Liga MX
· Clausura - 15
April 19, 2026 03:05
L. Ocampos
21'
(pen.)
54'
Kenedy
72'
(ast. A. Dominguez)
A. Bautista
83'
(ast. C. Rivera)
E. Valencia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Monterrey 34%). The final result was Monterrey 1–3 CF Pachuca. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.55
Actual xG
1.77
1
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽L. Ocampos
(pen.)
21'
S. Medina
26'
26'
S. Rondon
28'
Eduardo Bauermann
46'
A. Bautista
/
E. Montiel
54'
Kenedy⚽
J. Corona
/ S. Canales
64'
64'
A. Dominguez
/
O. Idrissi
70'
C. Rivera
72'
ast. A. Dominguez ·
A. Bautista⚽
76'
E. Valencia
/
S. Rondon
L. Ocampos
76'
L. Orellano
/ S. Rodriguez
78'
L. Reyes
/ G. Arteaga
78'
L. Ocampos
/ U. Djurdjevic
79'
80'
V. Guzman
83'
ast. C. Rivera ·
E. Valencia⚽
87'
S. Rodriguez
/
Kenedy
Pre-match prediction
34.47%
Monterrey
26.43%
X
39.1%
CF ←
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
39.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.55
+0.31
1.48
1.77
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.55 – 1.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
21
Luis Reyes
78'
D
Luis Reyes
78'
D
13
Carlos Salcedo
D
Carlos Salcedo
D
33
Stefan Medina
D
Stefan Medina
D
2
Ricardo Chávez
D
Ricardo Chávez
D
5
Fidel Ambríz
M
Fidel Ambríz
M
8
Óliver Torres
M
Óliver Torres
M
29
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
79'
M
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
79'
M
17
Jesús Corona
64'
M
Jesús Corona
64'
M
11
Luca Orellano
78'
M
Luca Orellano
78'
M
27
F
Bench
194
Cristian Reyes
M
Cristian Reyes
M
14
E. Aguirre
M
20
Uroš Đurđević
11'
F
Uroš Đurđević
11'
F
4
Victor Guzmán
D
Victor Guzmán
D
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
12
Brian García
D
Brian García
D
2
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
14
C. Sánchez
D
C. Sánchez
D
8
Víctor Guzmán
M
Víctor Guzmán
M
16
C. Rivera
1 👟
M
C. Rivera
1 👟
M
11
O. Idrissi
64'
M
O. Idrissi
64'
M
28
E. Montiel
45'
M
E. Montiel
45'
M
29
Kenedy
1 ⚽
87'
M
Kenedy
1 ⚽
87'
M
23
S. Rondón
76'
F
S. Rondón
76'
F
Bench
18
A. Domínguez
1 👟
26'
F
A. Domínguez
1 👟
26'
F
26
Alan Bautista
1 ⚽
45'
M
Alan Bautista
1 ⚽
45'
M
184
Cristobal Alfaro
D
Cristobal Alfaro
D
10
E. Valencia
1 ⚽
14'
F
E. Valencia
1 ⚽
14'
F
7
Luis Quiñones
F
Luis Quiñones
F
188
Sergio Rodríguez
12'
M
Sergio Rodríguez
12'
M
Best on the pitch
Stefan Medina
D · Monterrey
8.30
· 86 pass
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Kenedy
M · CF
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Alan Bautista
M · CF
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
C. Rivera
M · CF
7.30
1 👟
· 46 pass
C. Moreno
G · CF
7.30
· 30 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| Luis Reyes | D | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Salcedo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Stefan Medina | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 86 | 73% | — | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Chávez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Fidel Ambríz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 79 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 23% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Corona | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Luca Orellano | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Uroš Đurđević | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Brian García | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 42% | 4 | 1 | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 87 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Domínguez | F | 26 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alan Bautista | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Rodríguez | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Monterrey 1–3 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Monterrey win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an CF Pachuca win.