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Morton - Ayr Utd

Scottish Championship October 24, 2026 16:00 Cappielow Park, Greenock
Morton
#9 · 10 pts
vs
Ayr Utd
#7 · 15 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Rain 11.1°C 💨 32 km/h 🌧️ 100% · Greenock
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.38%
Win
Morton
26.53%
Draw
32.08%
Win
Ayr Utd
1.56
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.31%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 27%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 59%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 37%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Morton a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ayr Utd. Expected goals are 1.6 for Morton and 1.1 for Ayr Utd (total 2.7), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.31% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Morton have won 1 times, with 3 draws and 1 wins for Ayr Utd.

Season Stats

Morton
2W 3D 10L
Ayr Utd
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.9
1.7
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
47%
O 2.5
27%
53%
BTTS
47%
13%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Morton
2W 2D 6L · at home
Ayr Utd
2W 3D 5L · away
0.9
gls/g
0.9
1.4
Conceded
1.4
20%
Win %
20%
40%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
0%
60%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Morton Ayr Utd →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Morton Morton
W Partick 2–3
W Queen's Park 2–0
W Arbroath 1–2
L Raith Rovers 1–2
L Inverness CT 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
W Queen's Park 3–2
L Partick 0–1
D Dunfermline 1–1
W Livingston 1–2
L Stenhousemuir 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Morton Morton
Attack
33
Defence
58
Form
41
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
Attack
30
Defence
69
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Morton
3
Draw
1
Ayr Utd
29 Aug 2026 Scottish Championship 1–1
21 Mar 2026 Scottish Championship 1–0
27 Dec 2025 Scottish Championship 1–1
18 Oct 2025 Scottish Championship 1–2
23 Aug 2025 Scottish Championship 2–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 14 25
2 Partick Partick 13 25
3 Dunfermline Dunfermline 14 25
4 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 13 23
5 Livingston Livingston 13 20
6 Inverness CT Inverness CT 13 19
7 Ayr Utd Ayr Utd 12 15
8 Arbroath Arbroath 13 11
9 Morton Morton 12 10
10 Queen's Park Queen's Park 13 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Morton vs Ayr Utd?
The model gives Morton a 41% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 32% for an Ayr Utd win.
How many goals are expected in Morton vs Ayr Utd?
Expected goals: Morton 1.6, Ayr Utd 1.1 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Morton vs Ayr Utd?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.31%.