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Liga MX · Clausura - 16 April 22, 2026 05:05
#1 · 3 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#17 · 13 pts
L. Ocampos 42' (pen.)
O. Torres (ast. R. Chavez) 44'
2' (ast. B. Garnica) E. Gomez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Puebla 21%). The final result was Monterrey 2–1 Puebla. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
2.36
Actual xG
1.04
1
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
4
16
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. B. Garnica · E. Gomez
F. Ambriz
15'
31'
E. Lozano / A. Canelo
L. Ocampos (pen.)
42'
O. Torres · ast. R. Chavez
44'
45'+3
A. Organista
60'
O. Torres / I. Fimbres
67'
L. Reyes / G. Arteaga
67'
J. Corona / S. Rodriguez
73'
74'
U. Torres / E. Navarro
74'
C. Baltazar / A. Ramirez
C. Salcedo
80'
C. Salcedo / A. Aceves
84'
L. Orellano / C. Reyes
84'
C. Reyes
89'
90'+1
E. Mustre / B. Garnica
Pre-match prediction
50.11%
Monterrey ←
28.41%
X
21.48%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey) 50.11% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterrey
1.32
2.36
+1.04
Puebla
0.81
1.04
+0.23
Monterrey dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monterrey Monterrey 2 3
2 Toluca Toluca 2 3
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2 2
4 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 2
Lineups
Monterrey Monterrey 4-2-3-1
25
G 6.20
21
L. Reyes 67' D 6.70
13
Carlos Salcedo 84' D 7.20
4
V. Guzman D 7.20
2
R. Chavez 1 👟 D 7.50
8 Óliver Torres Óliver Torres 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
5
F. Ambriz M 6.70
29
L. Ocampos 1 ⚽ M 7.20
17
J. Corona 73' M 6.60
11
L. Orellano 84' M 7.20
27
F 6.20
Bench
194
C. Reyes 15' M 7.00
14
E. Aguirre M
20 U. Đurđević U. Đurđević F
Puebla Puebla 4-1-4-1
28
G 6.60
6 N. Díaz N. Díaz D 6.90
4
J. Vargas D 7.50
192
E. Navarro 74' D 7.20
12
I. Moreno D 6.70
16
A. Ramirez 74' M 6.20
11
E. Gomez 1 ⚽ M 7.90
24
A. Organista M 6.30
18
A. Gamarra M 6.90
27
B. Garnica 1 👟 M 6.50
25
A. Canelo 31' F 6.30
Bench
17
E. Lozano 59' F 5.90
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez D
Best on the pitch
Óliver Torres
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
E. Gomez
M · Puebla
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 39 pass
R. Chavez
D · Monterrey
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
J. Vargas
D · Puebla
7.50
1 shots · 77 pass
Carlos Salcedo
D · Monterrey
7.20
2 shots · 49 pass
V. Guzman
D · Monterrey
7.20
· 56 pass
Monterrey Monterrey — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 26 20%
L. Reyes D 67 6.70 1 28 26%
Carlos Salcedo D 84 7.20 2 49 45% 1
V. Guzman D 90 7.20 56 51% 1
R. Chavez D 90 7.50 1 2 32 28% 4
Óliver Torres M 67 7.90 1 2 46 43% 1
F. Ambriz M 90 6.70 1 50 44% 2 1
L. Ocampos M 90 7.20 1 3 26 20% 5
J. Corona M 73 6.60 2 31 28% 1
L. Orellano M 84 7.20 2 36 30% 1
F 90 6.20 2 22 14%
C. Reyes M 15 7.00 2 2% 1 1
Puebla Puebla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 43 32%
N. Díaz D 90 6.90 66 60% 2
J. Vargas D 90 7.50 1 77 70% 1
E. Navarro D 74 7.20 34 34% 1
I. Moreno D 90 6.70 1 60 49% 1
A. Ramirez M 74 6.20 33 29%
E. Gomez M 90 7.90 1 3 39 34% 1
A. Organista M 90 6.30 65 58% 4 1
A. Gamarra M 90 6.90 45 43% 2
B. Garnica M 90 6.50 1 24 20% 2
A. Canelo F 31 6.30 16 12%
E. Lozano F 59 5.90 2 9 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Puebla?
The final score was Monterrey 2–1 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Puebla?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Monterrey win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Puebla win.