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Morecambe - Darlington 1883

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Morecambe
vs
Darlington 1883
⚡ Pre-match analysis
72.49%
Win
Morecambe
13.89%
Draw
13.62%
Win
Darlington 1883
3.48
Expected xG
1.15
Most likely outcome
Morecambe
72.49%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (8.21%)
1X2 Result
1 72%
X 14%
2 14%
Double Chance
1X 86%
X2 28%
12 86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 79%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Morecambe a 72% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 13% for Darlington 1883. Expected goals are 3.5 for Morecambe and 1.1 for Darlington 1883 (total 4.6), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.21% probability.

Season Stats

Morecambe
1W 1D 1L
Darlington 1883
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.4
1.0
Conceded
2.4
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
33%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Morecambe
1W 1D 0L · at home
Darlington 1883
2W 1D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
3.0
0.5
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Morecambe Darlington 1883 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 3.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Morecambe Morecambe
W Southport 2–0
L Chester 2–0
D Chester 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883
W Redcar Town 2–4
L AFC Telford United 0–6
W AFC Fylde 3–1
D AFC Fylde 2–2
W Bootle 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Morecambe Morecambe
Attack
45
Defence
82
Form
69
Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883
Attack
36
Defence
47
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
The model gives Morecambe a 72% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 13% for an Darlington 1883 win.
How many goals are expected in Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
Expected goals: Morecambe 3.5, Darlington 1883 1.1 (total 4.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.21%.