Monza 0–2 Catanzaro — pre-match prediction — Serie B — May 29, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Final May 29, 2026 20:00 U-Power Stadium, Monza

Monza

#3 · 76 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Catanzaro

#5 · 59 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Catanzaro wins

39' (ast. S. Pontisso) Fellipe Jack

78' (ast. C. Favasuli) R. Frosinini

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 59% win probability (draw 19%, Catanzaro 20%). The final result was Monza 0–2 Catanzaro. In 3 previous meetings, Monza have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Catanzaro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.61

Actual xG

1.16

Saves

33%

Possession

67%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

25'

S. Pontisso

39'

ast. S. Pontisso · Fellipe Jack⚽

↕ D. Mota / A. Petagna

46'

M. Pompetti / S. Pontisso ↕

55'

G. Alesi / F. Di Francesco ↕

63'

R. Frosinini / Fellipe Jack ↕

↕ P. Cutrone / G. Caso

69'

↕ A. Carboni / L. Lucchesi

70'

↕ A. Bakoune / V. Antov

74'

78'

N. Koffi / M. Liberali ↕

78'

M. D'Alessandro / T. Cassandro ↕

78'

ast. C. Favasuli · R. Frosinini⚽

↕ Hernani / P. Obiang

83'

85'

R. Frosinini

D. Mota

85'

S. Birindelli

87'

90'+2

N. Koffi

V. Antov

90'+3

D. Thiam

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

59.83%

Monza

19.93%

20.25%

Catanzaro ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro) 20.25% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Monza

2.29

0.61

-1.68

Catanzaro

1.22

1.16

-0.06

Catanzaro dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	38	82
1	Sudtirol	1	1
2	Frosinone	38	81
2	Bari	1	1
3	Monza	38	76
4	Palermo	38	72
5	Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena	38	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Avellino	38	49
9	Mantova	38	46
10	Padova	38	46
11	Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese	38	44
13	Sampdoria	38	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli	38	41
16	Sudtirol	38	41
17	Bari	38	40
18	Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia	38	35
20	Pescara	38	35

Lineups

Monza 3-4-2-1

Demba Thiam G 8.20

Andrea Carboni 70' D 6.00

Filippo Delli Carri D 6.30

Samuele Birindelli D 6.30

Paulo Azzi M 6.90

Matteo Pessina M 6.30

Leonardo Colombo M 6.50

Adam Bakoune 74' M 7.00

Dany Mota 45' F 6.90

Hernani 83' F 6.60

Patrick Cutrone 69' F 7.00

Bench

Agustín Álvarez F

Andrea Colpani M

A. Petagna 54' F 6.90

Arvid Brorsson D

Giuseppe Caso 30' M 6.70

Lorenzo Lucchesi 29' D 6.20

Luca Ravanelli D

Patrick Ciurria F

Pedro Obiang 16' M 6.30

Samuele Capolupo D

Semuel Pizzignacco G

Valentin Antov 25' D 6.70

Catanzaro 3-4-1-2

Mirko Pigliacelli G 7.20

Fellipe Jack 1 ⚽ 63' D 8.30

Matias Antonini D 7.50

Tommaso Cassandro 78' D 7.00

Federico Di Francesco 55' M 6.70

S. Pontisso 1 👟 45' M 7.30

J. Petriccione M 7.50

Costantino Favasuli 1 👟 M 6.30

Mattia Liberali 78' F 7.20

P. Iemmello F 5.00

F. Pittarello F 6.70

Bench

Bruno Verrengia D

Christian Marietta G

Ervin Bashi D

Fabio Rispoli M

Gabriele Alesi 44' F 6.70

Marco D'Alessandro 21' F 6.30

Marco Pompetti 54' M 7.30

N'Dri Koffi 21' F 6.20

Nicolò Brighenti D

P. Nuamah F

Rémi Oudin M

Ruggero Frosinini 1 ⚽ 36' D 7.90

Best on the pitch

Fellipe Jack

D · Catanzaro

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 51 pass

Demba Thiam

G · Monza

8.20

· 28 pass

Ruggero Frosinini

D · Catanzaro

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

J. Petriccione

M · Catanzaro

7.50

· 81 pass

Matias Antonini

D · Catanzaro

7.50

· 79 pass

S. Pontisso

M · Catanzaro

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 49 pass

Monza — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Demba Thiam	G	99	8.20	—	—	—	28	10%	—	1	—
Andrea Carboni	D	70	6.00	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
Filippo Delli Carri	D	99	6.30	—	—	—	14	8%	3	—	—
Samuele Birindelli	D	99	6.30	—	—	—	24	17%	2	1	—
Paulo Azzi	M	99	6.90	—	—	—	12	12%	3	—	—
Matteo Pessina	M	99	6.30	—	—	1	40	26%	—	—	—
Leonardo Colombo	M	99	6.50	—	—	1	21	21%	1	—	—
Adam Bakoune	M	74	7.00	—	—	—	18	15%	6	—	—
Dany Mota	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	6	5%	1	1	—
Hernani	F	83	6.60	—	—	1	21	15%	2	—	—
Patrick Cutrone	F	69	7.00	—	—	2	17	13%	2	—	—
A. Petagna	F	54	6.90	—	—	—	13	9%	1	—	—
Giuseppe Caso	M	30	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	1	—	—
Lorenzo Lucchesi	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Pedro Obiang	M	16	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	1	—	—
Valentin Antov	D	25	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	1	1	—

Catanzaro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Mirko Pigliacelli	G	99	7.20	—	—	—	40	25%	—	—	—
Fellipe Jack	D	63	8.30	1	—	3	51	48%	2	—	—
Matias Antonini	D	99	7.50	—	—	—	79	75%	3	—	—
Tommaso Cassandro	D	78	7.00	—	—	—	49	43%	1	—	—
Federico Di Francesco	M	55	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
S. Pontisso	M	45	7.30	—	1	1	49	44%	1	1	—
J. Petriccione	M	99	7.50	—	—	—	81	71%	2	—	—
Costantino Favasuli	M	99	6.30	—	1	—	35	31%	1	—	—
Mattia Liberali	F	78	7.20	—	—	2	24	17%	1	—	—
P. Iemmello	F	99	5.00	—	—	2	28	14%	—	—	—
F. Pittarello	F	99	6.70	—	—	2	12	8%	—	—	—
Gabriele Alesi	F	44	6.70	—	—	1	12	10%	1	—	—
Marco D'Alessandro	F	21	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Marco Pompetti	M	54	7.30	—	—	1	38	34%	1	—	—
N'Dri Koffi	F	21	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—
Ruggero Frosinini	D	36	7.90	1	—	1	13	13%	1	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Monza vs Catanzaro?

The final score was Monza 0–2 Catanzaro.

What did the model predict before Monza vs Catanzaro?

The model assigned 59% probability to a Monza win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Catanzaro win.