Liga MX
· Clausura - 13
April 05, 2026 01:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Monterrey, result Atletico San Luis wins
U. Djurdjevic
(ast. O. Torres)
20'
48'
(ast. S. Salles-Lamonge)
Joao Pedro Galvao
90'
(ast. S. Salles-Lamonge)
D. Rodriguez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 19%). The final result was Monterrey 1–2 Atletico San Luis. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico San Luis.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
7
0.76
Actual xG
1.10
5
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
9
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
Andrés Sánchez
⚽U. Djurdjevic
· ast. O. Torres
20'
J. Rodriguez
/ L. Orellano
22'
46'
L. Flores
/
A. Duarte
48'
ast. S. Salles-Lamonge ·
Joao Pedro Galvao⚽
51'
Oscar Macías
Carlos Salcedo
66'
C. Salcedo
/ S. Medina
67'
J. Corona
/ R. de la Rosa
68'
70'
D. Rodriguez
/
J. Medina
76'
M. Garcia
/
R. Meraz
U. Djurdjevic
/ L. Ocampos
85'
87'
Robson Bambu
/
O. Macias
Óliver Torres
90'+1
90'+5
Aldo Cruz
90'
ast. S. Salles-Lamonge ·
D. Rodriguez⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.34%
Monterrey
24.87%
X
19.79%
Atletico ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico San Luis)
19.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
0.76
-0.92
0.93
1.10
+0.17
Atletico San Luis dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
3
D
13
C. Salcedo
67'
D
C. Salcedo
67'
D
4
Victor Guzmán
D
Victor Guzmán
D
2
R. Chávez
D
R. Chávez
D
30
J. Rodríguez
22'
M
J. Rodríguez
22'
M
5
F. Ambríz
M
F. Ambríz
M
17
J. Corona
68'
M
J. Corona
68'
M
10
M
8
Óliver Torres
1 👟
M
Óliver Torres
1 👟
M
20
U. Đurđević
1 ⚽
85'
F
U. Đurđević
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
192
Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
F
Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
F
29
L. Ocampos
17'
M
L. Ocampos
17'
M
11
L. Orellano
68'
F
L. Orellano
68'
F
21
L. Reyes
D
L. Reyes
D
33
S. Medina
23'
D
S. Medina
23'
D
1
A. Sánchez
G
A. Sánchez
G
18
A. Cruz
D
A. Cruz
D
31
E. Águila
D
E. Águila
D
6
D
2
D
10
2 👟
M
21
Ó. Macías
87'
M
Ó. Macías
87'
M
5
R. Meraz
76'
M
R. Meraz
76'
M
17
A. Duarte
45'
F
A. Duarte
45'
F
9
J. Galvão
1 ⚽
F
J. Galvão
1 ⚽
F
28
J. Medina
70'
F
Bench
7
B. Galdames
M
B. Galdames
M
11
D. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
20'
M
D. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
20'
M
20
L. Flores
45'
F
L. Flores
45'
F
15
Lucas Esteves
D
Lucas Esteves
D
26
S. Pérez Bouquet
M
S. Pérez Bouquet
M
Best on the pitch
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 55 pass
G · Monterrey
8.00
· 35 pass
D. Rodríguez
M · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
J. Galvão
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 20 pass
M · Atletico
7.30
2 👟
· 38 pass
U. Đurđević
F · Monterrey
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Salcedo | D | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Victor Guzmán | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Chávez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ambríz | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 55 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| U. Đurđević | F | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Orellano | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Medina | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sánchez | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cruz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Águila | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Ó. Macías | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Meraz | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Duarte | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Galvão | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Medina | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Rodríguez | M | 20 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
The final score was Monterrey 1–2 Atletico San Luis.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Monterrey win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Atletico San Luis win.