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Montpellier - Rodez

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 18:00
Montpellier
vs
Rodez
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.21%
Win
Montpellier
29.08%
Draw
34.71%
Win
Rodez
2.8
Expected xG
2.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (7.75%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 29%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 64%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Montpellier a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rodez. Expected goals are 2.8 for Montpellier and 2.7 for Rodez (total 5.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.75% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Montpellier have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rodez.

Season Stats

Montpellier
3W 0D 1L
Rodez
3W 1D 0L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
3.0
2.0
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Montpellier
2W 0D 1L · at home
Rodez
0W 1D 0L · away
3.7
gls/g
1.0
2.7
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Montpellier Rodez →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 2.5% 1.4%
2 1.6% 4.3% 5.8% 5.3% 3.6% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
5 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%

Recent form

Montpellier Montpellier
W Clermont Foot 0–1
L Cannes 3–4
W Le Puy Foot 5–2
W Aubagne 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Rodez Rodez
D Toulouse 1–1
W Nimes 2–1
W Cannes 4–1
W Bastia 5–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Montpellier Montpellier
Attack
68
Defence
50
Form
67
Rodez Rodez
Attack
68
Defence
63
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Montpellier
0
Draw
1
Rodez
20 Feb 2026 Ligue 2 0–1
31 Oct 2025 Ligue 2 2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Montpellier vs Rodez?
The model gives Montpellier a 36% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 34% for an Rodez win.
How many goals are expected in Montpellier vs Rodez?
Expected goals: Montpellier 2.8, Rodez 2.7 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Montpellier vs Rodez?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.75%.