Diego Rossi
13'
Jesús Corona
(ast. Lucas Ocampos)
16'
75'
(ast. Jorge Berlanga)
Salomón Rondón
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 46% win probability (draw 25%, CF Pachuca 28%). The final result was Monterrey 2–1 CF Pachuca. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
1.79
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
8
14
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Lucas Ocampos
(missed pen.)
13'
⚽Diego Rossi
13'
⚽Jesús Corona
· ast. Lucas Ocampos
16'
Lucas Ocampos
22'
56'
Rodolfo Pizarro
63'
Cristóbal Hernández
/
Mauricio Isais
Lucas Ocampos
/ Lucas Orellano
71'
Diego Rossi
/ Óliver Torres
72'
75'
ast. Jorge Berlanga ·
Salomón Rondón⚽
Jesús Corona
/ Stefan Medina
78'
Ricardo Chávez
/ Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez
78'
81'
Gael Álvarez
/
Javier Vallejo
84'
Sergio Barreto
Gerardo Arteaga
85'
85'
Carlos Moreno
87'
Sebastian Santos
/
Jorge Berlanga
87'
Illian Hernández
/
Rodolfo Pizarro
Óliver Torres
88'
César Garza
/ Jorge Rodríguez
89'
Pre-match prediction
46.56%
Monterrey ←
25.39%
X
28.05%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey)
46.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.25
1.79
-0.46
1.59
0.91
-0.68
Monterrey dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. Andrada
G
E. Andrada
G
3
G. Arteaga
D
G. Arteaga
D
13
C. Salcedo
D
C. Salcedo
D
4
V. Guzmán
D
V. Guzmán
D
2
R. Chávez
78'
D
R. Chávez
78'
D
25
O. Pineda
M
O. Pineda
M
18
Cesar Garza Cantu
89'
M
Cesar Garza Cantu
89'
M
7
L. Ocampos
1 👟
71'
M
L. Ocampos
1 👟
71'
M
17
J. Corona
1 ⚽
78'
M
J. Corona
1 ⚽
78'
M
9
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
72'
M
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
72'
M
99
H. Cuypers
F
H. Cuypers
F
Bench
19
A. Aceves
D
A. Aceves
D
14
É. Aguirre
M
É. Aguirre
M
5
F. Ambríz
M
F. Ambríz
M
30
J. Rodríguez
1'
M
J. Rodríguez
1'
M
22
L. Cárdenas
G
L. Cárdenas
G
10
L. Orellano
19'
F
L. Orellano
19'
F
8
Óliver Torres
18'
M
Óliver Torres
18'
M
27
R. de la Rosa
F
R. de la Rosa
F
33
S. Medina
12'
D
S. Medina
12'
D
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
6
M. Isaís
63'
D
M. Isaís
63'
D
2
S. Barreto
D
S. Barreto
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
13
J. Berlanga
1 👟
87'
D
J. Berlanga
1 👟
87'
D
11
O. Idrissi
M
O. Idrissi
M
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M
16
C. Rivera
M
C. Rivera
M
21
N. Vallejo
81'
M
N. Vallejo
81'
M
7
R. Pizarro
87'
M
R. Pizarro
87'
M
23
S. Rondón
1 ⚽
F
S. Rondón
1 ⚽
F
Bench
211
C. Hernandez
27'
F
C. Hernandez
27'
F
187
G. Ãlvarez
9'
F
G. Ãlvarez
9'
F
19
I. Hernández
3'
F
I. Hernández
3'
F
31
J. Eulogio
G
J. Eulogio
G
32
P. Budib
D
P. Budib
D
30
S. Rodríguez
M
S. Rodríguez
M
12
S. Santos
3'
M
S. Santos
3'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Corona
M · Monterrey
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
S. Rondón
F · CF
7.97
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 26 pass
D. Rossi
M · Monterrey
7.53
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
V. Guzmán
D · Monterrey
7.16
· 61 pass
C. Salcedo
D · Monterrey
7.14
· 79 pass
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
6.87
1 👟
4 shots
· 32 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Andrada | G | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Arteaga | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Salcedo | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 79 | 68% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Chávez | D | 78 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| Cesar Garza Cantu | M | 89 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 71 | 6.87 | — | 1 | 4 | 32 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Corona | M | 78 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | M | 72 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Orellano | F | 19 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 18 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Medina | D | 12 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 28% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Isaís | D | 63 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Barreto | D | 90 | 5.63 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Berlanga | D | 87 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 32 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | M | 81 | 5.52 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 87 | 5.19 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 90 | 7.97 | 1 | — | 5 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Hernandez | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ãlvarez | F | 9 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Hernández | F | 3 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Santos | M | 3 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Monterrey 2–1 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Monterrey win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an CF Pachuca win.