USL Championship · Group Stage August 30, 2026 04:00

Monterey Bay

#12 · 24 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Sacramento Republic

#2 · 51 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Sacramento Republic, result Draw

O. Glasgow (ast. F. Barajas) 44'

84' C. Jennings

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Monterey Bay 21%). The final result was Monterey Bay 1–1 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, Monterey Bay have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sacramento Republic.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽O. Glasgow · ast. F. Barajas

44'

64'

C. Jennings / F. Ajago ↕

65'

R. Spaulding / T. Leibold ↕

↕ F. Barajas / W. Leggett

72'

72'

K. Edwards / T. Wolff ↕

72'

A. Midence / B. Willey ↕

J. Garcia

77'

↕ N. Ross / Judson

82'

↕ J. Garcia / Q. Elliot

82'

84'

C. Jennings⚽

85'

F. Kleemann / J. Casas ↕

↕ N. Gordon / Z. Farnsworth

90'+4

↕ R. Nakamura / D. Otoya

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

21.66%

Monterey

22.75%

X ←

55.59%

Sacramento

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.75% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Monterey

0.87

—

—

Sacramento

1.81

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24