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Monza - Padova

Friendlies Clubs August 07, 2026 14:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.62%
Win
Monza
29.73%
Draw
29.65%
Win
Padova
3.88
Expected xG
0.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.13%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 59%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Monza a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Padova. Expected goals are 3.9 for Monza and 0.7 for Padova (total 4.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.13% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Monza have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Padova.

Season Stats

Monza
2W 0D 0L
Padova
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
3.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 2 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Monza Padova →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.8% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
3 10.1% 6.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 9.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 7.6% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

W Galatasaray 0–2
W PRO Vercelli 4–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
L Ospitaletto 1–3
L Sassuolo 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Monza Monza
Attack
75
Defence
63
Form
76
Padova Padova
Attack
25
Defence
13
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Monza vs Padova?
The model gives Monza a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Padova win.
How many goals are expected in Monza vs Padova?
Expected goals: Monza 3.9, Padova 0.7 (total 4.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Monza vs Padova?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.13%.