← Primeira Liga

Moreirense - AVS

Primeira Liga May 16, 2026 16:30
Moreirense
#7 · 42 pts
vs
AVS
#18 · 20 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 18.1°C 💨 17 km/h · Moreira de Conegos
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.92%
Win
Moreirense
30.52%
Draw
30.56%
Win
AVS
0.96
Expected xG
0.88

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Moreirense a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for AVS. Expected goals are 1.0 for Moreirense and 0.9 for AVS (total 1.8), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 15.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Moreirense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AVS.

Score Matrix
↕ Moreirense AVS →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.9% 14.0% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Moreirense Moreirense
L Tondela 2–0
W Estrela 3–2
L Benfica 4–1
W Estoril 1–0
D Famalicao 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
AVS AVS
W FC Porto 3–1
W Nacional 1–2
D Sporting CP 1–1
D Rio Ave 2–2
D Guimaraes 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Moreirense Moreirense
Attack
23
Defence
52
Form
41
AVS AVS
Attack
33
Defence
48
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Moreirense
0
Draw
0
AVS
W 3 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga 2–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Moreirense vs AVS?
The model gives Moreirense a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an AVS win.
How many goals are expected in Moreirense vs AVS?
Expected goals: Moreirense 1.0, AVS 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Moreirense vs AVS?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.9%.