E. Watt
17'
L. Gordon
85'
41'
D. Maeda
58'
(ast. Yang Hyun-Jun)
B. Nygren
(pen.)
90'+8
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Motherwell 25%). The final result was Motherwell 2–3 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
0.58
0
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
3
14
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Watt
17'
41'
D. Maeda⚽
58'
ast. Yang Hyun-Jun ·
B. Nygren⚽
61'
D. Maeda
C. Slattery
/ R. Charles-Cook
69'
70'
R. Hatate
/
B. Nygren
70'
A. Ralston
/
A. Johnston
70'
K. Iheanacho
/
S. Tounekti
78'
J. Forrest
/
Yang Hyun-Jun
79'
M. Saracchi
/
K. Tierney
J. Koutroumbis
/ L. Gordon
81'
I. Said
/ S. Nicholson
81'
⚽L. Gordon
85'
E. Just
/ C. Hendry
88'
T. Maswanhise
/ O. Priestman
88'
S. Nicholson
90'+1
90'+2
L. Scales
90'+8
(pen.)
K. Iheanacho⚽
E. Longelo
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
25.5%
Motherwell
20.18%
X
54.32%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
54.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.21
-0.14
2.16
0.58
-1.58
Motherwell dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Calum Ward
G
Calum Ward
G
45
Emmanuel Longelo
D
Emmanuel Longelo
D
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
81'
D
Johnny Koutroumbis
81'
D
2
Stephen O'Donnell
D
Stephen O'Donnell
D
7
T. Sparrow
D
T. Sparrow
D
20
E. Watt
1 ⚽
M
E. Watt
1 ⚽
M
12
L. Fadinger
M
L. Fadinger
M
21
Elijah Just
88'
M
Elijah Just
88'
M
8
Callum Slattery
69'
M
Callum Slattery
69'
M
90
I. Said
81'
M
I. Said
81'
M
18
Tawanda Maswanhise
88'
F
Tawanda Maswanhise
88'
F
Bench
48
Aaron Thomson
D
66
Callum Hendry
11'
F
Callum Hendry
11'
F
4
Liam Gordon
1 ⚽
18'
D
Liam Gordon
1 ⚽
18'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
31
Matty Connelly
G
Matty Connelly
G
29
Mikey Booth
M
Mikey Booth
M
25
Oscar Priestman
11'
M
Oscar Priestman
11'
M
77
Regan Charles-Cook
30'
F
Regan Charles-Cook
30'
F
19
Sam Nicholson
18'
F
Sam Nicholson
18'
F
12
Viljami Sinisalo
G
Viljami Sinisalo
G
63
K. Tierney
78'
D
K. Tierney
78'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
2
Alistair Johnston
70'
D
Alistair Johnston
70'
D
27
A. Engels
M
A. Engels
M
42
Callum McGregor
M
Callum McGregor
M
23
Sebastian Tounekti
70'
M
Sebastian Tounekti
70'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
70'
M
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
70'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 👟
78'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 👟
78'
M
38
Daizen Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Daizen Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
47
Dane Murray
D
Dane Murray
D
49
James Forrest
21'
M
James Forrest
21'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
1 ⚽
29'
F
14
L. McCowan
M
L. McCowan
M
36
Marcelo Saracchi
21'
D
41
Reo Hatate
29'
M
Reo Hatate
29'
M
31
Ross Doohan
G
Ross Doohan
G
56
Tony Ralston
29'
D
Tony Ralston
29'
D
Best on the pitch
E. Watt
M · Motherwell
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.50
· 86 pass
Daizen Maeda
F · Celtic
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
L. Scales
D · Celtic
7.30
· 96 pass
Viljami Sinisalo
G · Celtic
7.20
· 39 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Ward | G | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Longelo | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 61% | — | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Watt | M | 99 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 73 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Elijah Just | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Callum Slattery | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | F | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 18 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Regan Charles-Cook | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sam Nicholson | F | 18 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viljami Sinisalo | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| K. Tierney | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 96 | 84% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Auston Trusty | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Callum McGregor | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastian Tounekti | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 70 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Daizen Maeda | F | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| James Forrest | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 29 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Saracchi | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Reo Hatate | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?
The final score was Motherwell 2–3 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Celtic?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Motherwell win, 20% to a draw, and 54% to an Celtic win.