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Liga MX · Clausura - 16 April 22, 2026 05:05
#9 · 21 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#14 · 16 pts
L. Ocampos 42' (pen.)
O. Torres (ast. R. Chavez) 44'
2' (ast. B. Garnica) E. Gomez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Puebla 21%). The final result was Monterrey 2–1 Puebla. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
2.36
Actual xG
1.04
1
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
4
16
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. B. Garnica · E. Gomez⚽
F. Ambriz
15'
31'
E. Lozano / A. Canelo ↕
⚽L. Ocampos (pen.)
42'
⚽O. Torres · ast. R. Chavez
44'
45'+3
A. Organista
60'
↕ O. Torres / I. Fimbres
67'
↕ L. Reyes / G. Arteaga
67'
↕ J. Corona / S. Rodriguez
73'
74'
U. Torres / E. Navarro ↕
74'
C. Baltazar / A. Ramirez ↕
C. Salcedo
80'
↕ C. Salcedo / A. Aceves
84'
↕ L. Orellano / C. Reyes
84'
C. Reyes
89'
90'+1
E. Mustre / B. Garnica ↕
Pre-match prediction
50.11%
Monterrey ←
28.41%
X
21.48%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey) 50.11% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterrey
1.32
2.36
+1.04
Puebla
0.81
1.04
+0.23
Monterrey dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 15 29
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 15 29
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 15 29
4 Atlas Atlas 15 27
5 Toluca Toluca 15 24
6 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 15 22
7 Leon Leon 15 22
8 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 15 22
9 Monterrey Monterrey 14 21
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 14 20
12 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 15 19
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 15 19
14 Puebla Puebla 15 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 15 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 15 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 15 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 15 8
Lineups
Monterrey Monterrey 4-2-3-1
25
G 6.20
21 L. Reyes L. Reyes 67' D 6.70
13 C. Salcedo C. Salcedo 84' D 7.20
4 V. Guzmán V. Guzmán D 7.20
2 R. Chávez R. Chávez 1 👟 D 7.50
8 Óliver Torres Óliver Torres 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
5 F. Ambríz F. Ambríz M 6.70
29 L. Ocampos L. Ocampos 1 ⚽ M 7.20
17 J. Corona J. Corona 73' M 6.60
11 L. Orellano L. Orellano 84' M 7.20
27
F 6.20
Bench
194 C. Reyes C. Reyes 15' M 7.00
14 É. Aguirre É. Aguirre M
20 U. Đurđević U. Đurđević F
Puebla Puebla 4-1-4-1
28
G 6.60
6 N. Díaz N. Díaz D 6.90
4 J. Vargas J. Vargas D 7.50
192 Eduardo Navarro Eduardo Navarro 74' D 7.20
12 I. Moreno I. Moreno D 6.70
16 A. Ramírez A. Ramírez 74' M 6.20
11 E. Gómez E. Gómez 1 ⚽ M 7.90
24 A. Organista A. Organista M 6.30
18 Ariel Gamarra Ariel Gamarra M 6.90
27 B. Garnica B. Garnica 1 👟 M 6.50
25 A. Canelo A. Canelo 31' F 6.30
Bench
17 E. Lozano E. Lozano 59' F 5.90
20 J. Pachuca J. Pachuca D
Best on the pitch
Óliver Torres
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
E. Gómez
E. Gómez
M · Puebla
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 39 pass
R. Chávez
R. Chávez
D · Monterrey
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
J. Vargas
J. Vargas
D · Puebla
7.50
1 shots · 77 pass
C. Salcedo
C. Salcedo
D · Monterrey
7.20
2 shots · 49 pass
V. Guzmán
V. Guzmán
D · Monterrey
7.20
· 56 pass
Monterrey Monterrey — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 26 20% — — —
L. Reyes D 67 6.70 — — 1 28 26% — — —
C. Salcedo D 84 7.20 — — 2 49 45% — 1 —
V. Guzmán D 90 7.20 — — — 56 51% 1 — —
R. Chávez D 90 7.50 — 1 2 32 28% 4 — —
Óliver Torres M 67 7.90 1 — 2 46 43% 1 — —
F. Ambríz M 90 6.70 — — 1 50 44% 2 1 —
L. Ocampos M 90 7.20 1 — 3 26 20% 5 — —
J. Corona M 73 6.60 — — 2 31 28% 1 — —
L. Orellano M 84 7.20 — — 2 36 30% 1 — —
F 90 6.20 — — 2 22 14% — — —
C. Reyes M 15 7.00 — — — 2 2% 1 1 —
Puebla Puebla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 43 32% — — —
N. Díaz D 90 6.90 — — — 66 60% 2 — —
J. Vargas D 90 7.50 — — 1 77 70% 1 — —
Eduardo Navarro D 74 7.20 — — — 34 34% 1 — —
I. Moreno D 90 6.70 — — 1 60 49% 1 — —
A. Ramírez M 74 6.20 — — — 33 29% — — —
E. Gómez M 90 7.90 1 — 3 39 34% 1 — —
A. Organista M 90 6.30 — — — 65 58% 4 1 —
Ariel Gamarra M 90 6.90 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
B. Garnica M 90 6.50 — 1 — 24 20% 2 — —
A. Canelo F 31 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
E. Lozano F 59 5.90 — — 2 9 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Puebla?
The final score was Monterrey 2–1 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Puebla?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Monterrey win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Puebla win.