Monarcas - Venados FC
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.25%
Win
Monarcas
21.71%
Draw
22.04%
Win
Venados FC
1.9
1.29
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Monarcas
56.25%
Probability
66.7%
1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.59%)
1X2 Result
1
56%
X
22%
2
22%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
44%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Monarcas a 56% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Venados FC. Expected goals are 1.9 for Monarcas and 1.3 for Venados FC (total 3.2), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.59% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Monarcas have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Venados FC.
Season Stats
8W
2D
5L
6W
4D
5L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.9
1.2
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
60%
O 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
87%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
6W
2D
2L
· at home
1W
5D
4L
· away
2.1
gls/g
1.3
1.0
Conceded
2.0
60%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
90%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Monarcas
Venados FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Monarcas
Attack
35
Defence
65
Form
51
Venados FC
Attack
34
Defence
69
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Monarcas vs Venados FC?
The model gives Monarcas a 56% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 22% for an Venados FC win.
How many goals are expected in Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Expected goals: Monarcas 1.9, Venados FC 1.3 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Monarcas vs Venados FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.59%.