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USL Championship · Group Stage August 09, 2026 04:00
#12 · 24 pts
2 – 5
Final score
#1 · 52 pts
R. Nakamura (ast. Jacob Montes) 31'
S. Lletget (ast. O. Glasgow) 55'
6' (ast. C. Gloster) V. Noel
74' (ast. V. Noel) G. Hurst
77' (ast. O. Jabang) V. Noel
86' (ast. N. Hamalainen) D. Harris
90'+1 (ast. D. Harris) N. Reid-Stephen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 44% win probability (draw 29%, Monterey Bay 26%). The final result was Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New Mexico United.

Match statistics
Match Events
6'
ast. C. Gloster · V. Noel⚽
17'
O. Jabang
⚽R. Nakamura · ast. Jacob Montes
31'
Q. Elliot
39'
44'
C. Nava
46'
N. Reid-Stephen / C. Nava ↕
⚽S. Lletget · ast. O. Glasgow
55'
63'
C. Wilkerson / J. LaCava ↕
63'
T. Blackett / C. Gloster ↕
↕ Jacob Montes / F. Barajas
66'
74'
ast. V. Noel · G. Hurst⚽
75'
D. Harris / J. Melto Quiah ↕
↕ Q. Elliot / J. Garcia
76'
↕ W. Leggett / D. Otoya
76'
77'
ast. O. Jabang · V. Noel⚽
86'
ast. N. Hamalainen · D. Harris⚽
↕ R. Nakamura / E. Blancas
88'
↕ O. Glasgow / S. Ritchie
88'
90'+1
ast. D. Harris · N. Reid-Stephen⚽
90'
J. Rennicks / G. Hurst ↕
Pre-match prediction
26.54%
Monterey
29.0%
X
44.46%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 44.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterey
0.67
—
—
New
1.21
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 29% to a draw, and 44% to an New Mexico United win.