G. Varela
(ast. S. Birindelli)
51'
G. Varela
63'
(pen.)
88'
V. Adzic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Sassuolo 32%). The final result was Monza 2–1 Sassuolo.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
8
1.45
Actual xG
1.58
7
Saves
4
36%
Possession
64%
7
Corners
5
24
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
E. Kouadio
30'
⚽G. Varela
· ast. S. Birindelli
51'
P. Cutrone
/ D. Mota
56'
R. Mangas
/ A. Bakoune
56'
E. Akinsanmiro
/ F. Ondoa
56'
⚽G. Varela
(pen.)
63'
64'
K. Bowie
/
K. Thorstvedt
64'
L. Lipani
/
N. Matic
72'
B. Dominguez
/
D. Berardi
72'
V. Adzic
/
S. Esposito
M. Folorunsho
74'
J. Robinson
/ M. Mout
82'
82'
L. Skjellerup
/
D. Bakola
85'
L. Lipani
S. Birindelli
85'
88'
V. Adzic⚽
G. Varela
90'+2
S. Birindelli
/ Y. Maye
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
39.36%
Monza ←
28.34%
X
32.3%
Sassuolo
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
39.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.44
1.45
-1.99
2.12
1.58
-0.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Törnqvist
G
N. Törnqvist
G
44
A. Carboni
D
A. Carboni
D
3
L. Lucchesi
D
L. Lucchesi
D
60
E. Kouadio
D
E. Kouadio
D
7
Ricardo Mangas
56'
M
Ricardo Mangas
56'
M
14
E. Akinsanmiro
56'
M
E. Akinsanmiro
56'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
M
M. Folorunsho
M
19
S. Birindelli
1 👟
M
S. Birindelli
1 👟
M
46
Jay Robinson
82'
F
Jay Robinson
82'
F
10
P. Cutrone
56'
F
P. Cutrone
56'
F
9
Gustavo Varela
2 ⚽
F
Gustavo Varela
2 ⚽
F
Bench
24
A. Bakoune
37'
D
A. Bakoune
37'
D
28
A. Colpani
M
A. Colpani
M
43
A. Strajnar
G
A. Strajnar
G
16
C. Ngonge
F
C. Ngonge
F
47
Dany Mota
37'
F
Dany Mota
37'
F
20
D. Thiam
G
D. Thiam
G
22
E. Zeballos
F
E. Zeballos
F
21
L. Colombo
M
L. Colombo
M
80
M. Mout
11'
M
M. Mout
11'
M
8
M. Ondoa
37'
M
M. Ondoa
37'
M
11
O. Forson
F
O. Forson
F
2
S. Goglichidze
D
S. Goglichidze
D
6
V. Antov
D
V. Antov
D
5
Y. Maye
D
Y. Maye
D
49
A. Murić
G
A. Murić
G
3
J. Doig
D
J. Doig
D
16
F. Leysen
D
F. Leysen
D
15
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
46
S. Cinquegrano
D
S. Cinquegrano
D
50
D. Bakola
82'
M
D. Bakola
82'
M
18
N. Matić
64'
M
N. Matić
64'
M
42
K. Thorstvedt
64'
M
K. Thorstvedt
64'
M
45
A. Laurienté
F
A. Laurienté
F
94
S. Esposito
72'
F
S. Esposito
72'
F
10
D. Berardi
72'
F
D. Berardi
72'
F
Bench
8
A. Ghion
M
A. Ghion
M
25
B. Domínguez
21'
F
B. Domínguez
21'
F
26
C. Odenthal
D
C. Odenthal
D
12
G. Satalino
G
G. Satalino
G
55
I. Sulemana
M
I. Sulemana
M
20
I. Van der Brempt
D
I. Van der Brempt
D
9
K. Bowie
29'
F
K. Bowie
29'
F
35
L. Lipani
29'
M
L. Lipani
29'
M
19
L. Skjellerup
11'
F
L. Skjellerup
11'
F
77
N. Pierini
F
N. Pierini
F
33
Rafael Obrador
D
Rafael Obrador
D
80
S. Turati
G
S. Turati
G
17
Vasilije Adžić
1 ⚽
21'
M
Vasilije Adžić
1 ⚽
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Varela
F · Monza
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Vasilije Adžić
M · Sassuolo
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
A. Laurienté
F · Sassuolo
7.90
1 shots
· 53 pass
A. Murić
G · Sassuolo
7.70
· 38 pass
N. Törnqvist
G · Monza
7.60
· 38 pass
D. Bakola
M · Sassuolo
7.30
1 shots
· 56 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Törnqvist | G | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kouadio | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Birindelli | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jay Robinson | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 93 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bakoune | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 7 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Mout | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Ondoa | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Murić | G | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Doig | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| F. Leysen | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Ćaleta-Car | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Cinquegrano | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Bakola | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 7 | — | — |
| N. Matić | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D. Berardi | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Skjellerup | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 21 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Sassuolo?
The final score was Monza 2–1 Sassuolo.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Sassuolo?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Monza win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an Sassuolo win.