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USL Championship · Group Stage September 06, 2026 04:00
1 – 1
Final score
R. Nakamura 88'
79' (ast. P. Mar Boye) D. Flores
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Monterey Bay 29%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Phoenix Rising.

Match statistics
Match Events
F. Barajas
55'
68'
G. Studenhofft / D. Badji
68'
T. Schmitt / D. Gomez
69'
A. Essengue / R. Czichos
J. Garcia / Q. Elliot
69'
79'
ast. P. Mar Boye · D. Flores
N. Ross / Jacob Montes
80'
S. Lletget / F. Canete
80'
I. Paul / D. Otoya
82'
86'
L. Biasi / I. Sacko
R. Nakamura
88'
90'+1
D. Rivera / D. Flores
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
Monterey
22.76%
X ←
48.11%
Phoenix
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterey
1.19
Phoenix
1.81
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 22% to a draw, and 48% to an Phoenix Rising win.