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Africa Cup of Nations - Qual. · Group Stage - 1 September 25, 2026 21:00
Morocco
#1 · 6 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Gabon
#2 · 3 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Morocco
Noussair Mazraoui (ast. Nayef Aguerd) 36'
Soufiane Rahimi (ast. Bilal El Khannouss) 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Morocco a 62% win probability (draw 19%, Gabon 18%). The final result was Morocco 2–0 Gabon.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Noussair Mazraoui · ast. Nayef Aguerd
36'
41'
Anthony Oyono
↕ Yassir Zabiri / Soufiane Rahimi
62'
↕ Gessime Yassine / Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
62'
Ayyoub Bouaddi
64'
68'
Henrick Do Marcolino / André Poko ↕
72'
Jonathan Do Marcolino
↕ Azzedine Ounahi / Bilal El Khannouss
76'
↕ Abde Ezzalzouli / Abdellah Ouazane
76'
79'
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda / Jonathan Do Marcolino ↕
79'
André-Jordy Ella / Shavy Babicka ↕
↕ Noussair Mazraoui / Anass Salah-Eddine
84'
⚽Soufiane Rahimi · ast. Bilal El Khannouss
84'
Pre-match prediction
62.35%
Morocco ←
19.35%
X
18.3%
Gabon
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Morocco) 62.35% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Morocco
4.06
—
—
Gabon
1.65
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Morocco Morocco 2 6
2 Gabon Gabon 2 3
3 Niger Niger 2 3
4 Lesotho Lesotho 2 0
Lineups
Morocco Morocco 4-2-3-1
1 Y. Bounou Y. Bounou G 8.38
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui 1 ⚽ 84' D 7.82
5 N. Aguerd N. Aguerd 1 👟 D 7.56
14 I. Diop I. Diop D 6.91
28 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar D 6.36
24 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 7.09
6 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi M 7.20
17 A. Ezzalzouli A. Ezzalzouli 76' M 6.90
8 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 76' M 7.20
16 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine 62' M 6.66
21 M. Zabiri M. Zabiri 62' F 6.29
Bench
27 A. Ait Boudlal A. Ait Boudlal D 0.00
20 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 14' M 6.46
26 A. Salah-Eddine A. Salah-Eddine 6' D 6.56
23 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 👟 14' M 6.82
7 Ilias Akhomach Ilias Akhomach 28' F 6.74
4 M. Saâdane M. Saâdane D 0.00
12 Munir Munir G 0.00
18 O. Targhalline O. Targhalline M 0.00
25 R. Halhal R. Halhal D 0.00
19 S. El-Faouzi S. El-Faouzi M 0.00
9 S. Rahimi S. Rahimi 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.33
13 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 0.00
Gabon Gabon 4-4-2
1 J. Amonome J. Amonome G 5.55
19 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié D 6.83
6 U. Mboula U. Mboula D 6.63
24 A. Do Marcolino A. Do Marcolino 79' D 5.69
3 A. Oyono A. Oyono D 5.93
20 D. Bouanga D. Bouanga M 6.39
22 D. Ndong D. Ndong M 6.24
17 A. Biyogo Poko A. Biyogo Poko 68' M 6.00
10 S. Babicka S. Babicka 79' M 5.57
12 G. Kanga G. Kanga F 6.85
11
F 6.22
Bench
2 A. Appindangoyé A. Appindangoyé D 0.00
25 A. Ella A. Ella 11' F 6.71
4 A. Moucketou-Moussounda A. Moucketou-Moussounda 11' D 6.01
8 C. Loufilou C. Loufilou M 0.00
13 H. Do Marcolino H. Do Marcolino 22' F 6.28
Best on the pitch
Y. Bounou
Y. Bounou
G · Morocco
8.38
· 21 pass
N. Mazraoui
N. Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.82
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
N. Aguerd
N. Aguerd
D · Morocco
7.56
1 👟
2 shots · 109 pass
S. Rahimi
S. Rahimi
F · Morocco
7.33
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
A. Bouaddi
A. Bouaddi
M · Morocco
7.20
· 90 pass
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
M · Morocco
7.20
5 shots · 60 pass
Morocco Morocco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Bounou G 90 8.38 — — 0 21 20% 0 — —
N. Mazraoui D 84 7.82 1 — 1 68 65% 2 — —
N. Aguerd D 90 7.56 — 1 2 109 102% 1 — —
I. Diop D 90 6.91 — — 0 73 72% 0 — —
Ali Maamar D 90 6.36 — — 1 42 35% 1 — —
N. El Aynaoui M 90 7.09 — — 1 82 79% 1 — —
A. Bouaddi M 90 7.20 — — 0 90 86% 1 1 —
A. Ezzalzouli M 76 6.90 — — 3 44 35% 0 — —
A. Ounahi M 76 7.20 — — 5 60 47% 2 — —
Gessime Yassine M 62 6.66 — — 0 33 29% 3 — —
M. Zabiri F 62 6.29 — — 2 2 2% 0 — —
A. Ouazane M 14 6.46 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
A. Salah-Eddine D 6 6.56 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
B. El Khannouss M 14 6.82 — 1 0 13 11% 1 — —
Ilias Akhomach F 28 6.74 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
S. Rahimi F 28 7.33 1 — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Gabon Gabon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Amonome G 90 5.55 — — 0 32 19% 0 — —
J. Ekomié D 90 6.83 — — 0 23 22% 0 — —
U. Mboula D 90 6.63 — — 0 44 40% 0 — —
A. Do Marcolino D 79 5.69 — — 0 27 20% 0 1 —
A. Oyono D 90 5.93 — — 0 21 17% 2 1 —
D. Bouanga M 90 6.39 — — 6 17 12% 1 — —
D. Ndong M 90 6.24 — — 0 32 28% 6 — —
A. Biyogo Poko M 68 6.00 — — 0 14 8% 2 — —
S. Babicka M 79 5.57 — — 0 12 12% 2 — —
G. Kanga F 90 6.85 — — 3 51 43% 0 — —
F 90 6.22 — — 2 17 13% 2 — —
A. Ella F 11 6.71 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
A. Moucketou-Moussounda D 11 6.01 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
H. Do Marcolino F 22 6.28 — — 0 10 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Morocco vs Gabon?
The final score was Morocco 2–0 Gabon.
What did the model predict before Morocco vs Gabon?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Morocco win, 19% to a draw, and 18% to an Gabon win.