Conference League
· League Stage - 2
October 22, 2026 21:00
P. Brunner
(ast. E. Diop)
45'+2
L. Camara
83'
A. Fati
(ast. M. Abline)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Monaco 33%). The final result was Monaco 3–0 SC Freiburg.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
1
1.10
Actual xG
0.82
1
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
11
14
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
P. Osterhage
/
Y. Engelhardt
37'
P. Osterhage
⚽P. Brunner
· ast. E. Diop
45'+2
46'
L. Holer
/
Y. Suzuki
A. Golovin
49'
M. Coulibaly
/ A. Soubeir
58'
M. Detourbet
/ A. Fati
58'
62'
P. Treu
/
J. Makengo
62'
D. Scherhant
/
V. Grifo
E. Diop
/ D. Zakaria
69'
A. Soubeir
70'
P. Brunner
/ M. Abline
80'
A. Golovin
/ Nazinho
80'
82'
C. Irie
/
J. Beste
⚽L. Camara
83'
A. Fati
86'
⚽A. Fati
· ast. M. Abline
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
33.04%
Monaco ←
29.22%
X
37.74%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Monaco)
33.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
1.10
+0.11
1.23
0.82
-0.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
L. Hrádecký
86'
G
L. Hrádecký
86'
G
13
C. Mawissa Elebi
86'
D
C. Mawissa Elebi
86'
D
4
J. Teze
86'
D
J. Teze
86'
D
72
Sadibou Sané
86'
D
Sadibou Sané
86'
D
2
Vanderson
86'
D
Vanderson
86'
D
37
E. Diop
1 👟
68'
M
E. Diop
1 👟
68'
M
8
L. Camara
1 ⚽
86'
M
L. Camara
1 ⚽
86'
M
7
M. Detourbet
58'
M
M. Detourbet
58'
M
10
A. Golovin
80'
M
A. Golovin
80'
M
28
M. Coulibaly
58'
M
M. Coulibaly
58'
M
29
Paris Josua Brunner
1 ⚽
80'
F
Paris Josua Brunner
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
46
Anis Soubeir
28'
M
Anis Soubeir
28'
M
31
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
28'
F
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
28'
F
6
D. Zakaria
18'
M
D. Zakaria
18'
M
20
Flávio Nazinho
6'
D
Flávio Nazinho
6'
D
49
I. Touré
M
I. Touré
M
40
Jules Stawiecki
G
Jules Stawiecki
G
11
M. Abline
1 👟
6'
F
M. Abline
1 👟
6'
F
14
Mika Biereth
F
Mika Biereth
F
22
M. Salisu
D
M. Salisu
D
19
Pape Cabral
M
Pape Cabral
M
16
P. Köhn
G
P. Köhn
G
18
T. Minamino
M
T. Minamino
M
1
M. Backhaus
86'
G
M. Backhaus
86'
G
33
J. Makengo
62'
D
J. Makengo
62'
D
37
M. Rosenfelder
86'
D
M. Rosenfelder
86'
D
28
M. Ginter
86'
D
M. Ginter
86'
D
17
L. Kübler
86'
D
L. Kübler
86'
D
16
Yannick Engelhardt
15'
M
Yannick Engelhardt
15'
M
8
M. Eggestein
86'
M
M. Eggestein
86'
M
32
V. Grifo
62'
M
V. Grifo
62'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
45'
M
Y. Suzuki
45'
M
19
J. Beste
82'
M
J. Beste
82'
M
31
I. Matanović
86'
F
I. Matanović
86'
F
Bench
5
Anthony Jung
D
Anthony Jung
D
30
C. Günter
D
C. Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
4'
F
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
4'
F
7
D. Scherhant
24'
F
D. Scherhant
24'
F
24
Jannik Huth
G
Jannik Huth
G
42
K. Goto
F
K. Goto
F
9
L. Höler
41'
F
L. Höler
41'
F
6
P. Osterhage
71'
M
P. Osterhage
71'
M
29
P. Treu
24'
D
P. Treu
24'
D
20
R. Yamamoto
M
R. Yamamoto
M
Best on the pitch
Paris Josua Brunner
F · Monaco
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 14 pass
E. Diop
M · Monaco
7.90
1 👟
· 45 pass
L. Camara
M · Monaco
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
J. Teze
D · Monaco
7.30
· 51 pass
J. Beste
M · SC
7.20
· 40 pass
M. Backhaus
G · SC
7.20
· 31 pass
Monaco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký | G | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Mawissa Elebi | D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Teze | D | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Vanderson | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Diop | M | 68 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Camara | M | 86 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Detourbet | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Golovin | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Coulibaly | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Paris Josua Brunner | F | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Anis Soubeir | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ansu Fati | F | 28 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Flávio Nazinho | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Abline | F | 6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus | G | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Makengo | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rosenfelder | D | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kübler | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Scherhant | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Osterhage | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Treu | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Monaco 3–0 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Monaco win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an SC Freiburg win.