USL Championship
· Group Stage
June 11, 2026 04:00
✓Model correct — prediction Monterey Bay
J. Garcia
(ast. I. Paul)
19'
R. Bidois
80'
70'
K. Sadlier
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterey Bay a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Sporting JAX 16%). The final result was Monterey Bay 2–1 Sporting JAX.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Garcia
· ast. I. Paul
19'
26'
H. Neville
58'
W. Kuzain
/
R. Somersall
C. Nadje
/ W. Leggett
65'
70'
K. Sadlier⚽
R. Nakamura
75'
77'
W. Kuzain
⚽R. Bidois
80'
S. Lletget
/ E. Blancas
83'
R. Bidois
84'
Pre-match prediction
59.94%
Monterey ←
23.1%
X
16.96%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Monterey Bay)
59.94%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
—
—
0.83
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Sporting JAX?
The final score was Monterey Bay 2–1 Sporting JAX.
What did the model predict before Monterey Bay vs Sporting JAX?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Monterey Bay win, 23% to a draw, and 16% to an Sporting JAX win.