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Liga MX · Apertura - 14 October 25, 2026 03:00 Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Monterrey
#7 · 20 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Guadalajara Chivas
#3 · 26 pts
9' (ast. Santiago Sandoval) Roberto Alvarado
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Monterrey 34%). The final result was Monterrey 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
7
1.71
Actual xG
1.32
6
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
3
12
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
9'
ast. Santiago Sandoval · Roberto Alvarado⚽
⚽Lucas Ocampos (missed pen.)
19'
↕ Fidel Ambriz / Óliver Torres
56'
60'
Efrain Alvarez / Richard Ledezma ↕
66'
Kevin Castañeda / Ricardo Marín ↕
66'
Jesús Hernández / Omar Govea ↕
↕ César Garza / Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez
71'
79'
Leonel Calderón Oviedo / Bryan Gonzalez ↕
79'
A. Chávez / Daniel Aguirre ↕
↕ Jesús Corona / Lucas Orellano
79'
Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez
82'
Diego Rossi
88'
90'+8
Matías Jesús Almeyda
90'+9
Orbelín Pineda
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.29%
Monterrey
26.11%
X
39.6%
Guadalajara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 39.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterrey
1.54
1.71
+0.17
Guadalajara
1.85
1.32
-0.53
Monterrey dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.32). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Monterrey Monterrey 4-1-3-2
1 E. Andrada E. Andrada G 7.57
3 G. Arteaga G. Arteaga D 6.55
4 V. Guzmán V. Guzmán D 6.90
5 F. Ambríz F. Ambríz 56' D 6.76
2 R. Chávez R. Chávez D 6.41
18 Cesar Garza Cantu Cesar Garza Cantu 71' M 6.55
17 J. Corona J. Corona 79' M 6.60
25 O. Pineda O. Pineda M 6.25
7 L. Ocampos L. Ocampos M 6.36
99 H. Cuypers H. Cuypers F 6.65
9 D. Rossi D. Rossi F 7.60
Bench
19 A. Aceves A. Aceves D 0.00
13 C. Salcedo C. Salcedo D 0.00
14 É. Aguirre É. Aguirre M 0.00
30 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez M 0.00
22 L. Cárdenas L. Cárdenas G 0.00
10 L. Orellano L. Orellano 11' F 6.69
8 Óliver Torres Óliver Torres 34' M 6.16
27 R. de la Rosa R. de la Rosa F 0.00
33 S. Medina S. Medina D 0.00
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
1 J. Rangel J. Rangel G 7.52
3 D. Campillo D. Campillo D 6.32
16 L. Rey L. Rey D 6.65
23 D. Aguirre D. Aguirre 79' D 6.42
5 B. González B. González 79' M 5.95
6 O. Govea O. Govea 66' M 6.54
28 R. González R. González M 6.64
37 R. Ledezma R. Ledezma 60' M 6.27
30 Santiago Sandoval Santiago Sandoval 1 👟 M 6.57
25 R. Alvarado R. Alvarado 1 ⚽ M 8.02
17 R. Marín R. Marín 66' F 6.06
Bench
56 Á. Chávez Á. Chávez 11' D 6.40
46 C. Hernandez C. Hernandez D 0.00
59 C. Inda C. Inda M 0.00
10 E. Álvarez E. Álvarez 30' F 6.73
14 H. Camberos H. Camberos M 0.00
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo M 0.00
57 J. Hernández J. Hernández 24' F 6.78
19 K. Castañeda K. Castañeda 24' M 6.55
182 L. Calderon L. Calderon 11' M 6.25
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G 0.00
Best on the pitch
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
M · Guadalajara
8.02
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
D. Rossi
D. Rossi
F · Monterrey
7.60
4 shots · 25 pass
E. Andrada
E. Andrada
G · Monterrey
7.57
· 40 pass
J. Rangel
J. Rangel
G · Guadalajara
7.52
· 40 pass
V. Guzmán
V. Guzmán
D · Monterrey
6.90
· 65 pass
J. Hernández
J. Hernández
F · Guadalajara
6.78
1 shots · 10 pass
Monterrey Monterrey — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Andrada G 90 7.57 — — 0 40 31% 0 — —
G. Arteaga D 90 6.55 — — 0 44 39% 0 — —
V. Guzmán D 90 6.90 — — 0 65 59% 4 — —
F. Ambríz D 56 6.76 — — 0 39 37% 0 — —
R. Chávez D 90 6.41 — — 0 68 55% 1 — —
Cesar Garza Cantu M 71 6.55 — — 0 40 37% 1 — —
J. Corona M 79 6.60 — — 0 46 34% 3 — —
O. Pineda M 90 6.25 — — 0 56 47% 2 — 1
L. Ocampos M 90 6.36 — — 3 30 18% 0 — —
H. Cuypers F 90 6.65 — — 2 17 13% 1 — —
D. Rossi F 90 7.60 — — 4 25 22% 0 1 —
L. Orellano F 11 6.69 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
Óliver Torres M 34 6.16 — — 0 31 25% 0 — —
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Rangel G 90 7.52 — — 0 40 23% 0 — —
D. Campillo D 90 6.32 — — 1 29 23% 1 — —
L. Rey D 90 6.65 — — 0 42 31% 2 — —
D. Aguirre D 79 6.42 — — 1 26 20% 2 — —
B. González M 79 5.95 — — 2 18 16% 1 — —
O. Govea M 66 6.54 — — 0 23 21% 1 — —
R. González M 90 6.64 — — 0 30 25% 5 — —
R. Ledezma M 60 6.27 — — 0 15 11% 1 — —
Santiago Sandoval M 90 6.57 — 1 2 21 14% 0 — —
R. Alvarado M 90 8.02 1 — 1 35 31% 5 — —
R. Marín F 66 6.06 — — 0 22 15% 2 — —
Á. Chávez D 11 6.40 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
E. Álvarez F 30 6.73 — — 0 18 16% 0 — —
J. Hernández F 24 6.78 — — 1 10 6% 0 — —
K. Castañeda M 24 6.55 — — 3 13 11% 0 — —
L. Calderon M 11 6.25 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Monterrey 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Monterrey win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.