9'
Camilo Duran
58'
(ast. Kasper Hogh)
Benjamin Nygren
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Motherwell 27%). The final result was Motherwell 0–2 Celtic. In 4 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
25
2
Shots on target
15
1.09
Actual xG
2.88
12
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
9
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
Camilo Duran⚽
Joe Hodge
41'
58'
ast. Kasper Hogh ·
Benjamin Nygren⚽
Willy Gabriel Vogt
/ Ibrahim Said
60'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
/ Jardell Kanga
71'
Dylan Levitt
/ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
71'
73'
Haissem Hassan
/
Camilo Duran
73'
Shumaira Mheuka
/
Kasper Hogh
74'
Jota
/
Sebastian Tounekti
78'
Oliver Sorensen
/
Benjamin Nygren
82'
Kieran Tierney
82'
Jordan Lotomba
/
Kieran Tierney
Stephen O'Donnell
/ Jake Max Girdwood-Reich
83'
Alex·Lowry
/ Tawanda Maswanhise
83'
85'
Jordan Lotomba
Pre-match prediction
27.39%
Motherwell
30.49%
X
42.12%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
42.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.60
1.09
+0.49
1.23
2.88
+1.65
Celtic dominated by xG (2.88 vs 1.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Paulsen
G
A. Paulsen
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
5
M. Moormann
D
M. Moormann
D
2
S. O'Donnell
83'
D
S. O'Donnell
83'
D
7
T. Sparrow
D
T. Sparrow
D
63
D. Levitt
71'
M
D. Levitt
71'
M
8
L. Fadinger
M
L. Fadinger
M
71
J. Hodge
M
J. Hodge
M
11
A. Lowry
83'
M
A. Lowry
83'
M
77
W. Vogt
60'
M
W. Vogt
60'
M
47
S. Palmer-Houlden
71'
F
S. Palmer-Houlden
71'
F
Bench
15
E. Björgólfsson
19'
F
E. Björgólfsson
19'
F
19
I. Said
30'
F
I. Said
30'
F
4
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
7'
D
J. Girdwood-Reich
7'
D
13
J. Kanga
19'
M
J. Kanga
19'
M
6
J. McGhee
D
J. McGhee
D
27
M. Booth
M
M. Booth
M
21
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
7'
F
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
7'
F
1
V. Sinisalo
G
V. Sinisalo
G
63
K. Tierney
82'
D
K. Tierney
82'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
47
D. Murray
D
D. Murray
D
51
Colby Donovan
D
Colby Donovan
D
22
M. Baur
M
M. Baur
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
17
S. Tounekti
74'
M
S. Tounekti
74'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
78'
M
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
78'
M
11
C. Durán
1 ⚽
73'
M
C. Durán
1 ⚽
73'
M
9
K. Høgh
1 👟
73'
F
K. Høgh
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
23
H. Hassan
17'
F
H. Hassan
17'
F
49
J. Forrest
M
J. Forrest
M
3
J. Lotomba
8'
D
J. Lotomba
8'
D
7
Jota
16'
F
Jota
16'
F
18
O. Sørensen
12'
M
O. Sørensen
12'
M
29
Shumaira Mheuka
17'
F
Shumaira Mheuka
17'
F
26
S. Johnstone
G
S. Johnstone
G
Best on the pitch
A. Paulsen
G · Motherwell
8.46
· 45 pass
C. Durán
M · Celtic
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 39 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
L. Scales
D · Celtic
8.00
1 shots
· 147 pass
K. Tierney
D · Celtic
7.82
1 shots
· 65 pass
Colby Donovan
D · Celtic
7.76
3 shots
· 54 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Paulsen | G | 90 | 8.46 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Moormann | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 83 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Levitt | M | 71 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hodge | M | 90 | 5.66 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Lowry | M | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Vogt | M | 60 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | F | 71 | 6.22 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Björgólfsson | F | 19 | 6.15 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Said | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 7 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kanga | M | 19 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | F | 7 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sinisalo | G | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Tierney | D | 82 | 7.82 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 147 | 140% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Murray | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 0 | 105 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| Colby Donovan | D | 90 | 7.76 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Baur | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 64 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 96 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | M | 74 | 7.18 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 78 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Durán | M | 73 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 73 | 7.11 | — | 1 | 5 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Hassan | F | 17 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Lotomba | D | 8 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jota | F | 16 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Sørensen | M | 12 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Shumaira Mheuka | F | 17 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?
The final score was Motherwell 0–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Celtic?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Motherwell win, 30% to a draw, and 42% to an Celtic win.