Mornar - Arsenal Tivat
First League
August 07, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.1%
Win
Mornar
32.9%
Draw
31.01%
Win
Arsenal Tivat
1.23
0.71
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(16.17%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
33%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
64%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mornar a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Arsenal Tivat. Expected goals are 1.2 for Mornar and 0.7 for Arsenal Tivat (total 1.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 16.17% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Mornar have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Arsenal Tivat.
Season Stats
10W
4D
1L
6W
3D
6L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.1
0.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
47%
27%
BTTS
47%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in First League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
7W
2D
1L
· at home
5W
2D
3L
· away
1.9
gls/g
1.1
0.5
Conceded
1.1
70%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Mornar
Arsenal Tivat →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.4% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mornar
Attack
16
Defence
51
Form
35
Arsenal Tivat
Attack
17
Defence
42
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mladost DG
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Buducnost Podgorica
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Bokelj
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Dečić
|
1 | 1 |
| 5 |
Jezero
|
1 | 1 |
| 6 |
Mornar
|
1 | 1 |
| 7 |
Arsenal Tivat
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Otrant-Olympic
|
1 | 0 |
| 9 |
Petrovac
|
1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Sutjeska
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
The model gives Mornar a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Arsenal Tivat win.
How many goals are expected in Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Expected goals: Mornar 1.2, Arsenal Tivat 0.7 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.17%.