Liga MX
· Apertura - 1
July 19, 2026 03:05
L. Ocampos
(ast. D. Rossi)
20'
L. Ocampos
(ast. O. Torres)
25'
J. Corona
(ast. L. Ocampos)
31'
40'
L. Di Yorio
90'+6
(ast. F. Sanchez)
E. Aguirre
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Santos Laguna 32%). The final result was Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
13
Shots on target
3
1.87
Actual xG
2.36
1
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
21
Match Events
⚽L. Ocampos
· ast. D. Rossi
20'
⚽L. Ocampos
· ast. O. Torres
25'
⚽J. Corona
· ast. L. Ocampos
31'
40'
L. Di Yorio⚽
60'
K. Picon
/
J. Abella
60'
E. Aguirre
/
L. Di Yorio
60'
F. Villalba
/
D. Gonzalez
J. Corona
/ F. Ambriz
62'
J. Rodriguez
/ I. Fimbres
76'
82'
D. Medina
/
R. Sordo
82'
A. Lopez
/
C. Gruezo
L. Ocampos
/ L. Reyes
89'
O. Torres
/ U. Djurdjevic
89'
D. Rossi
/ R. de la Rosa
89'
90'+6
ast. F. Sanchez ·
E. Aguirre⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.62%
Monterrey ←
32.34%
X
32.04%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey)
35.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.87
+0.39
1.09
2.36
+1.27
Santos Laguna dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
L. Cárdenas
G
L. Cárdenas
G
3
G. Arteaga
D
G. Arteaga
D
19
A. Aceves
D
A. Aceves
D
33
S. Medina
D
S. Medina
D
2
R. Chávez
D
R. Chávez
D
30
J. Rodríguez
76'
M
J. Rodríguez
76'
M
8
Óliver Torres
1 👟
89'
M
Óliver Torres
1 👟
89'
M
7
L. Ocampos
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
L. Ocampos
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
17
J. Corona
1 ⚽
62'
M
J. Corona
1 ⚽
62'
M
10
L. Orellano
M
L. Orellano
M
9
D. Rossi
1 👟
89'
F
D. Rossi
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
18
Cesar Garza Cantu
M
Cesar Garza Cantu
M
31
C. Ramos
G
C. Ramos
G
194
C. Reyes
M
C. Reyes
M
5
F. Ambríz
28'
M
F. Ambríz
28'
M
11
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
14'
M
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
14'
M
21
L. Reyes
8'
D
L. Reyes
8'
D
200
O. Galvez
M
O. Galvez
M
27
R. de la Rosa
8'
F
R. de la Rosa
8'
F
32
U. Đurđević
8'
F
U. Đurđević
8'
F
4
V. Guzmán
D
V. Guzmán
D
1
C. Acevedo
G
C. Acevedo
G
3
M. Cuevas
D
M. Cuevas
D
25
Felipe Sánchez
1 👟
D
Felipe Sánchez
1 👟
D
18
F. Pardo
D
F. Pardo
D
4
J. Abella
60'
D
J. Abella
60'
D
11
Carlos Gruezo
82'
M
Carlos Gruezo
82'
M
8
S. Mariscal
M
S. Mariscal
M
26
R. Sordo
82'
M
R. Sordo
82'
M
10
E. Bullaude
M
E. Bullaude
M
7
D. González
60'
M
D. González
60'
M
9
L. Di Yorio
1 ⚽
60'
F
L. Di Yorio
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
5
A. López
8'
M
A. López
8'
M
24
D. Medina
8'
M
D. Medina
8'
M
19
E. Aguirre
1 ⚽
30'
F
E. Aguirre
1 ⚽
30'
F
14
E. Orona
M
E. Orona
M
21
Fran Villalba
30'
M
Fran Villalba
30'
M
33
H. Holguín
G
H. Holguín
G
28
Jonathan Pérez
D
Jonathan Pérez
D
15
Joshua Mancha
M
Joshua Mancha
M
22
K. Picón
30'
D
K. Picón
30'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 37 pass
J. Corona
M · Monterrey
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Felipe Sánchez
D · Santos
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 72 pass
C. Acevedo
G · Santos
7.30
· 39 pass
J. Rodríguez
M · Monterrey
7.30
· 35 pass
K. Picón
D · Santos
7.30
1 shots
· 11 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cárdenas | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| G. Arteaga | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Aceves | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Medina | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 71 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Chávez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 76 | 61% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 89 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 62 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Orellano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 57 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Ambríz | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Reyes | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. de la Rosa | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| U. Đurđević | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Acevedo | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| M. Cuevas | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 72 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Pardo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Abella | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Gruezo | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Mariscal | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sordo | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Bullaude | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| D. González | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Yorio | F | 60 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. López | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Medina | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Aguirre | F | 30 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fran Villalba | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| K. Picón | D | 30 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Monterrey win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Santos Laguna win.