E. Watt
17'
L. Gordon
85'
41'
D. Maeda
58'
(ast. Yang Hyun-Jun)
B. Nygren
(pen.)
90'+8
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Motherwell 25%). The final result was Motherwell 2–3 Celtic. In 4 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
0.58
0
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
3
14
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Watt
17'
41'
D. Maeda⚽
58'
ast. Yang Hyun-Jun ·
B. Nygren⚽
61'
D. Maeda
C. Slattery
/ R. Charles-Cook
69'
70'
R. Hatate
/
B. Nygren
70'
A. Ralston
/
A. Johnston
70'
K. Iheanacho
/
S. Tounekti
78'
J. Forrest
/
Yang Hyun-Jun
79'
M. Saracchi
/
K. Tierney
J. Koutroumbis
/ L. Gordon
81'
I. Said
/ S. Nicholson
81'
⚽L. Gordon
85'
E. Just
/ C. Hendry
88'
T. Maswanhise
/ O. Priestman
88'
S. Nicholson
90'+1
90'+2
L. Scales
90'+8
(pen.)
K. Iheanacho⚽
E. Longelo
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
25.5%
Motherwell
20.18%
X
54.32%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
54.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.21
-0.14
2.16
0.58
-1.58
Motherwell dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
C. Ward
G
C. Ward
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
22
J. Koutroumbis
81'
D
J. Koutroumbis
81'
D
2
S. O'Donnell
D
S. O'Donnell
D
7
T. Sparrow
D
T. Sparrow
D
20
Elliot Watt
1 ⚽
M
Elliot Watt
1 ⚽
M
12
L. Fadinger
M
L. Fadinger
M
21
E. Just
88'
M
E. Just
88'
M
8
C. Slattery
69'
M
90
I. Said
81'
M
I. Said
81'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
88'
F
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
88'
F
Bench
48
Aaron Thomson
D
Aaron Thomson
D
66
C. Hendry
11'
F
C. Hendry
11'
F
4
Liam Gordon
1 ⚽
18'
D
Liam Gordon
1 ⚽
18'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
29
M. Booth
M
M. Booth
M
31
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
25
O. Priestman
11'
M
O. Priestman
11'
M
77
R. Charles-Cook
30'
F
R. Charles-Cook
30'
F
19
Sam Nicholson
18'
F
Sam Nicholson
18'
F
12
V. Sinisalo
G
V. Sinisalo
G
63
K. Tierney
78'
D
K. Tierney
78'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
2
A. Johnston
70'
D
A. Johnston
70'
D
27
A. Engels
M
A. Engels
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
23
S. Tounekti
70'
M
S. Tounekti
70'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
70'
M
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
70'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 👟
78'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 👟
78'
M
38
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
56
A. Ralston
29'
D
A. Ralston
29'
D
47
D. Murray
D
D. Murray
D
49
J. Forrest
21'
M
J. Forrest
21'
M
17
K. Ịheanachọ
1 ⚽
29'
F
K. Ịheanachọ
1 ⚽
29'
F
14
L. McCowan
M
L. McCowan
M
36
M. Saracchi
21'
D
M. Saracchi
21'
D
31
R. Doohan
G
R. Doohan
G
41
R. Hatate
29'
M
R. Hatate
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Elliot Watt
M · Motherwell
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.50
· 86 pass
L. Scales
D · Celtic
7.30
· 96 pass
D. Maeda
F · Celtic
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
V. Sinisalo
G · Celtic
7.20
· 39 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | G | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Koutroumbis | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | — | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 61% | — | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 99 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 73 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Just | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | F | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Hendry | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 18 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| O. Priestman | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sam Nicholson | F | 18 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sinisalo | G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| K. Tierney | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 96 | 84% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 70 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Ịheanachọ | F | 29 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Saracchi | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Hatate | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?
The final score was Motherwell 2–3 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Celtic?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Motherwell win, 20% to a draw, and 54% to an Celtic win.