Liga MX
· Apertura - 1
July 19, 2026 03:05
L. Ocampos
(ast. D. Rossi)
20'
L. Ocampos
(ast. O. Torres)
25'
J. Corona
(ast. L. Ocampos)
31'
40'
L. Di Yorio
90'+6
(ast. F. Sanchez)
E. Aguirre
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Santos Laguna 32%). The final result was Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna. In 2 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
13
Shots on target
3
1.87
Actual xG
2.36
1
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
21
Match Events
⚽L. Ocampos
· ast. D. Rossi
20'
⚽L. Ocampos
· ast. O. Torres
25'
⚽J. Corona
· ast. L. Ocampos
31'
40'
L. Di Yorio⚽
60'
K. Picon
/
J. Abella
60'
E. Aguirre
/
L. Di Yorio
60'
F. Villalba
/
D. Gonzalez
J. Corona
/ F. Ambriz
62'
J. Rodriguez
/ I. Fimbres
76'
82'
D. Medina
/
R. Sordo
82'
A. Lopez
/
C. Gruezo
L. Ocampos
/ L. Reyes
89'
O. Torres
/ U. Djurdjevic
89'
D. Rossi
/ R. de la Rosa
89'
90'+6
ast. F. Sanchez ·
E. Aguirre⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.62%
Monterrey ←
32.34%
X
32.04%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey)
35.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.87
+0.39
1.09
2.36
+1.27
Santos Laguna dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Luis Cárdenas
G
Luis Cárdenas
G
3
Gerardo Arteaga
D
Gerardo Arteaga
D
19
Alonso Aceves
D
Alonso Aceves
D
33
Stefan Medina
D
Stefan Medina
D
2
Ricardo Chávez
D
Ricardo Chávez
D
30
Jorge Rodríguez
76'
M
Jorge Rodríguez
76'
M
8
Óliver Torres
1 👟
89'
M
Óliver Torres
1 👟
89'
M
7
L. Ocampos
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
L. Ocampos
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
17
Jesús Corona
1 ⚽
62'
M
Jesús Corona
1 ⚽
62'
M
10
Luca Orellano
M
Luca Orellano
M
9
Diego Rossi
1 👟
89'
F
Diego Rossi
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
18
Cesar Garza
M
Cesar Garza
M
31
César Ramos
G
César Ramos
G
194
Cristian Reyes
M
Cristian Reyes
M
5
Fidel Ambríz
28'
M
Fidel Ambríz
28'
M
11
Iker Fimbres
14'
M
Iker Fimbres
14'
M
21
Luis Reyes
8'
D
Luis Reyes
8'
D
200
Omar Galvez
M
Omar Galvez
M
27
R. de la Rosa
8'
F
R. de la Rosa
8'
F
32
Uroš Đurđević
8'
F
Uroš Đurđević
8'
F
4
Victor Guzmán
D
Victor Guzmán
D
1
Carlos Acevedo
G
Carlos Acevedo
G
3
Mauricio Cuevas
D
Mauricio Cuevas
D
25
Felipe Sánchez
1 👟
D
Felipe Sánchez
1 👟
D
18
Franco Pardo
D
Franco Pardo
D
4
José Abella
60'
D
José Abella
60'
D
11
C. Gruezo
82'
M
C. Gruezo
82'
M
8
Salvador Mariscal
M
Salvador Mariscal
M
26
Ramiro Sordo
82'
M
Ramiro Sordo
82'
M
10
Ezequiel Bullaude
M
Ezequiel Bullaude
M
7
Diego González
60'
M
Diego González
60'
M
9
L. Di Yorio
1 ⚽
60'
F
L. Di Yorio
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
5
Aldo Lopez Vargas
8'
M
Aldo Lopez Vargas
8'
M
24
Diego Medina
8'
M
Diego Medina
8'
M
19
Eduardo Aguirre
1 ⚽
30'
F
Eduardo Aguirre
1 ⚽
30'
F
14
Efrain Orona
M
Efrain Orona
M
21
Fran Villalba
30'
M
Fran Villalba
30'
M
33
Hector Holguin
G
Hector Holguin
G
28
Jonathan Pérez
D
Jonathan Pérez
D
15
Joshua Mancha
M
Joshua Mancha
M
22
Kevin Picon
30'
D
Kevin Picon
30'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 37 pass
Jesús Corona
M · Monterrey
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Felipe Sánchez
D · Santos
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 72 pass
Carlos Acevedo
G · Santos
7.30
· 39 pass
Jorge Rodríguez
M · Monterrey
7.30
· 35 pass
Kevin Picon
D · Santos
7.30
1 shots
· 11 pass
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Cárdenas | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Gerardo Arteaga | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Alonso Aceves | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Stefan Medina | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 71 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Chávez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 76 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Rodríguez | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 89 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Corona | M | 62 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Luca Orellano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 57 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Fidel Ambríz | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Iker Fimbres | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Luis Reyes | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. de la Rosa | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Uroš Đurđević | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Acevedo | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 72 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Franco Pardo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| José Abella | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Gruezo | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| Salvador Mariscal | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro Sordo | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Bullaude | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego González | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Yorio | F | 60 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Aldo Lopez Vargas | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Diego Medina | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Aguirre | F | 30 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fran Villalba | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Picon | D | 30 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Monterrey win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Santos Laguna win.