E. Watt
17'
L. Gordon
85'
41'
D. Maeda
58'
(ast. Yang Hyun-Jun)
B. Nygren
(pen.)
90'+8
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Motherwell 25%). The final result was Motherwell 2–3 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
0.58
0
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
3
14
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Watt
17'
41'
D. Maeda⚽
58'
ast. Yang Hyun-Jun ·
B. Nygren⚽
61'
D. Maeda
C. Slattery
/ R. Charles-Cook
69'
70'
R. Hatate
/
B. Nygren
70'
A. Ralston
/
A. Johnston
70'
K. Iheanacho
/
S. Tounekti
78'
J. Forrest
/
Yang Hyun-Jun
79'
M. Saracchi
/
K. Tierney
J. Koutroumbis
/ L. Gordon
81'
I. Said
/ S. Nicholson
81'
⚽L. Gordon
85'
E. Just
/ C. Hendry
88'
T. Maswanhise
/ O. Priestman
88'
S. Nicholson
90'+1
90'+2
L. Scales
90'+8
(pen.)
K. Iheanacho⚽
E. Longelo
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
25.5%
Motherwell
20.18%
X
54.32%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
54.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.21
-0.14
2.16
0.58
-1.58
Motherwell dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Calum Ward
G
Calum Ward
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
81'
D
Johnny Koutroumbis
81'
D
2
Stephen O'Donnell
D
Stephen O'Donnell
D
7
Tom Sparrow
D
Tom Sparrow
D
20
E. Watt
1 ⚽
M
E. Watt
1 ⚽
M
12
Lukas Fadinger
M
Lukas Fadinger
M
21
E. Just
88'
M
E. Just
88'
M
8
C. Slattery
69'
M
C. Slattery
69'
M
90
Ibrahim Said
81'
M
Ibrahim Said
81'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
88'
F
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
88'
F
Bench
48
Aaron Thomson
D
Aaron Thomson
D
66
Callum Hendry
11'
F
Callum Hendry
11'
F
4
Liam Gordon
1 ⚽
18'
D
Liam Gordon
1 ⚽
18'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
31
Matty Connelly
G
Matty Connelly
G
29
Mikey Booth
M
Mikey Booth
M
25
Oscar Priestman
11'
M
Oscar Priestman
11'
M
77
R. Charles-Cook
30'
F
R. Charles-Cook
30'
F
19
Sam Nicholson
18'
F
Sam Nicholson
18'
F
12
Viljami Sinisalo
G
Viljami Sinisalo
G
63
Kieran Tierney
78'
D
Kieran Tierney
78'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
2
A. Johnston
70'
D
A. Johnston
70'
D
27
Arne Engels
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
23
S. Tounekti
70'
M
S. Tounekti
70'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
70'
M
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
70'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 👟
78'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 👟
78'
M
38
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
47
Dane Murray
D
49
James Forrest
21'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
1 ⚽
29'
F
14
Luke McCowan
M
36
Marcelo Saracchi
21'
D
41
Reo Hatate
29'
M
Reo Hatate
29'
M
31
Ross Doohan
G
56
Tony Ralston
29'
D
Tony Ralston
29'
D
Best on the pitch
E. Watt
M · Motherwell
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.50
· 86 pass
D. Maeda
F · Celtic
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
L. Scales
D · Celtic
7.30
· 96 pass
Viljami Sinisalo
G · Celtic
7.20
· 39 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Ward | G | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Tom Sparrow | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Watt | M | 99 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 73 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Just | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Said | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | F | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 18 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sam Nicholson | F | 18 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viljami Sinisalo | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 96 | 84% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Arne Engels | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 70 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| James Forrest | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 29 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Saracchi | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Reo Hatate | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?
The final score was Motherwell 2–3 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Celtic?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Motherwell win, 20% to a draw, and 54% to an Celtic win.