USL Championship
· Group Stage
June 21, 2026 04:00
I. Paul
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterey Bay a 42% win probability (draw 26%, El Paso Locomotive 31%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–0 El Paso Locomotive. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for El Paso Locomotive.
Match statistics
Match Events
23'
A. Romero
/
S. Mora-Mora
46'
K. Twumasi
W. Leggett
/ E. Blancas
75'
76'
O. Mora
/
A. Quezada
A. Saidi
/ S. Ritchie
84'
88'
G. Diaz
/
R. Avila
⚽I. Paul
90'+1
S. Lletget
/ K. Egwu
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
42.26%
Monterey ←
26.22%
X
31.52%
El
we assigned to the actual result (Monterey Bay)
42.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.18
—
—
1.72
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
The final score was Monterey Bay 1–0 El Paso Locomotive.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an El Paso Locomotive win.