USL Championship
· Group Stage
September 06, 2026 04:00
R. Nakamura
88'
79'
(ast. P. Mar Boye)
D. Flores
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Monterey Bay 29%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Phoenix Rising.
Match statistics
Match Events
F. Barajas
55'
68'
G. Studenhofft
/
D. Badji
68'
T. Schmitt
/
D. Gomez
69'
A. Essengue
/
R. Czichos
J. Garcia
/ Q. Elliot
69'
79'
ast. P. Mar Boye ·
D. Flores⚽
N. Ross
/ Jacob Montes
80'
S. Lletget
/ F. Canete
80'
I. Paul
/ D. Otoya
82'
86'
L. Biasi
/
I. Sacko
⚽R. Nakamura
88'
90'+1
D. Rivera
/
D. Flores
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
Monterey
22.76%
X ←
48.11%
Phoenix
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
—
—
1.81
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 22% to a draw, and 48% to an Phoenix Rising win.