G. Varela
(ast. S. Birindelli)
51'
G. Varela
63'
(pen.)
88'
V. Adzic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Sassuolo 32%). The final result was Monza 2–1 Sassuolo.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
8
1.45
Actual xG
1.58
7
Saves
4
36%
Possession
64%
7
Corners
5
24
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
E. Kouadio
30'
⚽G. Varela
· ast. S. Birindelli
51'
P. Cutrone
/ D. Mota
56'
R. Mangas
/ A. Bakoune
56'
E. Akinsanmiro
/ F. Ondoa
56'
⚽G. Varela
(pen.)
63'
64'
K. Bowie
/
K. Thorstvedt
64'
L. Lipani
/
N. Matic
72'
B. Dominguez
/
D. Berardi
72'
V. Adzic
/
S. Esposito
M. Folorunsho
74'
J. Robinson
/ M. Mout
82'
82'
L. Skjellerup
/
D. Bakola
85'
L. Lipani
S. Birindelli
85'
88'
V. Adzic⚽
G. Varela
90'+2
S. Birindelli
/ Y. Maye
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
39.36%
Monza ←
28.34%
X
32.3%
Sassuolo
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
39.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.44
1.45
-1.99
2.12
1.58
-0.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Noel Törnqvist
G
Noel Törnqvist
G
44
Andrea Carboni
D
Andrea Carboni
D
3
L. Lucchesi
D
L. Lucchesi
D
60
E. Kouadio
D
E. Kouadio
D
7
Ricardo Mangas
56'
M
Ricardo Mangas
56'
M
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
56'
M
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
56'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
M
M. Folorunsho
M
19
S. Birindelli
1 👟
M
S. Birindelli
1 👟
M
46
Jay Robinson
82'
F
Jay Robinson
82'
F
10
P. Cutrone
56'
F
P. Cutrone
56'
F
9
Gustavo Varela
2 ⚽
F
Gustavo Varela
2 ⚽
F
Bench
24
Adam Bakoune
37'
D
Adam Bakoune
37'
D
43
Aljaz Strajnar
G
Aljaz Strajnar
G
28
Andrea Colpani
M
Andrea Colpani
M
16
Cyril Ngonge
F
Cyril Ngonge
F
47
Dany Mota
37'
F
Dany Mota
37'
F
20
Demba Thiam
G
Demba Thiam
G
22
Exequiel Zeballos
F
Exequiel Zeballos
F
21
Leonardo Colombo
M
Leonardo Colombo
M
8
Manga Foe Ondoa
37'
M
Manga Foe Ondoa
37'
M
80
Mathis Mout
11'
M
Mathis Mout
11'
M
11
Omari Forson
F
Omari Forson
F
2
Saba Goglichidze
D
Saba Goglichidze
D
6
Valentin Antov
D
Valentin Antov
D
5
Yvan Maye
D
Yvan Maye
D
49
A. Murić
G
A. Murić
G
3
Josh Doig
D
Josh Doig
D
16
Fedde Leysen
D
Fedde Leysen
D
15
Duje Ćaleta-Car
D
Duje Ćaleta-Car
D
46
Simone Cinquegrano
D
Simone Cinquegrano
D
50
D. Bakola
82'
M
D. Bakola
82'
M
18
Nemanja Matić
64'
M
Nemanja Matić
64'
M
42
K. Thorstvedt
64'
M
K. Thorstvedt
64'
M
45
Armand Laurienté
F
Armand Laurienté
F
94
Sebastiano Esposito
72'
F
Sebastiano Esposito
72'
F
10
Domenico Berardi
72'
F
Domenico Berardi
72'
F
Bench
8
Andrea Ghion
M
Andrea Ghion
M
25
B. Domínguez
21'
F
B. Domínguez
21'
F
26
Cas Odenthal
D
Cas Odenthal
D
12
Giacomo Satalino
G
Giacomo Satalino
G
20
Ignace Van der Brempt
D
Ignace Van der Brempt
D
55
I. Sulemana
M
9
Kieron Bowie
29'
F
Kieron Bowie
29'
F
19
Laurs Skjellerup
11'
F
Laurs Skjellerup
11'
F
35
L. Lipani
29'
M
L. Lipani
29'
M
77
Nicholas Pierini
F
Nicholas Pierini
F
33
Rafael Obrador
D
Rafael Obrador
D
80
Stefano Turati
G
Stefano Turati
G
17
Vasilije Adžić
1 ⚽
21'
M
Vasilije Adžić
1 ⚽
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Varela
F · Monza
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Vasilije Adžić
M · Sassuolo
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Armand Laurienté
F · Sassuolo
7.90
1 shots
· 53 pass
A. Murić
G · Sassuolo
7.70
· 38 pass
Noel Törnqvist
G · Monza
7.60
· 38 pass
D. Bakola
M · Sassuolo
7.30
1 shots
· 56 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noel Törnqvist | G | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Andrea Carboni | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kouadio | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Birindelli | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jay Robinson | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 93 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Bakoune | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 7 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Manga Foe Ondoa | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathis Mout | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Murić | G | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Josh Doig | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Fedde Leysen | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| Simone Cinquegrano | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Bakola | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 7 | — | — |
| Nemanja Matić | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Armand Laurienté | F | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Sebastiano Esposito | F | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Domenico Berardi | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kieron Bowie | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Laurs Skjellerup | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 21 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Sassuolo?
The final score was Monza 2–1 Sassuolo.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Sassuolo?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Monza win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an Sassuolo win.