Liga MX
· Apertura - 4
August 16, 2026 03:10
L. Orellano
(ast. D. Rossi)
6'
D. Rossi
(ast. R. Chavez)
15'
H. Cuypers
(ast. O. Pineda)
29'
O. Pineda
(ast. H. Cuypers)
45'+3
L. Ocampos
(ast. D. Rossi)
62'
J. Rodriguez
(ast. J. Corona)
90'+2
32'
(ast. J. Rodriguez)
O. Estupinan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 40% win probability (draw 30%, FC Juarez 29%). The final result was Monterrey 6–1 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
1
2.49
Actual xG
0.33
62%
Possession
38%
10
Corners
0
Match Events
⚽L. Orellano
· ast. D. Rossi
6'
⚽D. Rossi
· ast. R. Chavez
15'
⚽H. Cuypers
· ast. O. Pineda
29'
32'
ast. J. Rodriguez ·
O. Estupinan⚽
A. Aceves
/ J. Rodriguez
37'
⚽O. Pineda
· ast. H. Cuypers
45'+3
46'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
/
R. Fulgencio
46'
Rodrigo Dourado
/
Guilherme Castilho
55'
56'
Madson
/
Ricardinho
⚽L. Ocampos
· ast. D. Rossi
62'
O. Pineda
/ I. Fimbres
63'
H. Cuypers
/ R. de la Rosa
63'
D. Rossi
/ A. De Nigris
63'
70'
Monchu
/
O. Estupinan
70'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
/
A. Mayorga
L. Ocampos
/ J. Corona
71'
⚽J. Rodriguez
· ast. J. Corona
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
40.68%
Monterrey ←
30.15%
X
29.16%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey)
40.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
2.49
+0.21
1.19
0.33
-0.86
Monterrey dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Monterrey 6–1 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Monterrey win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an FC Juarez win.