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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 20, 2026 23:15
Moreirense
#7 · 42 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Estoril
#9 · 39 pts
Alanzinho (ast. A. Assis) 12'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estoril a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Moreirense 31%). The final result was Moreirense 1–0 Estoril. In 1 previous meetings, Moreirense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estoril.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.35
1
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
1
14
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Alanzinho · ast. A. Assis
12'
46'
J. Carvalho / Peixinho ↕
53'
R. Guitane / Jandro ↕
53'
J. Holsgrove / Pizzi ↕
↕ A. Assis / Yan Maranhao
63'
↕ Kiko Bondoso / C. Teguia
63'
72'
Ferro
73'
A. Marques / Xeka ↕
↕ Landerson / L. Santos
79'
79'
G. Costa / P. Carvalho ↕
90'+3
A. Tsoungui
↕ Alanzinho / J. Gower
90'
Pre-match prediction
31.6%
Moreirense ←
31.81%
X
36.58%
Estoril
we assigned to the actual result (Moreirense) 31.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Moreirense
0.84
0.86
+0.02
Estoril
1.00
0.35
-0.65
Moreirense dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Moreirense Moreirense 4-2-3-1
13
André Ferreira G 7.50
2 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos D 7.60
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D 7.30
4
D 7.50
70 Fabiano Souza Fabiano Souza D 6.70
8 Mateja Stjepanović Mateja Stjepanović M 6.20
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis 1 👟 63' M 6.90
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 63' M 6.70
21
Rodri M 7.00
78 Landerson Landerson 79' M 6.70
11 Alan Alan 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.00
Bench
22 Caio Secco Caio Secco G
7 Cedric Teguia Cedric Teguia 27' F 7.00
9 Luís Semedo Luís Semedo F
99 Yan Maranhão Yan Maranhão 27' F 6.60
Estoril Estoril 4-1-4-1
16
G 7.90
24 Pedro Amaral Pedro Amaral D 7.20
25 Felix Bacher Felix Bacher D 6.90
4 Ferro Ferro D 7.30
22 Pedro Carvalho Pedro Carvalho 79' D 6.20
5 Antef Tsoungui Antef Tsoungui M 6.90
14 Y. Begraoui Y. Begraoui M 6.60
6
Jandro 53' M 6.20
8 Xeka Xeka 73' M 6.90
70 Peixinho Peixinho 45' M 6.90
21 Pizzi Pizzi 53' F 6.50
Bench
10 J. Holsgrove J. Holsgrove 37' M 6.60
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho 45' M 6.50
99 R. Guitane R. Guitane 37' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
Alan
Alan
F · Moreirense
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
G · Estoril
7.90
· 27 pass
Diogo Travassos
Diogo Travassos
D · Moreirense
7.60
· 41 pass
André Ferreira
G · Moreirense
7.50
· 38 pass
D · Moreirense
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
Gilberto Batista
Gilberto Batista
D · Moreirense
7.30
· 53 pass
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
André Ferreira G 90 7.50 — — — 38 16% — — —
Diogo Travassos D 90 7.60 — — — 41 35% 2 — —
Gilberto Batista D 90 7.30 — — — 53 45% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 34 29% 1 — —
Fabiano Souza D 90 6.70 — — — 37 21% 1 — —
Mateja Stjepanović M 90 6.20 — — 1 23 15% — — —
Afonso Assis M 63 6.90 — 1 1 37 32% 1 — —
Kiko Bondoso M 63 6.70 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Rodri M 90 7.00 — — 2 29 25% 2 — —
Landerson M 79 6.70 — — 1 23 19% 2 — —
Alan F 89 8.00 1 — 2 37 29% 2 — —
Cedric Teguia F 27 7.00 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Yan Maranhão F 27 6.60 — — 1 10 5% — — —
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 27 19% — — —
Pedro Amaral D 90 7.20 — — — 48 40% 2 — —
Felix Bacher D 90 6.90 — — — 86 67% 2 — —
Ferro D 90 7.30 — — — 81 66% 6 1 —
Pedro Carvalho D 79 6.20 — — 1 31 24% 1 — —
Antef Tsoungui M 90 6.90 — — — 59 55% 4 1 —
Y. Begraoui M 90 6.60 — — 1 16 14% — — —
Jandro M 53 6.20 — — — 24 21% — — —
Xeka M 73 6.90 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
Peixinho M 45 6.90 — — — 10 8% 3 — —
Pizzi F 53 6.50 — — — 20 14% — — —
J. Holsgrove M 37 6.60 — — — 39 30% 1 — —
João Carvalho M 45 6.50 — — — 23 17% 1 — —
R. Guitane M 37 6.20 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Moreirense vs Estoril?
The final score was Moreirense 1–0 Estoril.
What did the model predict before Moreirense vs Estoril?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Moreirense win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Estoril win.