USL Championship
· Group Stage
July 26, 2026 04:00
I. Paul
(ast. N. Gordon)
88'
48'
T. Brewitt
(og)
51'
N. Gordon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterey Bay a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Orange County SC 34%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–2 Orange County SC.
Match statistics
Match Events
27'
T. Brewitt
I. Paul
39'
48'
T. Brewitt⚽
51'
(og)
N. Gordon⚽
A. Saidi
/ W. Leggett
56'
R. Nakamura
/ J. Belmar
56'
59'
G. Tubbs
Q. Elliot
/ J. Garcia
74'
F. Barajas
/ S. Ritchie
74'
79'
E. Zubak
/
L. MacKinnon
79'
J. Martinez
/
E. Solis
86'
R. Doghman
/
O. Sylla
⚽I. Paul
· ast. N. Gordon
88'
N. Ross
/ K. Egwu
90'+3
90'+3
M. War
/
C. Hegardt
Pre-match prediction
42.19%
Monterey
23.31%
X
34.5%
Orange ←
we assigned to the actual result (Orange County SC)
34.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
—
—
1.67
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
The final score was Monterey Bay 1–2 Orange County SC.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Orange County SC win.