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USL Championship · Group Stage September 06, 2026 04:00
#12 · 24 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#8 · 40 pts
R. Nakamura 88'
79' (ast. P. Mar Boye) D. Flores
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Monterey Bay 29%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Phoenix Rising.

Match statistics
Match Events
F. Barajas
55'
68'
G. Studenhofft / D. Badji ↕
68'
T. Schmitt / D. Gomez ↕
69'
A. Essengue / R. Czichos ↕
↕ J. Garcia / Q. Elliot
69'
79'
ast. P. Mar Boye · D. Flores⚽
↕ N. Ross / Jacob Montes
80'
↕ S. Lletget / F. Canete
80'
↕ I. Paul / D. Otoya
82'
86'
L. Biasi / I. Sacko ↕
⚽R. Nakamura
88'
90'+1
D. Rivera / D. Flores ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
Monterey
22.76%
X ←
48.11%
Phoenix
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterey
1.19
—
—
Phoenix
1.81
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 22% to a draw, and 48% to an Phoenix Rising win.