Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 16:30

Moreirense

#7 · 0 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Arouca

#14 · 0 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arouca a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Moreirense 36%). The final result was Moreirense 0–1 Arouca. In 1 previous meetings, Moreirense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Arouca.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

2

0.59

Actual xG

1.69

49%

Possession

51%

3

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

36.34%

Moreirense

24.31%

X

39.35%

Arouca ←

we assigned to the actual result (Arouca) 39.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Moreirense

1.17

0.59

-0.58

Arouca

1.66

1.69

+0.03

Arouca dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0
2	Guimaraes	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0
4	GIL Vicente	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0
11	Maritimo	0	0
12	SC Braga	0	0
13	Nacional	0	0
14	Arouca	0	0
15	Casa Pia	0	0
16	Academico Viseu	0	0
17	Alverca	0	0
18	Famalicao	0	0