Moreirense - Amarante
Friendlies Clubs
August 01, 2026 10:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.9%
Win
Moreirense
32.46%
Draw
32.64%
Win
Amarante
1.97
0.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.97%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Moreirense a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Amarante. Expected goals are 2.0 for Moreirense and 0.9 for Amarante (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.97% probability.
Season Stats
0W
2D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Moreirense
Amarante →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 11.1% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Moreirense
Attack
42
Defence
50
Form
43
Amarante
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Moreirense vs Amarante?
The model gives Moreirense a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Amarante win.
How many goals are expected in Moreirense vs Amarante?
Expected goals: Moreirense 2.0, Amarante 0.9 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Moreirense vs Amarante?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.97%.