← Liga MX
Liga MX · Clausura - 16 April 22, 2026 05:05
#1 · 3 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#17 · 13 pts
L. Ocampos 42' (pen.)
O. Torres (ast. R. Chavez) 44'
2' (ast. B. Garnica) E. Gomez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Puebla 21%). The final result was Monterrey 2–1 Puebla. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
2.36
Actual xG
1.04
1
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
4
16
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. B. Garnica · E. Gomez
F. Ambriz
15'
31'
E. Lozano / A. Canelo
L. Ocampos (pen.)
42'
O. Torres · ast. R. Chavez
44'
45'+3
A. Organista
60'
O. Torres / I. Fimbres
67'
L. Reyes / G. Arteaga
67'
J. Corona / S. Rodriguez
73'
74'
U. Torres / E. Navarro
74'
C. Baltazar / A. Ramirez
C. Salcedo
80'
C. Salcedo / A. Aceves
84'
L. Orellano / C. Reyes
84'
C. Reyes
89'
90'+1
E. Mustre / B. Garnica
Pre-match prediction
50.11%
Monterrey ←
28.41%
X
21.48%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey) 50.11% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterrey
1.32
2.36
+1.04
Puebla
0.81
1.04
+0.23
Monterrey dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monterrey Monterrey 2 3
1 Toluca Toluca 17 37
1 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 16 35
1 Toluca Toluca 2 3
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 36
1 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 1 3
1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2 4
1 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1 3
2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 17 36
2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 3
2 Toluca Toluca 2 3
2 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 1 0
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 17 36
2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16 33
2 Toluca Toluca 2 4
2 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 1 3
3 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 3
3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 0
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 17 35
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 17 33
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2 2
3 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 16 31
4 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 2
4 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 16 30
4 Monterrey Monterrey 2 3
4 Club America Club America 17 34
4 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1 0
4 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 17 31
5 Toluca Toluca 16 27
5 Toluca Toluca 17 30
5 Monterrey Monterrey 17 31
5 Club America Club America 2 3
6 Atlas Atlas 17 26
6 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 17 29
6 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 2 3
6 Club America Club America 16 25
7 Atlas Atlas 16 23
7 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 17 25
7 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 17 24
7 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 2 1
8 FC Juarez FC Juarez 17 23
8 Club America Club America 17 25
8 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2 1
8 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 16 22
9 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 17 23
9 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 17 22
9 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 16 22
10 Leon Leon 16 22
10 Leon Leon 17 22
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 21
11 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 17 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
12 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
12 FC Juarez FC Juarez 17 19
12 Monterrey Monterrey 16 18
13 Monterrey Monterrey 17 18
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 16 18
13 Necaxa Necaxa 17 17
14 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 17 18
14 Atlas Atlas 17 17
14 Necaxa Necaxa 16 18
15 Necaxa Necaxa 17 18
15 FC Juarez FC Juarez 16 16
15 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 17 16
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 17 15
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 17 14
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 16 15
17 Leon Leon 17 13
17 Puebla Puebla 17 13
17 Puebla Puebla 17 13
18 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 17 12
18 Puebla Puebla 17 12
18 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 16 9
Lineups
Monterrey Monterrey 4-2-3-1
25
G 6.20
21
L. Reyes 67' D 6.70
13
Carlos Salcedo 84' D 7.20
4
V. Guzman D 7.20
2
R. Chavez 1 👟 D 7.50
8
Óliver Torres 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
5
F. Ambriz M 6.70
29
L. Ocampos 1 ⚽ M 7.20
17
J. Corona 73' M 6.60
11
L. Orellano 84' M 7.20
27
F 6.20
Bench
194
C. Reyes 15' M 7.00
14
E. Aguirre M
20
U. Djurdjevic F
Puebla Puebla 4-1-4-1
28
G 6.60
6
N. Diaz D 6.90
4
J. Vargas D 7.50
192
E. Navarro 74' D 7.20
12
I. Moreno D 6.70
16
A. Ramirez 74' M 6.20
11
E. Gomez 1 ⚽ M 7.90
24
A. Organista M 6.30
18
A. Gamarra M 6.90
27
B. Garnica 1 👟 M 6.50
25
A. Canelo 31' F 6.30
Bench
17
E. Lozano 59' F 5.90
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez D
Best on the pitch
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
E. Gomez
M · Puebla
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 39 pass
R. Chavez
D · Monterrey
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
J. Vargas
D · Puebla
7.50
1 shots · 77 pass
Carlos Salcedo
D · Monterrey
7.20
2 shots · 49 pass
V. Guzman
D · Monterrey
7.20
· 56 pass
Monterrey Monterrey — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 26 20%
L. Reyes D 67 6.70 1 28 26%
Carlos Salcedo D 84 7.20 2 49 45% 1
V. Guzman D 90 7.20 56 51% 1
R. Chavez D 90 7.50 1 2 32 28% 4
Óliver Torres M 67 7.90 1 2 46 43% 1
F. Ambriz M 90 6.70 1 50 44% 2 1
L. Ocampos M 90 7.20 1 3 26 20% 5
J. Corona M 73 6.60 2 31 28% 1
L. Orellano M 84 7.20 2 36 30% 1
F 90 6.20 2 22 14%
C. Reyes M 15 7.00 2 2% 1 1
Puebla Puebla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 43 32%
N. Diaz D 90 6.90 66 60% 2
J. Vargas D 90 7.50 1 77 70% 1
E. Navarro D 74 7.20 34 34% 1
I. Moreno D 90 6.70 1 60 49% 1
A. Ramirez M 74 6.20 33 29%
E. Gomez M 90 7.90 1 3 39 34% 1
A. Organista M 90 6.30 65 58% 4 1
A. Gamarra M 90 6.90 45 43% 2
B. Garnica M 90 6.50 1 24 20% 2
A. Canelo F 31 6.30 16 12%
E. Lozano F 59 5.90 2 9 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Puebla?
The final score was Monterrey 2–1 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Puebla?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Monterrey win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Puebla win.