Monza - Avellino
Coppa Italia
August 14, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.64%
Win
Monza
31.83%
Draw
32.54%
Win
Avellino
1.68
1.66
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.56%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Monza a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Avellino. Expected goals are 1.7 for Monza and 1.7 for Avellino (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.56% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avellino.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
2.0
Shots OT
—
2.0
Corners
—
60%
Poss.
—
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Monza
Avellino →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Monza
Attack
55
Defence
62
Form
61
Avellino
Attack
55
Defence
76
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Monza vs Avellino?
The model gives Monza a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Avellino win.
How many goals are expected in Monza vs Avellino?
Expected goals: Monza 1.7, Avellino 1.7 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Monza vs Avellino?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.56%.