The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motherwell a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Falkirk 31%). The final result was Motherwell 0–0 Falkirk. In 4 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
1
0.89
Actual xG
0.43
1
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
2
16
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
44'
F. Yeats
M. Booth
/ A. Lowry
46'
46'
C. Sibbald
/
F. Yeats
M. Moormann
51'
T. Sparrow
/ J. Koutroumbis
64'
M. Moormann
/ J. Girdwood-Reich
65'
65'
B. Krauhaus
68'
R. MacIver
/
B. Parkinson
68'
P. McGovern
/
A. Doherty
L. Fadinger
75'
E. Longelo
/ E. Wilson
76'
W. Vogt
/ R. Charles-Cook
76'
90'+1
J. McMillan
/
B. Krauhaus
Pre-match prediction
36.19%
Motherwell
31.86%
X ←
31.95%
Falkirk
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
0.89
-1.22
1.40
0.43
-0.97
Motherwell dominated by xG (0.89 vs 0.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alex Paulsen
G
45
M. Emmanuel
76'
D
M. Emmanuel
76'
D
5
M. Moormann
65'
D
M. Moormann
65'
D
4
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
7
T. Sparrow
64'
D
T. Sparrow
64'
D
8
L. Fadinger
M
L. Fadinger
M
12
Oscar Priestman
M
19
I. Said
M
I. Said
M
27
Mikey Booth
45'
M
Mikey Booth
45'
M
77
Willy Vogt
76'
M
Willy Vogt
76'
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
F
Bench
11
A. Lowry
45'
M
A. Lowry
45'
M
23
Ewan Wilson
14'
D
Ewan Wilson
14'
D
31
Jack McConnell
G
Jack McConnell
G
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
25'
D
J. Girdwood-Reich
25'
D
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
26'
D
24
Luca Ross
M
Luca Ross
M
21
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
25
Olly Whyte
M
Olly Whyte
M
17
R. Charles-Cook
14'
F
R. Charles-Cook
14'
F
19
S. Bain
G
S. Bain
G
3
L. McCann
D
L. McCann
D
5
L. Henderson
D
L. Henderson
D
15
L. Neilson
D
L. Neilson
D
22
R. Strain
D
R. Strain
D
28
Ben Krauhaus
M
Ben Krauhaus
M
16
Finley Frank Barbrook
M
Finley Frank Barbrook
M
23
E. Ross
M
E. Ross
M
14
F. Yeats
45'
M
F. Yeats
45'
M
47
A. Doherty
68'
M
A. Doherty
68'
M
7
Ben Parkinson
68'
F
Ben Parkinson
68'
F
Bench
20
C. Allan
D
C. Allan
D
6
C. Donaldson
D
C. Donaldson
D
10
C. Sibbald
45'
M
C. Sibbald
45'
M
21
D. Meļņiks
M
D. Meļņiks
M
4
J. McMillan
D
J. McMillan
D
32
Kalvin Bennett
M
Kalvin Bennett
M
1
N. Hogarth
G
N. Hogarth
G
11
Paul McGovern
22'
F
Paul McGovern
22'
F
9
R. MacIver
22'
F
R. MacIver
22'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Emmanuel
D · Motherwell
7.90
· 41 pass
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D · Motherwell
7.50
· 90 pass
L. Henderson
D · Falkirk
7.30
· 73 pass
L. McCann
D · Falkirk
7.20
· 31 pass
J. Girdwood-Reich
D · Motherwell
7.00
· 20 pass
T. Sparrow
D · Motherwell
7.00
· 61 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Paulsen | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 76 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Moormann | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 90 | 81% | — | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Mikey Booth | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Willy Vogt | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Lowry | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ewan Wilson | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bain | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. McCann | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Neilson | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Strain | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Ben Krauhaus | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Finley Frank Barbrook | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Ross | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Doherty | M | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Sibbald | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul McGovern | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. MacIver | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Falkirk?
The final score was Motherwell 0–0 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Motherwell win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Falkirk win.