✓Model correct — prediction Monza
S. Birindelli
27'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Modena 16%). The final result was Monza 1–0 Modena. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Modena.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
0.58
Actual xG
0.92
5
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
4
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Birindelli
27'
45'+2
D. Tonoli
46'
B. Nieling
/
D. Tonoli
A. Colpani
/ Hernani
56'
A. Petagna
/ G. Caso
56'
57'
N. Pyyhtia
/
S. Wiafe
66'
P. Mendes
/
G. Ambrosino
66'
F. Zampano
/
G. Beyuku
P. Cutrone
/ D. Mota
70'
78'
M. Cotali
/
L. Zanimacchia
85'
B. Nieling
A. Bakoune
90'
Pre-match prediction
60.96%
Monza ←
22.37%
X
16.67%
Modena
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
60.96%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.18
0.58
-1.6
1.03
0.92
-0.11
Modena dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
G
44
D
15
F. Delli Carri
D
F. Delli Carri
D
13
D
19
S. Birindelli
1 ⚽
M
S. Birindelli
1 ⚽
M
32
Matteo Pessina
M
Matteo Pessina
M
14
Pedro Obiang
M
Pedro Obiang
M
24
A. Bakoune
M
A. Bakoune
M
10
P. Cutrone
70'
F
P. Cutrone
70'
F
28
A. Colpani
56'
F
A. Colpani
56'
F
37
A. Petagna
56'
F
A. Petagna
56'
F
Bench
47
Dany Mota
20'
F
Dany Mota
20'
F
30
G. Caso
34'
M
G. Caso
34'
M
8
Hernani
34'
M
Hernani
34'
M
17
K. Baldé
F
K. Baldé
F
26
P. Ciurria
F
P. Ciurria
F
22
G
25
D
19
D
77
D. Tonoli
45'
D
D. Tonoli
45'
D
98
Luca Zanimacchia
78'
M
Luca Zanimacchia
78'
M
71
S. Wiafe
57'
M
S. Wiafe
57'
M
16
F. Gerli
M
F. Gerli
M
17
Y. Massolin
M
Y. Massolin
M
2
Gady Beyuku
66'
M
Gady Beyuku
66'
M
10
G. Ambrosino
66'
F
G. Ambrosino
66'
F
99
M. De Luca
F
M. De Luca
F
Bench
33
C. Cauz
D
C. Cauz
D
28
D. Adorni
D
D. Adorni
D
24
E. Colpo
F
78
F. Bagheria
G
F. Bagheria
G
7
F. Zampano
24'
D
F. Zampano
24'
D
29
Matteo Cotali
12'
D
Matteo Cotali
12'
D
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
33'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
33'
M
11
Pedro Mendes
24'
F
Pedro Mendes
24'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Birindelli
M · Monza
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
D · Modena
7.70
· 66 pass
G · Monza
7.50
· 34 pass
F. Delli Carri
D · Monza
7.30
· 25 pass
Matteo Pessina
M · Monza
7.30
· 49 pass
A. Bakoune
M · Monza
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Birindelli | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bakoune | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Colpani | F | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Caso | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 45% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Tonoli | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luca Zanimacchia | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Wiafe | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Gerli | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 93 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Massolin | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ambrosino | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Zampano | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cotali | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Modena?
The final score was Monza 1–0 Modena.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Modena?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Monza win, 22% to a draw, and 16% to an Modena win.