✓Model correct — prediction Monza
P. Cutrone
(ast. A. Bakoune)
85'
P. Cutrone
(ast. L. Colombo)
90'+6
90'
(ast. A. Gabrielloni)
R. Burnete
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Juve Stabia 16%). The final result was Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia. In 3 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Juve Stabia.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
1.92
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
13
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
D. Mota
19'
F. Delli Carri
42'
46'
K. Zeroli
/
F. Maistro
46'
R. Burnete
/
N. Mosti
F. Delli Carri
/ L. Lucchesi
56'
A. Petagna
/ P. Cutrone
57'
A. Colpani
/ Hernani
57'
64'
M. Ricciardi
/
G. Leone
65'
C. Pierobon
/
L. Carissoni
D. Thiam
71'
D. Mota
/ A. Alvarez
77'
80'
R. Burnete
81'
A. Gabrielloni
/
C. Dalle Mura
P. Azzi
/ L. Ravanelli
84'
⚽P. Cutrone
· ast. A. Bakoune
85'
87'
O. Correia
90'+3
M. Bellich
⚽P. Cutrone
· ast. L. Colombo
90'+6
90'
ast. A. Gabrielloni ·
R. Burnete⚽
Pre-match prediction
62.76%
Monza ←
20.51%
X
16.73%
Juve
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
62.76%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.92
-0.06
0.85
0.41
-0.44
Monza dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
20
D. Thiam
G
D. Thiam
G
44
A. Carboni
D
A. Carboni
D
15
F. Delli Carri
56'
D
F. Delli Carri
56'
D
19
S. Birindelli
D
S. Birindelli
D
7
Paulo Azzi
84'
M
Paulo Azzi
84'
M
32
Matteo Pessina
M
Matteo Pessina
M
21
L. Colombo
1 👟
M
L. Colombo
1 👟
M
24
A. Bakoune
1 👟
M
A. Bakoune
1 👟
M
47
Dany Mota
77'
F
Dany Mota
77'
F
28
A. Colpani
57'
F
A. Colpani
57'
F
37
A. Petagna
57'
F
A. Petagna
57'
F
Bench
25
A. Álvarez
13'
F
A. Álvarez
13'
F
2
A. Brorsson
D
A. Brorsson
D
30
G. Caso
M
G. Caso
M
8
Hernani
33'
M
Hernani
33'
M
3
L. Lucchesi
34'
D
L. Lucchesi
34'
D
13
Luca Ravanelli
13'
D
Luca Ravanelli
13'
D
26
Patrick Ciurria
F
Patrick Ciurria
F
10
P. Cutrone
2 ⚽
33'
F
P. Cutrone
2 ⚽
33'
F
14
Pedro Obiang
M
Pedro Obiang
M
27
Samuele Capolupo
D
Samuele Capolupo
D
1
S. Pizzignacco
G
S. Pizzignacco
G
6
V. Antov
D
V. Antov
D
1
A. Confente
G
A. Confente
G
14
C. Dalle Mura
81'
D
C. Dalle Mura
81'
D
33
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
6
M. Bellich
D
M. Bellich
D
77
A. Cacciamani
M
A. Cacciamani
M
29
O. Correia
M
O. Correia
M
55
G. Leone
64'
M
G. Leone
64'
M
98
N. Mosti
45'
M
N. Mosti
45'
M
24
L. Carissoni
65'
M
L. Carissoni
65'
M
37
F. Maistro
45'
F
F. Maistro
45'
F
90
A. Okoro
F
A. Okoro
F
Bench
17
Aaron Ciammaglichella
M
Aaron Ciammaglichella
M
9
A. Gabrielloni
1 👟
9'
F
A. Gabrielloni
1 👟
9'
F
10
C. Pierobon
25'
M
C. Pierobon
25'
M
28
Emanuele Torrasi
M
Emanuele Torrasi
M
8
Kevin Zeroli
45'
M
Kevin Zeroli
45'
M
27
L. Candellone
F
L. Candellone
F
13
Marco Varnier
D
Marco Varnier
D
76
Mattia Mannini
D
Mattia Mannini
D
2
M. Ricciardi
26'
M
M. Ricciardi
26'
M
23
P. Boer
G
P. Boer
G
7
R. Burnete
1 ⚽
45'
F
R. Burnete
1 ⚽
45'
F
21
Sheriff Kassama
D
Sheriff Kassama
D
Best on the pitch
P. Cutrone
F · Monza
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
R. Burnete
F · Juve
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Matteo Pessina
M · Monza
7.30
· 61 pass
C. Dalle Mura
D · Juve
7.30
· 75 pass
Paulo Azzi
M · Monza
7.20
2 shots
· 30 pass
G. Leone
M · Juve
7.00
· 56 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Birindelli | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Colombo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bakoune | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Colpani | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Álvarez | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Ravanelli | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 33 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Juve Stabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Confente | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 26% | — | — | — |
| C. Dalle Mura | D | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 120 | 108% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bellich | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cacciamani | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Correia | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Leone | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mosti | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Carissoni | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Maistro | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Gabrielloni | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Pierobon | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Zeroli | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ricciardi | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Burnete | F | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Juve Stabia?
The final score was Monza 2–1 Juve Stabia.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Juve Stabia?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Monza win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Juve Stabia win.