USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 04, 2026 01:00
I. Paul
26'
(pen.)
49'
J. Webber
57'
J. Kocevski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tulsa a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Monterey Bay 25%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–2 FC Tulsa.
Match statistics
Match Events
J. Belmar
22'
⚽I. Paul
26'
I. Paul
37'
49'
(pen.)
J. Webber⚽
53'
J. Webber
57'
J. Kocevski⚽
61'
K. Elmedkhar
/
Bruno Lapa
E. Blancas
/ G. Lomtadze
62'
J. Belmar
/ R. Nakamura
63'
N. Ross
71'
O. Glasgow
/ W. Leggett
74'
78'
L. Batista
80'
N. Pierre
/
R. Cabral
80'
G. Colli
/
B. Sparks
L. Malesevic
/ S. Ritchie
83'
N. Ross
/ R. Bidois
84'
90'+4
R. Somersall
/
J. Kocevski
Pre-match prediction
25.32%
Monterey
27.97%
X
46.71%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Tulsa)
46.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.59
—
—
1.82
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa?
The final score was Monterey Bay 1–2 FC Tulsa.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 27% to a draw, and 46% to an FC Tulsa win.