✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Catanzaro wins
39'
(ast. S. Pontisso)
Fellipe Jack
78'
(ast. C. Favasuli)
R. Frosinini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 59% win probability (draw 19%, Catanzaro 20%). The final result was Monza 0–2 Catanzaro. In 3 previous meetings, Monza have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Catanzaro.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
8
0.61
Actual xG
1.16
6
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
3
Corners
3
24
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
S. Pontisso
39'
ast. S. Pontisso ·
Fellipe Jack⚽
D. Mota
/ A. Petagna
46'
46'
M. Pompetti
/
S. Pontisso
55'
G. Alesi
/
F. Di Francesco
63'
R. Frosinini
/
Fellipe Jack
P. Cutrone
/ G. Caso
69'
A. Carboni
/ L. Lucchesi
70'
A. Bakoune
/ V. Antov
74'
78'
N. Koffi
/
M. Liberali
78'
M. D'Alessandro
/
T. Cassandro
78'
ast. C. Favasuli ·
R. Frosinini⚽
Hernani
/ P. Obiang
83'
85'
R. Frosinini
D. Mota
85'
S. Birindelli
87'
90'+2
N. Koffi
V. Antov
90'+3
D. Thiam
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
59.83%
Monza
19.93%
X
20.25%
Catanzaro ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro)
20.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
0.61
-1.68
1.22
1.16
-0.06
Catanzaro dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
D. Thiam
G
D. Thiam
G
44
A. Carboni
70'
D
A. Carboni
70'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
D
F. Delli Carri
D
19
S. Birindelli
D
S. Birindelli
D
7
Paulo Azzi
M
Paulo Azzi
M
32
Matteo Pessina
M
Matteo Pessina
M
21
L. Colombo
M
L. Colombo
M
24
A. Bakoune
74'
M
A. Bakoune
74'
M
47
Dany Mota
45'
F
Dany Mota
45'
F
8
Hernani
83'
F
Hernani
83'
F
10
P. Cutrone
69'
F
P. Cutrone
69'
F
Bench
25
A. Álvarez
F
A. Álvarez
F
2
A. Brorsson
D
A. Brorsson
D
28
A. Colpani
M
A. Colpani
M
37
A. Petagna
54'
F
A. Petagna
54'
F
30
G. Caso
30'
M
G. Caso
30'
M
3
L. Lucchesi
29'
D
L. Lucchesi
29'
D
13
L. Ravanelli
D
L. Ravanelli
D
26
P. Ciurria
F
P. Ciurria
F
14
Pedro Obiang
16'
M
Pedro Obiang
16'
M
27
Samuele Capolupo
D
Samuele Capolupo
D
1
S. Pizzignacco
G
S. Pizzignacco
G
6
V. Antov
25'
D
V. Antov
25'
D
22
M. Pigliacelli
G
M. Pigliacelli
G
6
Fellipe Jack
1 ⚽
63'
D
Fellipe Jack
1 ⚽
63'
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
78'
D
T. Cassandro
78'
D
94
F. Di Francesco
55'
M
F. Di Francesco
55'
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 👟
45'
M
S. Pontisso
1 👟
45'
M
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
M
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
M
14
M. Liberali
78'
F
M. Liberali
78'
F
9
P. Iemmello
F
P. Iemmello
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
D
B. Verrengia
D
1
C. Marietta
G
C. Marietta
G
5
Ervin Bashi
D
Ervin Bashi
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
M
Fabio Rispoli
M
30
G. Alesi
44'
F
G. Alesi
44'
F
77
M. D'Alessandro
21'
F
M. D'Alessandro
21'
F
21
M. Pompetti
54'
M
M. Pompetti
54'
M
23
N. Brighenti
D
N. Brighenti
D
39
N. Koffi
21'
F
N. Koffi
21'
F
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
62
R. Frosinini
1 ⚽
36'
D
R. Frosinini
1 ⚽
36'
D
28
R. Oudin
M
Best on the pitch
Fellipe Jack
D · Catanzaro
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 51 pass
D. Thiam
G · Monza
8.20
· 28 pass
R. Frosinini
D · Catanzaro
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
7.50
· 81 pass
Matias Antonini
D · Catanzaro
7.50
· 79 pass
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 49 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | G | 99 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Birindelli | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 26% | — | — | — |
| L. Colombo | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bakoune | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 6 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hernani | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Caso | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| V. Antov | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Fellipe Jack | D | 63 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 51 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 79 | 75% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 81 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 99 | 5.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Alesi | F | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. D'Alessandro | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 54 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Koffi | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 36 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Monza 0–2 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Monza win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Catanzaro win.