Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia — pre-match prediction — Serie B — May 19, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Semi-finals May 19, 2026 20:00 U-Power Stadium, Monza

Monza

#3 · 76 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Juve Stabia

#7 · 51 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Monza

P. Cutrone (ast. A. Bakoune) 85'

P. Cutrone (ast. L. Colombo) 90'+6

90' (ast. A. Gabrielloni) R. Burnete

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Juve Stabia 16%). The final result was Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia. In 3 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Juve Stabia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.92

Actual xG

0.41

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

D. Mota

19'

F. Delli Carri

42'

46'

K. Zeroli / F. Maistro ↕

46'

R. Burnete / N. Mosti ↕

↕ F. Delli Carri / L. Lucchesi

56'

↕ A. Petagna / P. Cutrone

57'

↕ A. Colpani / Hernani

57'

64'

M. Ricciardi / G. Leone ↕

65'

C. Pierobon / L. Carissoni ↕

D. Thiam

71'

↕ D. Mota / A. Alvarez

77'

80'

R. Burnete

81'

A. Gabrielloni / C. Dalle Mura ↕

↕ P. Azzi / L. Ravanelli

84'

⚽P. Cutrone · ast. A. Bakoune

85'

87'

O. Correia

90'+3

M. Bellich

⚽P. Cutrone · ast. L. Colombo

90'+6

90'

ast. A. Gabrielloni · R. Burnete⚽

Pre-match prediction

62.76%

Monza ←

20.51%

16.73%

Juve

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monza) 62.76% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Monza

1.98

1.92

-0.06

Juve

0.85

0.41

-0.44

Monza dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	38	82
1	Sudtirol	1	1
2	Frosinone	38	81
2	Bari	1	1
3	Monza	38	76
4	Palermo	38	72
5	Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena	38	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Avellino	38	49
9	Mantova	38	46
10	Padova	38	46
11	Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese	38	44
13	Sampdoria	38	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli	38	41
16	Sudtirol	38	41
17	Bari	38	40
18	Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia	38	35
20	Pescara	38	35

Lineups

Monza 3-4-2-1

Demba Thiam G 6.30

Andrea Carboni D 6.30

Filippo Delli Carri 56' D 6.90

Samuele Birindelli D 6.90

Paulo Azzi 84' M 7.20

Matteo Pessina M 7.30

Leonardo Colombo 1 👟 M 6.90

Adam Bakoune 1 👟 M 6.90

Dany Mota 77' F 6.20

Andrea Colpani 57' F 6.90

A. Petagna 57' F 6.70

Bench

Agustín Álvarez 13' F 6.90

Arvid Brorsson D

Giuseppe Caso M

Hernani 33' M 6.30

Lorenzo Lucchesi 34' D 6.70

Luca Ravanelli 13' D 6.50

Patrick Ciurria F

Patrick Cutrone 2 ⚽ 33' F 8.90

Pedro Obiang M

Samuele Capolupo D

Semuel Pizzignacco G

Valentin Antov D

Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1

Alessandro Confente G 6.00

Christian Dalle Mura 81' D 7.30

Andrea Giorgini D 6.90

Marco Bellich D 6.30

Alessio Cacciamani M 6.30

O. Correia M 6.50

Giuseppe Leone 64' M 7.00

Nicola Mosti 45' M 6.70

Lorenzo Carissoni 65' M 6.90

F. Maistro 45' F 6.90

Alvin Obinna Okoro F 6.30

Bench

Aaron Ciammaglichella M

Alessandro Gabrielloni 1 👟 9' F 6.90

Christian Pierobon 25' M 6.20

Emanuele Torrasi M

Kevin Zeroli 45' M 6.70

Leonardo Candellone F

Manuel Ricciardi 26' M 6.20

Marco Varnier D

Mattia Mannini D

Pietro Boer G

Rareș Burnete 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.50

Sheriff Kassama D

Best on the pitch

Patrick Cutrone

F · Monza

8.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

Rareș Burnete

F · Juve

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

Matteo Pessina

M · Monza

7.30

· 61 pass

Christian Dalle Mura

D · Juve

7.30

· 75 pass

Paulo Azzi

M · Monza

7.20

2 shots · 30 pass

Giuseppe Leone

M · Juve

7.00

· 56 pass

Monza — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Demba Thiam	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	29	20%	—	1	—
Andrea Carboni	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	56	44%	2	—	—
Filippo Delli Carri	D	56	6.90	—	—	—	32	30%	1	1	—
Samuele Birindelli	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	38	36%	—	—	—
Paulo Azzi	M	84	7.20	—	—	2	30	23%	1	—	—
Matteo Pessina	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	61	54%	2	—	—
Leonardo Colombo	M	90	6.90	—	1	1	57	49%	1	—	—
Adam Bakoune	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	29	22%	2	—	—
Dany Mota	F	77	6.20	—	—	—	26	19%	1	1	—
Andrea Colpani	F	57	6.90	—	—	2	21	17%	—	—	—
A. Petagna	F	57	6.70	—	—	—	20	17%	—	—	—
Agustín Álvarez	F	13	6.90	—	—	2	5	2%	—	—	—
Hernani	M	33	6.30	—	—	1	18	13%	1	—	—
Lorenzo Lucchesi	D	34	6.70	—	—	—	9	5%	1	—	—
Luca Ravanelli	D	13	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Patrick Cutrone	F	33	8.90	2	—	2	13	11%	1	—	—

Juve Stabia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Alessandro Confente	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	41	26%	—	—	—
Christian Dalle Mura	D	81	7.30	—	—	—	75	69%	2	—	—
Andrea Giorgini	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	120	108%	2	—	—
Marco Bellich	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	66	58%	—	1	—
Alessio Cacciamani	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	24	18%	—	—	—
O. Correia	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	39	32%	2	1	—
Giuseppe Leone	M	64	7.00	—	—	—	56	51%	2	—	—
Nicola Mosti	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—
Lorenzo Carissoni	M	65	6.90	—	—	—	29	23%	—	—	—
F. Maistro	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	15	12%	3	—	—
Alvin Obinna Okoro	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	13	8%	—	—	—
Alessandro Gabrielloni	F	9	6.90	—	1	—	9	7%	—	—	—
Christian Pierobon	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	1	—	—
Kevin Zeroli	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	10	5%	1	—	—
Manuel Ricciardi	M	26	6.20	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Rareș Burnete	F	45	7.50	1	—	1	13	5%	1	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Monza vs Juve Stabia?

The final score was Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia.

What did the model predict before Monza vs Juve Stabia?

The model assigned 62% probability to a Monza win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Juve Stabia win.