Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 32
April 04, 2026 18:00
E. Watt
34'
T. Maswanhise
(ast. E. Just)
90'
3'
(ast. C. Miller)
B. Stewart
45'
B. Broggio
(pen.)
62'
C. Miller
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motherwell a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Falkirk 19%). The final result was Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk. In 3 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
5
1.31
Actual xG
1.92
2
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
26
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. C. Miller ·
B. Stewart⚽
Tom Sparrow
25'
⚽E. Watt
34'
42'
Liam Henderson
45'
B. Broggio⚽
56'
Keelan Adams
Ibrahim Said
61'
62'
(pen.)
C. Miller⚽
T. Sparrow
/ S. Nicholson
63'
71'
E. Ross
/
B. Broggio
71'
K. Wilson
/
F. Yeats
L. Fadinger
/ O. Priestman
73'
S. O'Donnell
/ J. McGhee
73'
E. Longelo
/ L. Ross
79'
79'
B. Graham
/
B. Stewart
84'
B. Parkinson
/
C. Miller
85'
Brad Spencer
⚽T. Maswanhise
· ast. E. Just
90'
Pre-match prediction
54.12%
Motherwell
26.36%
X
19.51%
Falkirk ←
we assigned to the actual result (Falkirk)
19.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
1.31
-0.28
0.74
1.92
+1.18
Falkirk dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
45
Emmanuel Longelo
79'
D
Emmanuel Longelo
79'
D
57
Stephen Welsh
D
Stephen Welsh
D
16
P. McGinn
D
2
Stephen O'Donnell
73'
D
Stephen O'Donnell
73'
D
20
Elliot Watt
1 ⚽
M
Elliot Watt
1 ⚽
M
12
Lukas Fadinger
73'
M
Lukas Fadinger
73'
M
90
Ibrahim Said
M
Ibrahim Said
M
21
Elijah Just
1 👟
M
Elijah Just
1 👟
M
7
Tom Sparrow
63'
M
Tom Sparrow
63'
M
18
Tawanda Maswanhise
1 ⚽
F
Tawanda Maswanhise
1 ⚽
F
19
G
3
L. McCann
D
5
Liam Henderson
D
Liam Henderson
D
28
F. Lissah
D
2
Keelan Adams
D
8
Brad Spencer
M
Brad Spencer
M
21
Dylan Tait
M
Dylan Tait
M
14
Finn Yeats
71'
M
Finn Yeats
71'
M
29
Calvin Miller
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
Calvin Miller
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
11
Ben Broggio
1 ⚽
71'
M
Ben Broggio
1 ⚽
71'
M
16
B. Stewart
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
11'
F
Ben Parkinson
11'
F
6
Coll Donaldson
D
Coll Donaldson
D
20
Connor Allan
M
Connor Allan
M
17
Henry Cartwright
M
Henry Cartwright
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
19'
F
Kyrell Wilson
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Elliot Watt
M · Motherwell
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 77 pass
B. Stewart
F · Falkirk
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Tawanda Maswanhise
F · Motherwell
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
F. Lissah
D · Falkirk
7.50
· 34 pass
Calvin Miller
M · Falkirk
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 13 pass
Elijah Just
M · Motherwell
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 46 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Longelo | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Welsh | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| P. McGinn | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 77 | 65% | 4 | — | — |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Said | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Elijah Just | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 46 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Tom Sparrow | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| L. McCann | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Liam Henderson | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Keelan Adams | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brad Spencer | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Dylan Tait | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Calvin Miller | M | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Ben Broggio | M | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Stewart | F | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Falkirk?
The final score was Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Motherwell win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Falkirk win.