USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 09, 2026 04:00
R. Nakamura
(ast. Jacob Montes)
31'
S. Lletget
(ast. O. Glasgow)
55'
6'
(ast. C. Gloster)
V. Noel
74'
(ast. V. Noel)
G. Hurst
77'
(ast. O. Jabang)
V. Noel
86'
(ast. N. Hamalainen)
D. Harris
90'+1
(ast. D. Harris)
N. Reid-Stephen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 44% win probability (draw 29%, Monterey Bay 26%). The final result was Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
6'
ast. C. Gloster ·
V. Noel⚽
17'
O. Jabang
⚽R. Nakamura
· ast. Jacob Montes
31'
Q. Elliot
39'
44'
C. Nava
46'
N. Reid-Stephen
/
C. Nava
⚽S. Lletget
· ast. O. Glasgow
55'
63'
C. Wilkerson
/
J. LaCava
63'
T. Blackett
/
C. Gloster
Jacob Montes
/ F. Barajas
66'
74'
ast. V. Noel ·
G. Hurst⚽
75'
D. Harris
/
J. Melto Quiah
Q. Elliot
/ J. Garcia
76'
W. Leggett
/ D. Otoya
76'
77'
ast. O. Jabang ·
V. Noel⚽
86'
ast. N. Hamalainen ·
D. Harris⚽
R. Nakamura
/ E. Blancas
88'
O. Glasgow
/ S. Ritchie
88'
90'+1
ast. D. Harris ·
N. Reid-Stephen⚽
90'
J. Rennicks
/
G. Hurst
Pre-match prediction
26.54%
Monterey
29.0%
X
44.46%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United)
44.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.67
—
—
1.21
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 29% to a draw, and 44% to an New Mexico United win.