← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 24, 2026 19:00
Monza
#3 · 76 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Modena
#6 · 55 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Monza
S. Birindelli 27'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Modena 16%). The final result was Monza 1–0 Modena. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Modena.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
0.58
Actual xG
0.92
5
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
4
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Birindelli
27'
45'+2
D. Tonoli
46'
B. Nieling / D. Tonoli ↕
↕ A. Colpani / Hernani
56'
↕ A. Petagna / G. Caso
56'
57'
N. Pyyhtia / S. Wiafe ↕
66'
P. Mendes / G. Ambrosino ↕
66'
F. Zampano / G. Beyuku ↕
↕ P. Cutrone / D. Mota
70'
78'
M. Cotali / L. Zanimacchia ↕
85'
B. Nieling
A. Bakoune
90'
Pre-match prediction
60.96%
Monza ←
22.37%
X
16.67%
Modena
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monza) 60.96% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
2.18
0.58
-1.6
Modena
1.03
0.92
-0.11
Modena dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
20
G 7.50
44
D 7.00
15
F. Delli Carri D 7.30
13
D 7.00
19
S. Birindelli 1 ⚽ M 7.90
32
M. Pessina M 7.30
14
P. Obiang M 7.00
24
A. Bakoune M 7.20
10
P. Cutrone 70' F 6.20
28
A. Colpani 56' F 7.00
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna 56' F 6.30
Bench
47
D. Mota 20' F 6.70
30
G. Caso 34' M 6.90
8
Hernani 34' M 6.60
17 K. Baldé K. Baldé F
26
P. Ciurria F
Modena Modena 3-5-2
22
G 6.90
25
D 7.00
19
D 7.70
77 Daniel Tonoli Daniel Tonoli 45' D 6.90
98 Luca Zanimacchia Luca Zanimacchia 78' M 7.00
71 Samuel Wiafe Samuel Wiafe 57' M 6.30
16
F. Gerli M 6.90
17 Yanis Massolin Yanis Massolin M 6.30
2 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku 66' M 7.20
10 Giuseppe Ambrosino Giuseppe Ambrosino 66' F 6.30
99 Manuel De Luca Manuel De Luca F 6.20
Bench
33
C. Cauz D
28 Davide Adorni Davide Adorni D
24
E. Colpo F
78 Fabrizio Bagheria Fabrizio Bagheria G
7 Francesco Zampano Francesco Zampano 24' D 6.70
29 Matteo Cotali Matteo Cotali 12' D 6.70
18 Niklas Pyyhtiä Niklas Pyyhtiä 33' M 6.70
11 Pedro Mendes Pedro Mendes 24' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
S. Birindelli
M · Monza
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
D · Modena
7.70
· 66 pass
G · Monza
7.50
· 34 pass
F. Delli Carri
D · Monza
7.30
· 25 pass
M. Pessina
M · Monza
7.30
· 49 pass
A. Bakoune
M · Monza
7.20
1 shots · 26 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 34 16% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — 2 42 33% 3 — —
F. Delli Carri D 90 7.30 — — — 25 21% 4 — —
D 90 7.00 — — 1 30 26% 1 — —
S. Birindelli M 90 7.90 1 — 2 23 17% — — —
M. Pessina M 90 7.30 — — — 49 42% 3 — —
P. Obiang M 90 7.00 — — — 34 28% 2 — —
A. Bakoune M 90 7.20 — — 1 26 23% 2 1 —
P. Cutrone F 70 6.20 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
A. Colpani F 56 7.00 — — 1 25 24% — — —
A. Petagna F 56 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
D. Mota F 20 6.70 — — — 12 8% — — —
G. Caso M 34 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
Hernani M 34 6.60 — — — 18 12% 1 — —
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 32 27% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — 1 48 45% 3 — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 66 61% 3 — —
Daniel Tonoli D 45 6.90 — — 2 16 15% 2 1 —
Luca Zanimacchia M 78 7.00 — — — 29 28% 2 — —
Samuel Wiafe M 57 6.30 — — — 19 13% 1 — —
F. Gerli M 90 6.90 — — — 93 86% 1 — —
Yanis Massolin M 90 6.30 — — — 67 57% — — —
Gady Beyuku M 66 7.20 — — — 26 18% 2 — —
Giuseppe Ambrosino F 66 6.30 — — 4 18 14% — — —
Manuel De Luca F 90 6.20 — — 3 12 9% 1 — —
Francesco Zampano D 24 6.70 — — 1 10 8% — — —
Matteo Cotali D 12 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
Niklas Pyyhtiä M 33 6.70 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
Pedro Mendes F 24 6.20 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Modena?
The final score was Monza 1–0 Modena.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Modena?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Monza win, 22% to a draw, and 16% to an Modena win.