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Morocco - Ghana

Friendlies Internazionali October 04, 2026 20:00
Morocco
vs
Ghana
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.73%
Win
Morocco
21.54%
Draw
19.72%
Win
Ghana
3.15
Expected xG
0.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.77%)
1X2 Result
1 59%
X 22%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 41%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Morocco a 58% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ghana. Expected goals are 3.2 for Morocco and 0.7 for Ghana (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.77% probability.

Season Stats

Morocco
3W 2D 0L
Ghana
0W 1D 3L
Averages per game
2.6
Goals
0.8
0.6
Conceded
2.5
5.3
Shots OT
2.5
4.5
Corners
3.5
58%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
75%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
68%
BTTS
Morocco
3W 2D 0L · at home
Ghana
0W 1D 3L · away
2.6
gls/g
0.8
0.6
Conceded
2.5
60%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
25%
100%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
25%
60%
BTTS
75%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Morocco Ghana →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% — —
1 6.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 10.6% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 11.2% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 8.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 5.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Morocco Morocco
D Norway 1–1
W Madagascar 4–0
W Burundi 5–0
W Paraguay 2–1
D Ecuador 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Ghana Ghana
D Wales 1–1
L Mexico 2–0
L Germany 2–1
L Austria 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Morocco Morocco
Attack
65
Defence
82
Form
73
Ghana Ghana
Attack
23
Defence
44
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

Morocco
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Morocco vs Ghana?
The model gives Morocco a 58% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 19% for an Ghana win.
How many goals are expected in Morocco vs Ghana?
Expected goals: Morocco 3.2, Ghana 0.7 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Morocco vs Ghana?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.77%.