Liga MX
· Clausura - 15
April 19, 2026 03:05
L. Ocampos
21'
(pen.)
54'
Kenedy
72'
(ast. A. Dominguez)
A. Bautista
83'
(ast. C. Rivera)
E. Valencia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Monterrey 34%). The final result was Monterrey 1–3 CF Pachuca. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.55
Actual xG
1.77
1
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽L. Ocampos
(pen.)
21'
S. Medina
26'
26'
S. Rondon
28'
Eduardo Bauermann
46'
A. Bautista
/
E. Montiel
54'
Kenedy⚽
J. Corona
/ S. Canales
64'
64'
A. Dominguez
/
O. Idrissi
70'
C. Rivera
72'
ast. A. Dominguez ·
A. Bautista⚽
76'
E. Valencia
/
S. Rondon
L. Ocampos
76'
L. Orellano
/ S. Rodriguez
78'
L. Reyes
/ G. Arteaga
78'
L. Ocampos
/ U. Djurdjevic
79'
80'
V. Guzman
83'
ast. C. Rivera ·
E. Valencia⚽
87'
S. Rodriguez
/
Kenedy
Pre-match prediction
34.47%
Monterrey
26.43%
X
39.1%
CF ←
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
39.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.55
+0.31
1.48
1.77
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.55 – 1.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
21
L. Reyes
78'
D
L. Reyes
78'
D
13
C. Salcedo
D
C. Salcedo
D
33
S. Medina
D
S. Medina
D
2
R. Chávez
D
R. Chávez
D
5
F. Ambríz
M
F. Ambríz
M
8
Óliver Torres
M
Óliver Torres
M
29
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
79'
M
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
79'
M
17
J. Corona
64'
M
J. Corona
64'
M
11
L. Orellano
78'
M
L. Orellano
78'
M
27
F
Bench
194
Cristian Reyes
M
Cristian Reyes
M
14
É. Aguirre
M
É. Aguirre
M
20
U. Đurđević
11'
F
U. Đurđević
11'
F
4
Victor Guzmán
D
Victor Guzmán
D
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
12
B. García
D
B. García
D
2
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
14
C. Sánchez
D
C. Sánchez
D
8
V. Guzmán
M
V. Guzmán
M
16
C. Rivera
1 👟
M
C. Rivera
1 👟
M
11
O. Idrissi
64'
M
O. Idrissi
64'
M
28
E. Montiel
45'
M
E. Montiel
45'
M
29
Kenedy
1 ⚽
87'
M
Kenedy
1 ⚽
87'
M
23
S. Rondón
76'
F
S. Rondón
76'
F
Bench
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
45'
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
45'
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
1 👟
26'
F
Alexei Domínguez
1 👟
26'
F
184
C. Alfaro
D
C. Alfaro
D
10
E. Valencia
1 ⚽
14'
F
E. Valencia
1 ⚽
14'
F
7
L. Quiñones
F
L. Quiñones
F
188
S. Rodríguez
12'
M
S. Rodríguez
12'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Medina
D · Monterrey
8.30
· 86 pass
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Kenedy
M · CF
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M · CF
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
C. Rivera
M · CF
7.30
1 👟
· 46 pass
C. Moreno
G · CF
7.30
· 30 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| L. Reyes | D | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Salcedo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Medina | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 86 | 73% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Chávez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ambríz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 79 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 23% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Corona | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Orellano | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| U. Đurđević | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. García | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 42% | 4 | 1 | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 87 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 26 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Monterrey 1–3 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Monterrey win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an CF Pachuca win.