
D. Bakwa
F
D. Bakwa
F
28
G. Perrin
F
G. Perrin
F
26
I. Cossier
27'
D
I. Cossier
27'
D
38
M. Goffi
21'
D
M. Goffi
21'
D
14
M. Kjærgaard
10'
M
M. Kjærgaard
10'
M
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
9
O. Giroud
F
O. Giroud
F
Best on the pitch
E. Mbappé
F · Lille
8.05
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
E. Diop
M · Monaco
7.63
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Vanderson
D · Monaco
7.62
4 shots
· 66 pass
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.28
1 shots
· 32 pass
J. Teze
D · Monaco
7.16
1 👟
1 shots
· 101 pass
L. Camara
M · Monaco
7.14
1 shots
· 82 pass
Monaco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Flávio Nazinho | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Teze | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | 1 | 1 | 101 | 98% | 2 | — | — |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 95% | 0 | — | — |
| Vanderson | D | 90 | 7.62 | — | — | 4 | 66 | 58% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Zakaria | M | 45 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Camara | M | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| Ansu Fati | M | 15 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Golovin | M | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Coulibaly | M | 45 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paris Josua Brunner | F | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Diop | M | 45 | 7.63 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Abline | F | 45 | 6.98 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Detourbet | F | 74 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 0 | 1 | — |
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Nianzou | D | 66 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 24% | 0 | — | 1 |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Diaoune | F | 63 | 6.88 | — | 1 | 0 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | F | 80 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Mbappé | F | 69 | 8.05 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Cossier | D | 27 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Goffi | D | 21 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Kjærgaard | M | 10 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lille?
The final score was Monaco 1–1 Lille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Lille?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Monaco win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an Lille win.