Liga MX
· Clausura - 13
April 05, 2026 01:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Monterrey, result Atletico San Luis vince
U. Djurdjevic
(ast. O. Torres)
20'
48'
(ast. S. Salles-Lamonge)
Joao Pedro Galvao
90'
(ast. S. Salles-Lamonge)
D. Rodriguez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 19%). The final result was Monterrey 1–2 Atletico San Luis. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico San Luis.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
7
0.76
Actual xG
1.10
5
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
9
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
Andrés Sánchez
⚽U. Djurdjevic
· ast. O. Torres
20'
J. Rodriguez
/ L. Orellano
22'
46'
L. Flores
/
A. Duarte
48'
ast. S. Salles-Lamonge ·
Joao Pedro Galvao⚽
51'
Oscar Macías
Carlos Salcedo
66'
C. Salcedo
/ S. Medina
67'
J. Corona
/ R. de la Rosa
68'
70'
D. Rodriguez
/
J. Medina
76'
M. Garcia
/
R. Meraz
U. Djurdjevic
/ L. Ocampos
85'
87'
Robson Bambu
/
O. Macias
Óliver Torres
90'+1
90'+5
Aldo Cruz
90'
ast. S. Salles-Lamonge ·
D. Rodriguez⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.34%
Monterrey
24.87%
X
19.79%
Atletico ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico San Luis)
19.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
0.76
-0.92
0.93
1.10
+0.17
Atletico San Luis dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
3
D
13
Carlos Salcedo
67'
D
4
V. Guzman
D
2
R. Chavez
D
30
J. Rodriguez
22'
M
5
F. Ambriz
M
17
J. Corona
68'
M
10
M
8
Óliver Torres
1 👟
M
20
U. Djurdjevic
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
192
J. Moxica
F
29
L. Ocampos
17'
M
11
L. Orellano
68'
F
21
L. Reyes
D
33
S. Medina
23'
D
1
Andrés Sánchez
G
18
A. Cruz
D
31
E. Aguila
D
6
D
2
D
10
2 👟
M
21
O. Macias
87'
M
5
R. Meraz
76'
M
17
A. Duarte
45'
F
9
Joao Pedro Galvao
1 ⚽
F
28
J. Medina
70'
F
Bench
7
B. Galdames
M
11
D. Rodriguez
1 ⚽
20'
M
20
L. Flores
45'
F
15
Lucas Esteves
D
26
S. Perez
M
Best on the pitch
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 55 pass
G · Monterrey
8.00
· 35 pass
D. Rodriguez
M · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Joao Pedro Galvao
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 20 pass
M · Atletico
7.30
2 👟
· 38 pass
U. Djurdjevic
F · Monterrey
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Carlos Salcedo | D | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Guzman | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Chavez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ambriz | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 55 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| U. Djurdjevic | F | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Orellano | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Medina | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Sánchez | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cruz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Aguila | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| O. Macias | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Meraz | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Duarte | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Joao Pedro Galvao | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Medina | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Rodriguez | M | 20 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Flores | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
The final score was Monterrey 1–2 Atletico San Luis.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Monterrey win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Atletico San Luis win.