USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 25, 2026 03:00
O. Glasgow
(ast. I. Paul)
74'
S. Lletget
(ast. D. Otoya)
88'
79'
(ast. C. Stretch)
M. Ybarra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterey Bay a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 36%). The final result was Monterey Bay 2–1 Las Vegas Lights. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Las Vegas Lights.
Match statistics
Match Events
J. Garcia
44'
R. Nakamura
/ Judson
46'
F. Canete
/ O. Glasgow
58'
67'
G. Probo
/
C. Locker
67'
A. Okyere
/
C. Pinzon
F. Barajas
71'
72'
E. Azcona
/
J. Rodriguez
⚽O. Glasgow
· ast. I. Paul
74'
I. Paul
/ D. Otoya
75'
N. Ross
/ Jacob Montes
75'
S. Ritchie
78'
79'
ast. C. Stretch ·
M. Ybarra⚽
80'
M. Ybarra
⚽S. Lletget
· ast. D. Otoya
88'
S. Lletget
/ J. Pakbaz
89'
90'+1
N. Jones
D. Otoya
90'+1
O. Glasgow
90'+1
F. Barajas
90'+3
F. Barajas
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
41.18%
Monterey ←
22.11%
X
36.71%
Las
we assigned to the actual result (Monterey Bay)
41.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
—
—
1.68
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
The final score was Monterey Bay 2–1 Las Vegas Lights.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 22% to a draw, and 36% to an Las Vegas Lights win.