USL Championship · Group Stage September 27, 2026 04:00

Monterey Bay

#12 · 24 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Lexington

#4 · 48 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lexington

Z. Farnsworth (ast. Q. Elliot) 5'

D. Otoya (ast. W. Leggett) 85'

1' (ast. P. Goodrum) Nick Firmino

74' (ast. A. Molloy) P. Goodrum

80' (ast. B. P. Rodrigues) M. Epps

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 59% win probability (draw 19%, Monterey Bay 21%). The final result was Monterey Bay 2–3 Lexington. In 2 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Lexington.

Match statistics

Match Events

1'

ast. P. Goodrum · Nick Firmino⚽

⚽Z. Farnsworth · ast. Q. Elliot

5'

Z. Farnsworth

23'

↕ F. Canete / F. Barajas

46'

J. Garcia

54'

K. Egwu

55'

63'

B. P. Rodrigues / Nick Firmino ↕

↕ Judson / W. Leggett

64'

70'

M. Yosef / M. Fry ↕

74'

ast. A. Molloy · P. Goodrum⚽

80'

ast. B. P. Rodrigues · M. Epps⚽

↕ S. Lletget / D. Otoya

83'

85'

T. Scott / M. Epps ↕

⚽D. Otoya · ast. W. Leggett

85'

85'

M. Tschantret / B. Ferri ↕

↕ N. Ross / A. Villasana

88'

F. Barajas

90'+2

K. Egwu

90'

K. Egwu

90'

Pre-match prediction

21.75%

Monterey

19.22%

X

59.03%

Lexington ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lexington) 59.03% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Monterey

0.96

—

—

Lexington

2.29

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24