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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 20:45 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Monaco
#4 · 15 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Marseille
#8 · 12 pts
P. Brunner (ast. A. Golovin) 13'
P. Brunner (ast. E. Dier) 54'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Marseille 33%). The final result was Monaco 2–0 Marseille. In 2 previous meetings, Monaco have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
1.49
Actual xG
1.22
2
Saves
3
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
6
18
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽P. Brunner · ast. A. Golovin
13'
D. Zakaria
42'
L. Camara
43'
46'
T. Nnadi / H. Abdelli ↕
46'
K. Abdallah / Q. Timber ↕
⚽P. Brunner · ast. E. Dier
54'
59'
N. Aguerd / G. Kondogbia ↕
74'
N. Maupay / T. Nnadi ↕
↕ A. Golovin / M. Abline
82'
↕ M. Coulibaly / A. Soubeir
82'
↕ P. Brunner / M. Biereth
82'
↕ S. Idumbo / M. Detourbet
85'
85'
F. Moumbagna / A. Gomes ↕
Nazinho
89'
L. Hradecky
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
33.4%
Monaco ←
32.86%
X
33.74%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Monaco) 33.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
0.92
1.49
+0.57
Marseille
1.24
1.22
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (1.49 – 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.90
20 Flávio Nazinho Flávio Nazinho D 6.60
15 E. Dier E. Dier 1 👟 D 7.30
72 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 7.20
2 Vanderson Vanderson D 8.30
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria M 6.70
8 L. Camara L. Camara M 7.70
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo S. Idumbo-Muzambo 85' M 7.50
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 1 👟 81' M 7.20
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 81' M 7.30
29 Paris Josua Brunner Paris Josua Brunner 2 ⚽ 81' F 9.20
Bench
46 Anis Soubeir Anis Soubeir 14' M 6.30
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi D
4 J. Teze J. Teze D
11 M. Abline M. Abline 14' F 6.90
7 M. Detourbet M. Detourbet 10' F 6.70
14 Mika Biereth Mika Biereth 14' F 6.30
16 P. Köhn P. Köhn G
47 S. Benzahra S. Benzahra M
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
12 J. de Lange J. de Lange G 7.20
33 Emerson Emerson D 6.60
19 G. Kondogbia G. Kondogbia 58' D 6.20
4 C. Egan-Riley C. Egan-Riley D 6.90
22 T. Weah T. Weah D 7.20
23 P. Højbjerg P. Højbjerg M 6.90
8 H. Abdelli H. Abdelli 45' M 6.70
27 Q. Timber Q. Timber 45' M 6.20
7 A. Gomes A. Gomes 85' M 6.50
77 A. Harit A. Harit M 6.60
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri F 6.20
Bench
13 D. Cornelius D. Cornelius D
29 F. Moumbagna F. Moumbagna 10' F 6.20
48 K. Abdallah K. Abdallah 50' F 6.70
21 N. Aguerd N. Aguerd 37' D 7.00
11 N. Maupay N. Maupay 22' F 6.20
43 Tadjidine Mmadi Tadjidine Mmadi F
6 T. Nnadi T. Nnadi 28' M 6.60
92 T. Vermot T. Vermot G
25 U. Garcia U. Garcia D
Best on the pitch
Paris Josua Brunner
Paris Josua Brunner
F · Monaco
9.20
2 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
Vanderson
Vanderson
D · Monaco
8.30
· 41 pass
L. Camara
L. Camara
M · Monaco
7.70
· 53 pass
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
M · Monaco
7.50
3 shots · 18 pass
E. Dier
E. Dier
D · Monaco
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
M. Coulibaly
M. Coulibaly
M · Monaco
7.30
· 32 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 95 6.90 — — — 25 14% — 1 —
Flávio Nazinho D 95 6.60 — — — 29 25% 3 1 —
E. Dier D 95 7.30 — 1 1 38 36% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 95 7.20 — — — 43 41% 1 — —
Vanderson D 95 8.30 — — — 41 35% 3 — —
D. Zakaria M 95 6.70 — — 1 38 35% — 1 —
L. Camara M 95 7.70 — — — 53 50% 4 1 —
S. Idumbo-Muzambo M 85 7.50 — — 3 18 14% 1 — —
A. Golovin M 81 7.20 — 1 — 19 17% — — —
M. Coulibaly M 81 7.30 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
Paris Josua Brunner F 81 9.20 2 — 4 13 10% 3 — —
Anis Soubeir M 14 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Abline F 14 6.90 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Detourbet F 10 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Mika Biereth F 14 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. de Lange G 95 7.20 — — — 36 29% — — —
Emerson D 95 6.60 — — 1 62 57% 2 — —
G. Kondogbia D 58 6.20 — — — 49 47% 2 — —
C. Egan-Riley D 95 6.90 — — — 81 78% 1 — —
T. Weah D 95 7.20 — — 2 69 64% 3 — —
P. Højbjerg M 95 6.90 — — — 86 81% 3 — —
H. Abdelli M 45 6.70 — — — 32 31% — — —
Q. Timber M 45 6.20 — — — 13 10% — — —
A. Gomes M 85 6.50 — — 1 47 42% 2 — —
A. Harit M 95 6.60 — — 1 52 43% 1 — —
A. Gouiri F 95 6.20 — — — 37 32% — — —
F. Moumbagna F 10 6.20 — — 1 — — — — —
K. Abdallah F 50 6.70 — — 2 26 22% — — —
N. Aguerd D 37 7.00 — — — 31 30% 1 — —
N. Maupay F 22 6.20 — — 1 13 12% — — —
T. Nnadi M 28 6.60 — — — 13 13% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Marseille?
The final score was Monaco 2–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Marseille?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Monaco win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Marseille win.