Coppa Italia
· Round of 64
August 14, 2026 20:45
G. Varela
22'
G. Varela
(ast. P. Cutrone)
45'
O. Forson
(ast. P. Cutrone)
51'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Avellino 30%). The final result was Monza 3–0 Avellino. In 2 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avellino.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
0
15
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽G. Varela
22'
⚽G. Varela
· ast. P. Cutrone
45'
47'
B. Moruzzi
⚽O. Forson
· ast. P. Cutrone
51'
55'
L. Pandolfi
/
D. Fila
55'
A. Favilli
/
T. Biasci
59'
L. Di Maggio
/
M. Palumbo
59'
D. Sounas
/
L. Palmiero
R. Mangas
/ A. Bakoune
70'
O. Forson
/ A. Colpani
70'
73'
M. Venturi
/
L. Simic
G. Varela
/ A. Petagna
81'
S. Birindelli
/ L. Lucchesi
81'
M. Mout
/ N. Galazzi
85'
90'+1
D. Sounas
Pre-match prediction
39.82%
Monza ←
29.57%
X
30.61%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
39.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
—
—
2.16
—
—
Lineups
20
D. Thiam
60'
G
D. Thiam
60'
G
44
A. Carboni
60'
D
A. Carboni
60'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
60'
D
F. Delli Carri
60'
D
60
E. Kouadio
60'
D
E. Kouadio
60'
D
7
Ricardo Mangas
60'
M
Ricardo Mangas
60'
M
80
M. Mout
60'
M
M. Mout
60'
M
8
M. Ondoa
60'
M
M. Ondoa
60'
M
19
S. Birindelli
60'
M
S. Birindelli
60'
M
10
P. Cutrone
2 👟
60'
F
P. Cutrone
2 👟
60'
F
11
O. Forson
1 ⚽
60'
F
O. Forson
1 ⚽
60'
F
9
Gustavo Varela
2 ⚽
60'
F
Gustavo Varela
2 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
24
A. Bakoune
D
A. Bakoune
D
2
A. Brorsson
D
A. Brorsson
D
28
A. Colpani
M
A. Colpani
M
37
A. Petagna
F
A. Petagna
F
43
A. Strajnar
G
A. Strajnar
G
47
Dany Mota
F
Dany Mota
F
46
Jay Robinson
F
Jay Robinson
F
3
L. Lucchesi
D
L. Lucchesi
D
23
N. Galazzi
M
N. Galazzi
M
22
Solomon Loubao
F
Solomon Loubao
F
13
S. Pizzignacco
G
S. Pizzignacco
G
6
V. Antov
D
V. Antov
D
50
T. Martinelli
60'
G
T. Martinelli
60'
G
27
B. Moruzzi
60'
D
B. Moruzzi
60'
D
44
L. Šimić
60'
D
L. Šimić
60'
D
4
A. Izzo
60'
D
A. Izzo
60'
D
29
T. Cancellotti
60'
D
T. Cancellotti
60'
D
39
M. Besaggio
60'
M
M. Besaggio
60'
M
6
L. Palmiero
59'
M
L. Palmiero
59'
M
20
M. Palumbo
59'
M
M. Palumbo
59'
M
10
R. Russo
60'
M
R. Russo
60'
M
14
T. Biasci
55'
F
T. Biasci
55'
F
11
Daniel Fila
55'
F
Daniel Fila
55'
F
Bench
99
A. Favilli
5'
F
A. Favilli
5'
F
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
1
A. Iannarilli
G
A. Iannarilli
G
24
D. Sounas
1'
M
D. Sounas
1'
M
16
G. Faticanti
M
G. Faticanti
M
22
Jacopo Sassi
G
Jacopo Sassi
G
8
L. Di Maggio
1'
M
L. Di Maggio
1'
M
7
L. Pandolfi
5'
F
L. Pandolfi
5'
F
3
M. Sala
D
M. Sala
D
23
M. Venturi
D
M. Venturi
D
56
P. Enrici
D
P. Enrici
D
Best on the pitch
P. Cutrone
F · Monza
8.50
2 👟
4 shots
· 25 pass
O. Forson
F · Monza
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Gustavo Varela
F · Monza
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
F. Delli Carri
D · Monza
7.30
· 32 pass
E. Kouadio
D · Monza
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
M. Mout
M · Monza
7.20
1 shots
· 52 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | G | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Kouadio | D | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mout | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ondoa | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Birindelli | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 60 | 8.50 | — | 2 | 4 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| O. Forson | F | 60 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 60 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Martinelli | G | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Moruzzi | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Šimić | D | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Izzo | D | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| T. Cancellotti | D | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Besaggio | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 26% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Palumbo | M | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Russo | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fila | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Favilli | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Sounas | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Di Maggio | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Pandolfi | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Avellino?
The final score was Monza 3–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Avellino?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Monza win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Avellino win.