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Serie A · Regular Season - 7 October 19, 2026 18:30 Stadio Brianteo, Monza
Monza
#15 · 7 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Cagliari
#9 · 13 pts
Eddy Kouadio (ast. Dany Mota) 39'
Gustavo Varela (ast. Foe Ondoa) 47'
Jay Robinson (ast. Gustavo Varela) 66'
Gustavo Varela 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Cagliari 29%). The final result was Monza 4–0 Cagliari.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
5
2.08
Actual xG
1.92
5
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
7
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Eddy Kouadio · ast. Dany Mota
39'
⚽Gustavo Varela · ast. Foe Ondoa
47'
53'
Alieu Fadera / M'Bala Nzola ↕
↕ Dany Mota / Andrea Colpani
64'
⚽Jay Robinson · ast. Gustavo Varela
66'
67'
Yukinari Sugawara / Zé Pedro ↕
67'
Kevin Carlos / Daniel Maldini ↕
76'
Harry Winks
⚽Gustavo Varela
79'
↕ Ebenezer Akinsanmiro / Michael Folorunsho
81'
↕ Gustavo Varela / Patrick Cutrone
81'
↕ Eddy Kouadio / Adam Bakoune
81'
81'
Alessandro Deiola / Alessandro Romano ↕
81'
Joseph Liteta / Harry Winks ↕
Samuele Birindelli
82'
82'
Alieu Fadera
↕ Jay Robinson / Omari Forson
87'
Pre-match prediction
39.89%
Monza ←
30.6%
X
29.51%
Cagliari
we assigned to the actual result (Monza) 39.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
1.35
2.08
+0.73
Cagliari
0.79
1.92
+1.13
xG dominance was balanced (2.08 – 1.92). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
1 N. Törnqvist N. Törnqvist G 7.87
44 A. Carboni A. Carboni D 6.84
2 S. Goglichidze S. Goglichidze D 7.65
60 E. Kouadio E. Kouadio 1 ⚽ 81' D 8.61
7 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas M 6.93
14 E. Akinsanmiro E. Akinsanmiro 81' M 6.69
8 M. Ondoa M. Ondoa 1 👟 M 8.10
19 S. Birindelli S. Birindelli M 6.46
46 Jay Robinson Jay Robinson 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20
47 Dany Mota Dany Mota 1 👟 64' M 7.70
9 Gustavo Varela Gustavo Varela 2 ⚽ 1 👟 81' F 9.71
Bench
24 A. Bakoune A. Bakoune 9' D 7.10
28 A. Colpani A. Colpani 26' M 7.15
43 A. Strajnar A. Strajnar G 0.00
16 C. Ngonge C. Ngonge F 0.00
20 D. Thiam D. Thiam G 0.00
21 L. Colombo L. Colombo M 0.00
90 M. Folorunsho M. Folorunsho 9' M 6.81
80 M. Mout M. Mout M 0.00
11 O. Forson O. Forson 3' F 6.66
26 P. Ciurria P. Ciurria F 0.00
10 P. Cutrone P. Cutrone 9' F 6.56
6 V. Antov V. Antov D 0.00
Cagliari Cagliari 4-3-1-2
1 E. Caprile E. Caprile G 5.64
33 A. Obert A. Obert D 5.67
15 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez D 6.57
26 Y. Mina Y. Mina D 6.42
2 Zé Pedro Zé Pedro 67' D 5.89
4 A. Romano A. Romano 81' M 6.46
6 H. Winks H. Winks 81' M 6.21
8 M. Adopo M. Adopo M 5.72
70 D. Maldini D. Maldini 67' M 6.92
18 M'Bala Nzola M'Bala Nzola 53' F 6.16
31 P. Mendy P. Mendy F 5.33
Bench
14 A. Deiola A. Deiola 9' M 6.30
39 A. Fadera A. Fadera 37' F 6.55
12 A. Sherri A. Sherri G 0.00
23 B. Radunović B. Radunović G 0.00
24 G. Aurelio G. Aurelio D 0.00
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M 0.00
10 J. Fazzini J. Fazzini M 0.00
27 J. Liteta J. Liteta 9' M 5.96
9 Kevin Carlos Kevin Carlos 23' F 6.85
20 R. Ciervo R. Ciervo F 0.00
21 R. Gagliardini R. Gagliardini M 0.00
22 R. Kofler R. Kofler D 0.00
79 Y. Massolin Y. Massolin M 0.00
28 Y. Sugawara Y. Sugawara 23' D 5.77
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Varela
Gustavo Varela
F · Monza
9.71
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
E. Kouadio
E. Kouadio
D · Monza
8.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
Jay Robinson
Jay Robinson
M · Monza
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
M. Ondoa
M. Ondoa
M · Monza
8.10
1 👟
· 42 pass
N. Törnqvist
N. Törnqvist
G · Monza
7.87
· 23 pass
Dany Mota
Dany Mota
M · Monza
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 30 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Törnqvist G 90 7.87 — — 0 23 13% 0 — —
A. Carboni D 90 6.84 — — 1 40 29% 2 — —
S. Goglichidze D 90 7.65 — — 0 45 42% 2 — —
E. Kouadio D 81 8.61 1 — 1 53 47% 4 — —
Ricardo Mangas M 90 6.93 — — 1 29 26% 3 — —
E. Akinsanmiro M 81 6.69 — — 0 48 40% 0 — —
M. Ondoa M 90 8.10 — 1 0 42 38% 2 — —
S. Birindelli M 90 6.46 — — 1 56 47% 1 1 —
Jay Robinson M 87 8.20 1 — 3 15 9% 0 — —
Dany Mota M 64 7.70 — 1 3 30 28% 0 — —
Gustavo Varela F 81 9.71 2 1 2 14 10% 0 — —
A. Bakoune D 9 7.10 — — 0 6 3% 1 — —
A. Colpani M 26 7.15 — — 1 7 7% 0 — —
M. Folorunsho M 9 6.81 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
O. Forson F 3 6.66 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
P. Cutrone F 9 6.56 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Caprile G 90 5.64 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
A. Obert D 90 5.67 — — 1 46 34% 2 — —
J. Rodríguez D 90 6.57 — — 0 68 61% 3 — —
Y. Mina D 90 6.42 — — 3 64 60% 4 — —
Zé Pedro D 67 5.89 — — 2 24 20% 1 — —
A. Romano M 81 6.46 — — 2 41 33% 3 — —
H. Winks M 81 6.21 — — 0 56 48% 2 1 —
M. Adopo M 90 5.72 — — 0 53 43% 0 — —
D. Maldini M 67 6.92 — — 0 22 21% 1 — —
M'Bala Nzola F 53 6.16 — — 1 21 17% 0 — —
P. Mendy F 90 5.33 — — 3 26 18% 1 — —
A. Deiola M 9 6.30 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
A. Fadera F 37 6.55 — — 1 11 10% 2 1 —
J. Liteta M 9 5.96 — — 0 13 12% 0 — —
Kevin Carlos F 23 6.85 — — 2 5 5% 0 — —
Y. Sugawara D 23 5.77 — — 0 13 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Cagliari?
The final score was Monza 4–0 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Monza win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Cagliari win.