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← Brasileirão Série D

Monte Roraima - Guaporé

Brasileirão Série D June 20, 2026 23:00
Monte Roraima
#4 · 10 pts
vs
Guaporé
#1 · 21 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.28%
Win
Monte Roraima
22.79%
Draw
44.93%
Win
Guaporé
2.07
Expected xG
2.78
Most likely result 2–2 (6.5%)
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
86%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Guaporé a 44% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Monte Roraima. Expected goals are 2.1 for Monte Roraima and 2.8 for Guaporé (total 4.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.5% probability.

Season Stats

Monte Roraima
2W 4D 4L
Guaporé
6W 4D 0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.9
1.4
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
60%
40%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Brasileirão Série D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 1.5
50%
O 2.5
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Monte Roraima
0W 3D 2L · at home
Guaporé
1W 4D 0L · away
0.8
gls/g
2.0
1.2
Conceded
1.2
0%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
100%
40%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
60%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Monte Roraima Guaporé →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1%
1 1.6% 4.5% 6.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.2% 2.3%
3 1.2% 3.2% 4.5% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6%
4 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Recent form

Monte Roraima Monte Roraima
L Nacional AM 3–1
L Manauara 0–1
D Sao Raimundo 2–2
W GAS 2–3
W Manaus FC 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Guaporé Guaporé
D Independência 2–2
W Araguaína 3–2
W Humaitá 0–4
D Porto Velho 0–0
W Galvez 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Monte Roraima Monte Roraima
Attack
34
Defence
64
Form
48
Guaporé Guaporé
Attack
54
Defence
74
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group 1

# Team G Pts
1 Manauara Manauara 10 22
2 Nacional AM Nacional AM 10 20
3 Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 10 13
4 Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 10 10
5 Manaus FC Manaus FC 10 10
6 GAS GAS 10 5

What's at stake · Group 1

Top 2 advance to the next round

Monte Roraima Guaporé
Current #4 #1
→ Monte Roraima #4 #1
→ Draw #4 #1
→ Guaporé #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Monte Roraima vs Guaporé?
The model gives Monte Roraima a 32% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 44% for an Guaporé win.
How many goals are expected in Monte Roraima vs Guaporé?
Expected goals: Monte Roraima 2.1, Guaporé 2.8 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Monte Roraima vs Guaporé?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.5%.