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USL Championship · Group Stage August 09, 2026 04:00
2 – 5
Final score
R. Nakamura (ast. Jacob Montes) 31'
S. Lletget (ast. O. Glasgow) 55'
6' (ast. C. Gloster) V. Noel
74' (ast. V. Noel) G. Hurst
77' (ast. O. Jabang) V. Noel
86' (ast. N. Hamalainen) D. Harris
90'+1 (ast. D. Harris) N. Reid-Stephen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 44% win probability (draw 29%, Monterey Bay 26%). The final result was Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United.

Match statistics
Match Events
6'
ast. C. Gloster · V. Noel
17'
O. Jabang
R. Nakamura · ast. Jacob Montes
31'
Q. Elliot
39'
44'
C. Nava
46'
N. Reid-Stephen / C. Nava
S. Lletget · ast. O. Glasgow
55'
63'
C. Wilkerson / J. LaCava
63'
T. Blackett / C. Gloster
Jacob Montes / F. Barajas
66'
74'
ast. V. Noel · G. Hurst
75'
D. Harris / J. Melto Quiah
Q. Elliot / J. Garcia
76'
W. Leggett / D. Otoya
76'
77'
ast. O. Jabang · V. Noel
86'
ast. N. Hamalainen · D. Harris
R. Nakamura / E. Blancas
88'
O. Glasgow / S. Ritchie
88'
90'+1
ast. D. Harris · N. Reid-Stephen
90'
J. Rennicks / G. Hurst
Pre-match prediction
26.54%
Monterey
29.0%
X
44.46%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 44.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterey
0.67
New
1.21
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 23 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 29% to a draw, and 44% to an New Mexico United win.